Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - March 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (1)-(1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(1/6)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/1)-(6/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(6/4/1/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(6/4/1/7)-(1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-4   WIN (6/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/7)-(1/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/7)-(1/3)-(7/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(7/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(7/4/1)-(7/2/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-6   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(7/2/3/4)-(8/5/4/3/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-7   WIN (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/4)-(8/5/4/3/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/4)-(8/5/4/3/9)-(2/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
WRD-8   WIN (8/5/4/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/3/9)-(8/5/4/3/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/3/9)-(8/5/4/3/9)-(8/5/4/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/4/3/9)-(2/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/3/9)-(2/3)-(1/10/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
WRD-9   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/10/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
WRD-10   WIN (1/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/7)-(1/10/7/9/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/10/7)-(1/10/7/9/4)-(1/10/7/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLEN KISSES Mar14 Dec07 Nov04     (william)GONCALVES R 118 2.00 63% 0.60    
2  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Mar07 Feb23 Jan19 Jan04 Dec16 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 5.00    
3  BLOOMING HILLS Feb05 Jan27 Nov02 Oct12 Sep09 (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.00 ★    
4  MO ARETHA Dec10 Oct28 Sep30     (hartman alex)JORDAN R 118 4.00    
5  ACELA EXPRESS Feb24 Jan11 Jun20 May20 Apr26 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 2.50 ★    
 
WRD-2   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELIZA ROSE         (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of FU PEGGI SUE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  MY SECRETARIAT Nov04 Apr25       (gomez j)LANDEROS C 124 30.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of MARINA U PROMISES by THORN CAT)
3  OUR DAVINA Dec14 Nov19 Nov02 Oct12 Sep30 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 3.00 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS by LANGFUHR)
SCR  RIDE ME HOME Nov30 Nov18       (coats freddie )LINDSAY CHAD 124 30.00    
  (by HOME OF THE BRAVE (IRE) out of FETISH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  READY AT TWO Dec10 Nov18 Oct26     (biehler michael )BIRZER E 124 2.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BAR HOPPER by BARTOK (IRE))
6  COMPUTER VIRUS         (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CONVENT TYPE by TAPIT)
 
WRD-3   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABSAROKA Dec01 Nov08 Oct21 Sep07   (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 11% 8.20    
2  TIME MACHINE Mar13 Feb24 Nov14 Oct13 Sep28 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
SCR  WESTONS WILDCAT Feb18 Jan21 Dec03 Nov08 Oct12 (ashford)GONCALVES R 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
4  REVIVAL Mar07 Nov21 Oct15 Sep21 Sep01 (luneack sue)KIMES C 124 3.00    
5  GRAND ROYALE Nov25 Nov11 Oct21 Oct06 Jul19 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
 
WRD-4   03/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDSONSAM Mar06 Feb03 Dec14     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 2.50 10% 9.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of MISS HOCKADAY by GREENWOOD LAKE)
2  WARRIOR'S STAR Dec01         (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00    
  (by SWIFT WARRIOR out of DUSTIN'S MAGIC by GRAND SLAM)
3  MAGNA TAP Dec07 Nov14 Nov08     (davidson )TRIANA JR 118 6.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of PERFECT TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
4  WILBERT Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 Oct28 Oct05 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
  (by WILBURN out of ROSEMAUI by AUSTINPOWER (JPN))
5  EURA BUNNY BOY Dec07 Sep28       (hunt s)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of SMILEY CYRUS by TWICE AS BAD)
6  SWORD OF GOLD Mar21 Dec01 Nov15 Oct28 Oct05 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by SONG OF THE SWORD out of LADY BE GOLD by COUNTRY BE GOLD)
7  STOLEN GHOST Mar07 Dec14 Dec02     (david ron)KIMES C 118 6.00 7% 13.50    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of STEELY by TWO PUNCH)
 
WRD-5   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST TRAO Classic Sprint Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANNON C Mar07 Oct21 Sep23 Jun10 May24 (young s)GONCALVES R 121 1.00 43% 1.30    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of MIRANDA DIANE by FISTFITE)
2  MISTER WAYSIDE Mar07 Dec15 Nov19 Oct21 Oct06 (oberlander j)JORDAN R 118 5.00    
  (by TWICE AS BAD out of RAPID RONI by SEEKING GREATNESS)
3  FLY TO THE BANK Mar04 Feb18 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by EUROEARS out of TAKE IT AND FLY by KINGKIOWA)
4  MESA MOON Dec01 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 Sep03 (williams al)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of CREATIVE SPIRIT by SMARTY JONES)
5  TOMMYHAWK Mar07 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Sep23 (swango randy )CABRERA DAVID 118 4.00 ★    
  (by KICK ON out of SARON'S TIME by TIMEBANK)
 
