Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/4/5)-(1/3/2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/6/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/6/3/1)-(2/4/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/3/4)-(2/6/5/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/5/2/6)-(3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (1/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD (1/5/2/6)-(3/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
FON-6   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/4/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/4/2/1)-(3/7/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANCOCHO (MEX) Jan23 Jan08       (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  MR. WALSH Jan27 Nov30 Nov14 Nov03 May06 (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 ★    
3  GONE PREACHIN Jun17 Jun10 May27 May13 May07 (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 125 6.00 30% 2.30    
4  COOL CATOMINE Dec17 Nov23 Oct14 Aug30 Jul21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 ★    
5  MAFIA DON Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 Aug14 Jul24 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 ★    
 
FON-2   02/10/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHES STEEL DREAMIN Sep13         (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of COMMANDER SUE by MASTER COMMAND)
2  QUEEN OF GOLD         (anderson davi)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 10% 8.60    
  (by PETITION FOR GOLD out of KAT QUEEN COLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  SMILIN JOSIE Jun17 Jun12 May27 May01 Apr15 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 2.00 26% 2.80    
  (by WEST EXPRESS out of MARTHA MARTHA by IDE)
4  RUN BRINLEE RUN Jun12 May27 May13 Apr15 Apr03 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 ★    
  (by BLUE LION out of EAGER LEADER by MORE THAN READY)
5  JUST SEND HER Jun17 Jun12 May27 May13 Mar04 (krause bill)BETHKE A 125 8.00 ★    
  (by MINE FOR GOLD out of STREAKIN BEAUTY by SKYWALKER)
6  JOSIES SCORE Sep25         (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 121 4.00    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
 
FON-3   02/10/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURELY A LEGEND Sep07 Aug27 Jul31 Jul07 Jun25 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 ★    
2  BIG CALI GIRL Jul03 Jun17 May29 May01 Apr22 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  SISTER SHIRLEY Apr03 Mar20 Mar11 Feb25   (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00 ★    
4  GRAND EXPECTATIONS Dec29 Dec08 Oct04 Sep11 Jul24 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
5  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Jul22 Jun12 May28 May15 May06 (lembur)FLETCHER D 125 8.00    
6  HOT CAVIAR Sep19 Sep09 Aug29 Aug06 Jul22 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 ★    
 
FON-4   02/10/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEARNEY Dec01 Nov15 Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 (ibanez alber)BETHKE A 125 8.00    
2  CANDENZA Dec28 Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  LOOKIN FOR LARRY Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Dec01 Nov04 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 ★    
4  MORANT Dec31 Dec04 Nov18 Oct02 Sep15 (condon schuyl)CARDOSO DAVID 125 5.00 ★    
5  FIFTY TWO PICKUP Aug28 Aug19 Jul14 Jun28 Jun07 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00 13% 6.80    
6  OREGON COUNTY Sep19 Aug15 Aug07 Jul18 Jul05 (condon)FLETCHER D 125 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
FON-5   02/10/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLUSHY Sep23 Sep04 Aug13 Jul10 Jun18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50    
1A  QUEEN CORDELIA Dec11 Nov28 Nov08 Oct12 Sep12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 31% 2.30    
2  SEGOVIANA Jan12 Dec27 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 11% 8.40    
3  SHE'S AN ANGEL Dec15 Nov19 Oct27 Oct14 Sep14 (gomez j)BETHKE A 125 12.00    
4  CHERISH THE DAY Sep23 Sep07 Jul18 Jun28 Jun13 (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 ★    
5  LEMONS IS GONE Oct14 Sep23 Sep07 Jul19 Jun27 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  FASHION FACT Sep26 Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 Jun13 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 4.00 9% 9.50    
7  NEBRASKA RED Jul24 Jun19 May29 Apr03 Mar20 (mcclain stanle)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00    
 
FON-6   02/10/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SING THE SONG         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 ★    
2  TAYLOR'S BEAUTY Jun18 May28 May07 Apr24 Apr15 (dieter)FLETCHER D 125 4.00 ★    
3  BLUEBIRD DAY (IRE) Jun03 May28 May15 Feb26   (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 44% 1.30    
4  AUNT IRENE Dec30 Sep26 Sep08 Jul28 Jul01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 ★    
5  AFLEET OKIE Dec14 Oct05 Sep14 Jul18 Jun27 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00    
6  S C ANGEL Jun12 May28 May07 Apr22 Apr08 (condon schuy)BETHKE A 125 6.00    
7  JAGGED ARROW Sep08 Aug03 Jul13 Jul03 Jun19 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.