Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Tuesday - February 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/3) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/8/6)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-2   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2/1)-(4/5/6/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/2)-(5/6/1)-(2/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/4/7)-(5/6/1/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(2/7/1)-(6/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SUN-4   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(2/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SUN-5   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/4/3)-(6/7/1/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-6   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3/7)-(2/1/6/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-7   WIN (8/1/10/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/10/12/5)-(8/1/10/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/10/12/5)-(8/1/10/12/5)-(8/1/10/12/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (8/1/10/12/5)-(8/5/1/9/4)-(4/9/7) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
SUN-8   WIN (8/5/1/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/9/4)-(8/5/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/9/4)-(8/5/1/9/4)-(8/5/1/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (8/5/1/9/4)-(4/9/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SUN-9   WIN (4/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/3/10)-(4/9/7/3/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL OCHO Feb07 Jan15 Dec20 Nov14 Oct24 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 8.00    
SCR  SAY THERE KING Feb14 Jan31       (meridyth da)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 12.00 ★    
3  LEA COSTA ME Jan24 Dec12 Oct17 Sep17 Aug31 (marquez)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  HUNKALICIOUS Jan15 Dec19 Oct10     (eliott roger)SALAZAR TERESA 111 20.00    
5  MISSY MIA Oct01 Sep08 Aug27 May07 Mar08 (olguin ever)TORRES J 118 15.00    
6  SUPER BESLIU Feb07 Jan31 Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 (eliott roger)CHAVEZ R 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
7  MIZZEN MILLIONS Jan15 Dec16 Nov27 Sep03   (garrett j)VALDEZ S 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
8  PINEY BLUFF Oct25 Oct11       (van rober)CARRENO J 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
SUN-2   02/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DINOS DA DADDY Nov08 May27 Apr24 Feb12 Jan09 (aldavaz jr)MEDELLIN A 123 15.00 ★    
2  SUPER HUNK Jan31 Jan17 Dec19 Dec14 Nov21 (eliott roger)CHAVEZ R 123 4.00 6% 16.30    
3  SEVEN YEAR ACHE         (alvarez adrian )GOMEZ REYES 123 20.00    
4  LEAD MONTEREY Feb07 Jan22 Dec12 Oct25 Oct09 (alamos ar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  JERSEY JOE Jan10 Dec14 Oct31 Oct17 Sep30 (green g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
6  GEE ETTA Dec05 Nov07 Sep28 Sep04 May14 (van rober)CARRENO J 118 5.00 13% 6.90    
7  IM JUST JOKIN Jan29         (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 123 8.00    
8  D C ALLIED FORCES Feb07 Dec06 Nov13 Jun18 Apr23 (aldavaz herm)ALDERETE JORGE 123 10.00    
 
SUN-3   02/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($42.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATFORD Jan10 Dec19 Nov21 Oct31 Sep23 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00 7% 13.80    
2  DAN WHO Jan24 Dec20 Dec05 Nov21 Nov08 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
3  THE LIDS OFF Dec05 Nov14 Oct24 Oct05   (riddle jacki)VILLANUEVA C 123 6.00    
4  PROBATE Feb07 Dec14 Nov13 Oct31 Sep24 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 123 2.50 ★    
5  PRAIRIE WARRIOR Feb07 Jan17 Sep04 Aug26 Aug06 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 1.50 35% 1.80    
6  RIGHT JAB Feb07 Jan24 Jan10 Dec05 Nov21 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 31% 2.30    
7  PLAYING FIELD Jan10 Oct31 Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 (hudson jeff)PEREZ A 123 15.00 ★    
 
SUN-4   02/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAYWARD Dec19 Dec05 Nov01 Oct23 Aug17 (cross gary)TOHILL S 123 10.00 6% 16.90    
2  ARRANGED VOWS Jan15 Dec19 Nov15 Oct23 Sep24 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  RUN LIKE KATE Jan22 Jan15 Jan01 Dec06 Nov21 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00    
4  BEAUTIFUL BOUNTY Dec13 Oct24 Sep28 Sep21 Aug20 (esparza stephanie)CARRENO J 123 12.00    
5  PEGGY B FAST Nov21 Oct10       (rust terri)VALDEZ S 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  TUTTA TERLINGUA Feb05 Jan01 Dec20 Dec01 Oct30 (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  SHAME ON BEA Dec19 Nov21 Aug10 Jul31 Mar13 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
8  INDIAN DIVA Jan01 Dec05 Nov21 Nov01 Oct17 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 8.00    
9  SHELLY D'ORO Jan31 Oct05 Sep24 Aug21 Aug12 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
 