WRD-6   03/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUATHA         (hale vic)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
2  QUICK OKIE Dec08 Sep16 Sep01     (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00 ★    
3  STEPONTHEFOOTFEET Mar10 Feb10 Jan27 Dec31   (corderman sc)JORDAN R 122 3.50    
4  GENUINE DRAFT         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  YANKEES MIRACLES Dec08 Sep03       (brasseaux john)LINDSAY CHAD 122 20.00    
6  FLASHY GAIL Mar03 Feb10 Jan22 Dec08 Oct28 (davis d)LANDEROS C 122 20.00    
7  RAINBOW SMILES Nov25 Nov04 Oct13     (young sco)TRIANA JR 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
WRD-7   03/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROGGY Mar06 Dec01 Nov08 Oct25 Oct18 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
2  HEPUTTHEACEINRACE Mar07 Feb25 Feb03 Jun06 May17 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 1.80 21% 3.90    
3  BOTTOMLESS Mar07 Feb16 Jan27 Dec30 Dec16 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
4  MR OKLAHOMA CITY Mar07 Dec14 Nov25 Oct26 Sep29 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
5  SELLING SHORT Mar06 Dec03 Nov25 Nov04 Sep14 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
6  SPARK (PER) Mar05 Feb10 Jan21 Jan01 Dec01 (rowland chris)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
7  HIT ONE OUT Dec14 Nov14 Oct28 Sep29 Sep17 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
8  SMART CALL Mar07 Feb03 Sep15 Aug27 Jul31 (roberts joe )HEBERT LINDSEY 119 12.00    
 
WRD-8   03/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACE GILFORD Mar13 Feb05 Jan16 Dec17 Nov25 (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 1.80    
2  PROUD MOMENTS Mar14 Dec03 Nov22 Nov03 Oct19 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00    
3  AFLEET SNIPER Mar04 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 Nov08 (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 118 8.00 6% 16.00    
4  SILVER PONZI Feb11 Jan06 Dec13 Dec06 Nov01 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00 6% 15.90    
5  RIVER RULER Mar14 Feb11 Jan08 Dec09 Nov21 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  SPECTACTICAL Dec08 Nov14 Oct06 Jun13 Apr25 (gunter michael)LANDEROS C 118 15.00    
7  REMEMBER ME TONY Dec09 Nov22 Nov08 Aug26 Jun14 (morales arn)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00    
8  HEROIC SONG Mar14 Feb05 Jan21 Dec09 Nov14 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 1.60 38% 1.60    
9  OVER EZ Feb11 Jan06 Nov22 Aug28 Jul30 (williams ste)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-9   03/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSONLYMONEYHONEY Mar14 Dec17 Nov19 Nov04 Oct14 (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
2  PEPPERMINT SISTER Mar07 Dec08 Nov03 Oct13 Sep23 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  NAUGHTY NATALIE Mar14 Feb26 Feb04 Dec14 Nov03 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  PAYDIEM Mar14 Mar06 Feb26 Feb11 Jan13 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARPERS VISION Sep16 Aug27 Jun20 Jun13 Jun07 (morales arno)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 30.00    
SCR  SHE'S AN ANGEL Feb10 Dec15 Nov19 Oct27 Oct14 (gomez jua)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
SCR  CORNEROFTHESKY Dec16 Nov18 Oct28 Oct13 Sep21 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 10.00 7% 13.60    
8  MISS TYRO Jul19 Jun14 May02 Apr25 Apr06 (ibarra jose)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00    
9  WICKED STREET Mar03 Jan06 Dec17 Jul24 Jul02 (hartman alex)JORDAN R 124 3.50    
10  SMOKING GUITAR Mar14 Feb26 Feb04 Jan14 Dec10 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
 
WRD-10   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCTAGON Mar07 Dec08 Nov19 Oct27 Oct05 (oberlander )WETHEY JR 124 5.00 57% 0.70    
2  PUPPY POWER Mar07 Jun27 Jun06     (mitchell da)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 12.00    
3  ARCH OF SWORDS Mar13 Feb11 Jan18 Nov05 Oct20 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 20.00    
4  KICK IT AGAIN BOB Mar14 Jun14 May24     (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00 ★    
5  STAY STRONG Nov19 Oct26 Sep21 Aug27   (bravo franci)JORDAN R 118 12.00    
6  COMPUTATION Mar07 Dec14 Dec02 Nov05   (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
7  CHARM THE LADIES Dec07 Nov15 Sep17 May18   (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 4.00 6% 15.70    
8  EASTER JIM Mar14 Mar07 Dec16 Nov19   (oberlander je)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00    
9  BLAKE FROM TISH Mar14 Feb26 Feb04     (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 10.00 ★    
10  LUCKY MCCOY Mar14 Feb26 Feb12 Dec08 Nov19 (merrick d)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 12% 7.20    
11  CAT NAMED HERCULES Mar14 Dec07 Nov05 Oct12   (espiritu lucio)LANDEROS C 124 30.00    
12  CRYPTO MINER Mar14         (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.