Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(3/6)-(7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/4/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    DD (3/6)-(7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(7)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LRL-3   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (7)-(1/2/5)-(1/5/7/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/5/7/4)-(6/8/2/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/4)-(6/8/2/4/5)-(6/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/8/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/4/5)-(6/8/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/4/5)-(6/3/5)-(3/5/1/7/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-7   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/5/1/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/7/6)-(3/5/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED STORM Feb11 Jan08 Nov20 Nov03 Oct21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50    
MISS YOU AJAX Jan22 Jan01       (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 15.00 20% 3.90    
OROCOVIX Feb11 Feb05 Jan21 Jan06   (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 117 20.00    
ALOTTACENTS Feb12 Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 Jul31 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 121 5.00    
BO'S BOURBON Jan29 Jan14 Dec17 Nov19 Oct22 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  BORUFF Jan27 Oct28 Sep24     (dilodovico)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 20.00    
CHELONIAN Feb11 Jan22 Jan11 Dec10 Oct23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Jan14 Dec31 Dec17 Dec02 Oct28 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
 
LRL-2   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH RILL         (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of IRISH SOVEREIGN by POLISH NUMBERS)
FULL IRISH         (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 6.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of TO GIVE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Jan27 Dec10       (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of GREAT HOSTESS by GREAT NOTION)
ASSUME NOTHING Jan11         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of RUMBAUA by BERNSTEIN)
RUFFNER         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 124 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of J. A. CURLIN by CURLIN)
LEONIDS Jan20         (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of AREOLITE by TAPIT)
MASTERWORK         (trombetta m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 8.00    
  (by MASTERY out of SEEKING PARADISE by BLAME)
 
LRL-3   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANGELOFCANTERBURY Jan28 Jan07 Dec18 Nov25 Oct28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00    
SCR  CLASSY NANCY Jan13 Dec12 Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  BLOWTHRUYELOWLITES Jan20 Dec18 Nov07 Oct21 Sep11 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Jan28 Nov27 Oct28 Aug05 Jul13 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 121 15.00    
NEVER DONE Jan28 Jan06 Oct21 Sep18 Sep05 (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 117 5.00    
CELTIC REVIVAL Feb03 Dec21 Nov27 Nov05 Oct14 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
COAL MINE Jan20 Jan13 Nov25 Oct19 Sep02 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 121 6.00    
MISS FUSSY PANTS Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 Nov07 Oct16 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
LRL-4   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD UHTRED Jan25 Dec16 Nov19 Oct31 Oct12 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  FREDDYNESS Feb11 Jan30 Jan11 Dec02 Nov14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.60    
SMART AND FAST Feb03 Jan08 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 121 2.00 14% 6.00    
SOUTHERN LAD Feb11 Jan22 Dec17 Nov14 Oct15 (leaf )LABARRE GRACE 121 15.00    
DREAMS DELIVERED Feb03 Jan08 Nov18 Oct14 Jul06 (cortez e)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 10.00    
EL TOLU Feb03 Jan20 Dec31 Dec11 Nov26 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 121 3.50 7% 13.70    
HOPE HE'S FAST Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 Nov04 Oct15 (farrior an)RIVERA R 110 6.00    
 
LRL-5   02/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITAN'S WILL Jan29 Aug01 Jul20 Jul07 Jun16 (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
EDDIE'S CHARGE Feb06 Jan24 Jan09 May10 Mar16 (preciado gua)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 12.00    
VELVET GHOST Jul24 Jul02 May03 Mar24 Mar09 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 10.00    
MINECRAFTER Jan29 Jan06 Dec11 Nov16 Oct20 (nazario ped)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 6.00 6% 16.80    
SASSY KING Jan02 Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 Oct09 (davis g)ACOSTA D 123 3.00 13% 6.80    
LORD MIO Dec31 Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 Aug12 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
GALATIANS Jan29 Dec31 Nov05 Oct08 Aug07 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 11% 7.90    
MAMAIGOTTHIS Jan29 Jan06 Dec11 Nov18 Nov11 (cortez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 5.00    
 
LRL-6   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 45 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOC ROCK Jan20 Jul29 Jun25 May28 Apr29 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 8.00    
HE ROLLS Feb10 Jan27 Nov21 Nov05 Oct15 (dove j)LEWIS M 119 8.00 11% 8.00    
TEGO Feb04 Jan14 Dec16 Nov27 Nov07 (casey jam)HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Jan27 Dec16 Nov29 Nov07 Oct07 (zerpa g)BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00 8% 12.00    
SUPE Feb01 Jan16 Nov19 Oct28 Oct05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
HERE AND NOFURTHER Jan28 Dec30 Nov25     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.60 40% 1.50    
LUV YA BYE BYE Dec30 Dec09 Jun24 Jun10 May26 (mcmahon )BUTTERFLY L 126 10.00    
NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 Dec09 Nov18 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.50 12% 7.60    
RIXEY ROCKET Aug15 Jul20 Jun25 May26 Apr29 (morgan carla)ACOSTA D 126 15.00    
10  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Jan28         (deiter kell)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 20.00    
 
LRL-7   02/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOTADA Feb03 Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 Aug19 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
SCR  MIT MAZEL Feb03 Jan13 Jan01 Dec16 Nov21 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 1.00 33% 2.00    
VIKING QUEEN Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 Oct26 Oct01 (mcmahon thoma)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  GAMESTONKS Jan13 Jan07 Dec18 Oct22 Sep20 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00    
FOLLY Jan28 Sep17 Sep02 Jul30 Jul12 (maldonado )RIVERA R 112 15.00 8% 10.90    
HASHTAG LUCKY Jan27 Jan01 Dec04 Nov12 Oct20 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
LRL-8   02/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. MOSLEY Feb10 Jan21 Jan08 Dec18 Nov14 (corrales jo)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 6.00 16% 5.20    
CASH KID Jan27 Dec29 Dec02 Nov24 Nov03 (sepulveda carlos)ACOSTA D 126 10.00    
NEVER CHANGE Feb07 Jan18 Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 22% 3.50    
SHADY MUNNI Jan29 Dec31 Nov25 Aug04 Jul06 (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 3.00    
ICE BAR Jan27 Jan18 Jan05 Dec01 Nov23 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 8.00 21% 3.80    
TYLER TIME Jan25 Jan08 Dec10 Nov03 Sep11 (mcfarlane )RIVERA R 115 15.00 9% 10.50    
BADGER TOOTH Jan27 Jan08 Nov27 Nov05 Oct28 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 126 3.50 9% 9.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.