SUN-5   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY JUNIOR Feb07 Jan24 Jan15 Dec13 Sep14 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50 6% 16.90    
2  BRAZILIAN SUMMER Jan24 Dec14 Dec04 Nov16 Nov08 (hancock davi)SALAZAR TERESA 118 20.00    
3  COMMISSIONER DAVID Feb07 Jan15 Dec01 Oct25 Sep28 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 ★    
4  SHANGHAI MIKE Jan24 Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Sep18 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.00 ★    
5  FABOZZI Oct25 Jul23 Jul01 Jun05 Mar26 (ritchie g)TOHILL S 123 12.00    
6  WHEREDOESTHECASHGO Jan17 Nov30 Oct25 Aug20 Aug06 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 2.00 54% 0.90    
7  KRIS WHO Jan10 Nov15 Oct25 Sep16 Aug19 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.50 15% 5.50    
8  FINGLAS LAD Feb07 Jan29 Jan17 Jan08 Dec06 (rojero c)VALDEZ S 123 6.00    
 
SUN-6   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTALLY TIGER Jan24 Jan08 Nov14 Sep22 Sep08 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50 16% 5.20    
2  DUBRONSKY Jan24 Nov30 Nov07 Oct14 Sep28 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
3  FORT STANTON SCOUT Feb05 Jan22 Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 (marquez j)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 ★    
4  STOCK DEAL Feb14 Jan29 Nov15 Oct25 Oct01 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 8.00    
5  LOOKING FOR BULL Feb14 Oct26 Oct16 Sep19 Sep11 (hancock)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
6  SCOTTY WHO Jan10 Nov30 Oct31 Aug28 Aug07 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 15% 5.60    
7  GLENDORA MINECAT Feb12 Jan10 Dec01 Nov14 Oct25 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 3.00 ★    
 
SUN-7   02/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AISLE RUNNER Jan15 Jan01 Dec20 Dec12 Nov06 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  MARK'S WARRIOR Feb05 Jan03 Dec05 Nov30 Nov01 (munoz gua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 10.00    
3  GATLING GOLD Dec20 Nov15 Oct18 Oct10 Sep15 (gonzalez a)TORRES J 123 12.00    
4  SPINNING RED Feb05 Jan24 Nov30 Nov01 Sep30 (chavez )FUENTES T 123 6.00    
5  DIABOLICAL MIGHT Nov08 Oct18 Sep14 Aug26 Aug10 (morales danny)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00 6% 15.80    
6  INFINITE CROWN Feb07 Jan10 Dec12 Dec06 Nov08 (danl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN MERGER Jan22 Dec14 Nov21 Nov06 Oct18 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 8.00    
8  JAZZ MAN DO Dec20 Dec05 Nov07 Nov01 Oct09 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 6.00 32% 2.10    
9  ROAD TO HEAT Dec20 Oct17 Sep14 Aug26 Apr30 (villalobos mig)CEBALLOS F 123 12.00    
10  LOPIN JOE Jan31 Dec20 Dec06 Aug31 Aug12 (alamos )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.00 7% 12.80    
11  SURF N DELMAR Feb05 Dec20       (marquez l)CARRENO J 123 20.00    
12  BULLY RIDE Feb05 Jan22 Dec14 Dec05 Nov08 (barrios bern)SALAZAR TERESA 118 12.00 7% 13.60    
 
SUN-8   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARIAT Jan15 Oct30 Oct10 Sep14 Aug21 (summers)FUENTES T 123 8.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  ELLIOT Jan31 Dec12 Oct30 Aug05 Jul17 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 15.00    
3  HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Jan15 Nov14 Oct04 Sep18 Aug10 (chadborn kenneth )PEREZ A 123 10.00    
4  ALL CHROME Jan24 Jan03 Dec05 Nov22 Oct30 (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 123 3.50 9% 10.10    
5  DIABOLICAL GATOR Jan24 Jan03 Oct30 Aug06 Jun26 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 10.00 15% 5.60    
6  ATTILIANNO Jan03 Dec05 Nov22 Oct10 Sep03 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 8.00    
7  LONZO WHO Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 Nov14 Oct18 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 123 4.50    
8  EVACUEE Jun12 Mar27 Feb27 Jan30 Jan04 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
9  GO RED RASCAL Jan17 Nov22 Oct30 Oct04 Aug07 (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 5.00 11% 8.50    
 
SUN-9   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURL Feb14 Jan24 Jan10 Oct24 Oct11 (martin)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 20.00    
2  FAST AND FEVEROUS Jan24 Nov30 Sep04 Aug14 Feb27 (cross gary)TOHILL S 123 4.00    
3  SOUNDLESS AX Feb12 Jan22 Jan01 Dec06 Oct31 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00 ★    
4  ARTFUL ROSE Jan24 Jan01 Dec20 Dec13 May27 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  OUR ISLAND GIRL Nov21 Nov07 Oct11 Aug27 Jul02 (riddle jacki)SALAZAR TERESA 118 8.00    
6  HAUTE LADY Jan24 Oct24 Sep21 Sep08 Jul31 (sedillo carlos)CARRENO J 123 10.00    
7  DOM PROUD Sep04 Aug17 May07 Apr02   (summers)FUENTES T 123 6.00 14% 6.10    
8  STELLA WHEAT Jan22 Dec13 Nov01 Oct23 Oct09 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 12.00    
9  INDIAN EXCELLENCE Jan24 Dec05 Nov14 Oct25 Oct11 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
10  DIXIE JEN Feb07 Aug10 May07 Apr24 Apr02 (esparza s)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.