Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - October 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   10/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAST NO STONES Oct01 Sep05 Jul13 Jun02   (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00    
2  TORRE BRANCA Oct07 Sep24 Sep05 Aug13 Jul28 (smith )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 8.00    
3  AMERICAS WOMAN Sep18 Jan22       (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 15.00    
4  LOOKS DON'T LIE Oct14 Aug21 Jul27 Jul02 Jun11 (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 126 10.00    
5  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Sep25 Sep09 Aug13 Aug03 Jul15 (salvaggio v)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
6  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Aug29 Jul19 Apr14     (stidham mic)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
7  WATER WITCH Apr27 Apr02 Mar05     (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  AWESOME LAWSON Aug31 Aug14 Jul02 May27 Apr20 (runco c)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
9  CHICAGO RIVER Sep11 Jul10 Jun19     (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 126 15.00    
10  CERULEAN Sep29 Sep17 Aug24 Jul30 Jul13 (raven ker)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 5.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  SIDNEY SUE Aug14 Jul28 Jun27 May14 Apr24 (fernandez migu)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00    
SCR  BALI BABY Aug29 Jul31 Jun30 May20 Apr14 (gonzalez claud)ARAUJO DENIS 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  MUSIC QUEEN Sep20 Aug21 Aug08 Jul23 Jul04 (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 20.00    
SCR  YIRA Oct16 Sep25 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
SCR  MOON PARTY Oct08 Sep05 Jul24 Jun19 May07 (d'angelo jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00    
SCR  SEA MONSTER Oct08 Sep05 Aug22 Jul20   (d'angelo fr)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
 
LRL-2   10/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANKLIN CREEK Oct06 Aug26 Jul29 Jun17 May27 (corrales j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 20.00    
2  UNCOMMON VALOR Oct06 Sep17 Sep11 Aug19 Aug06 (corrales jose)ALVELO C 122 8.00 ★    
3  SAINT MARCO Sep10 Aug12 Jul17 Jul04 Jun07 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.80 42% 1.40    
4  I'M NOT SLOW Oct06 Sep11 Sep03 Aug06 Jul15 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 112 5.00 6% 15.20    
5  SWEET ASTA Oct06 Sep09 Aug05 Jul15 May13 (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 122 20.00    
6  GIVE IT A GO Oct06 Sep11 Sep03 Aug26 May29 (gonzalez claud)ARAUJO DENIS 119 6.00    
7  BET ON BITZ Oct06 Sep17 Aug28 Aug07 Jul15 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00 13% 6.80    
8  SCINTILLIO Oct06 Sep09 Sep03 Aug21 Jul29 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
LRL-3   10/27/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED KITTEN Sep05         (allen ferri)ALVELO C 122 20.00    
2  SAFEEN Sep13         (kenneally edd)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 1.00 64% 0.60    
3  HIGH DONNA Sep06         (parra her)CARRASCO R 122 20.00    
4  SILENT STORY Sep28 Aug27       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 5.00 ★    
5  ZIPADOO         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00 ★    
6  RIDE THE RAPIDS Sep25         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 ★    
7  CONCERT HALL (IRE) Oct12 Sep11 Jul09     (davis samuel)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
8  MODERN SOCIETY Oct08         (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 20.00    
9  WAVERLEY Oct01 Sep11 Aug27     (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 122 20.00    
10  INSCRUTABLE Sep28 Aug27       (matz r)BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
 
LRL-4   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R TRUE SENSATION Oct09 Sep22 Sep04 Aug27 Aug13 (downs le)BUTTERFLY L 123 20.00    
2  HAD THE NOTION Oct15 Sep23 Sep09 Jun17 Apr30 (harting chri)BATISTA A 123 15.00 9% 9.70    
3  SHINY PENNY Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 Aug14 Jul16 (maldonad)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  FORTES Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Jul29 Jul23 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  DEVILISH AFFAIR Oct09 Oct01 Jul01 May30 Apr30 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 3.50 ★    
6  MAGICGIRL Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug26 Aug08 (mcgoey mon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 5.00    
7  TORCH CARRIER Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jun30 (frock l)DELGADO A 123 10.00 11% 8.20    
 
LRL-5   10/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTER STAGE Sep17 Aug13 Jul02 Jun05 May07 (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 2.50    
2  TOSS A COIN Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 Apr08 Mar04 (keefe timothy)KARAMANOS A 126 20.00    
3  CHELICHNA Sep17 Feb19       (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 122 12.00    
4  MURPH Jul06 May20 Apr24 Mar04   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
5  MIRANDA'S DESMOND Sep30 Jul30 Jun15     (perkins jr)PEREZ XAVIER 126 15.00 ★    
6  NIBBLES Oct06 Sep10 Aug14 Jul28 Jul09 (farrior an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 10.00    
7  DOTADA Oct06 Aug19 Jul31 Jul02 Jun10 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00 ★    
8  EISWEIN Sep18 Jul31 May26 Apr28 Mar09 (vera miguel)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
9  AMUNET Sep29 Aug14 Mar06 Jan30   (matz r)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00    
10  CLOSERTOTHEHEART Sep11 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 May01 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 20.00 ★    
SCR  BLUEBERRY PIE Sep28 Aug31 Aug10     (hendriks m)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 20.00    
SCR  STRONG EMBRACE May06 Apr08 Mar12 Feb09   (maker j)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  LITTLE NUTTER Sep10 Aug13       (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 126 8.00    
SCR  KILLY START Sep16 Aug24 Jul29 Jul02 Jun15 (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
SCR  AMAZON QUEEN Sep01 Aug10       (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
SCR  A CASE OF YOU (IRE) Aug03 Jul01 Jan03     (crook-demasi )KARAMANOS A 123 10.00    
 
LRL-6   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUKNOWWHATITIZZZ Sep17 Apr02 Feb27 Feb03 Jan22 (hall )LABARRE GRACE 119 30.00 ★    
SCR  IF THEN Oct08 Sep02 Aug19 Jul28 Jul02 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
3  JOE MIKE JIM Oct06 Sep23 Aug29 Aug20 Jul31 (gonzalez claud)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
4  SALAMINA Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Jul30 May30 (juarez calixto)ACOSTA D 123 5.00 ★    
5  SENSON Oct01 Sep18 Aug21 Jul28 Jul17 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
6  SCAMPER ALONG Oct12 Sep10 Aug07 Jul16 Jun09 (downing willi)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 ★    
7  DIAL EMMA REILLY Oct07 Sep03 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 119 20.00    
8  MICK'SBESTBETYET Sep17 Aug26 Jul26 Jul02 Jun12 (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 15.00    
9  SOME IS NINE Oct20 Sep17 Sep02 Aug18 Aug07 (serey mari)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 8.00    
10  MEJORAMIGA Oct06 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
 
LRL-7   10/27/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGRAFFE Feb27 Jan22       (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00    
2  DAMANDA Sep18         (preciado gu)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 15.00    
3  RED HOT AND BLUE Apr13 Feb25       (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 126 3.00 32% 2.20    
4  LATE NIGHT LADY Oct07 May04 Feb13     (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 123 20.00    
5  CULDEE Sep30 Aug24 Jul28 Jun15 Apr15 (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  BYRDIE HOWE May27 Mar20       (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 126 3.50 10% 8.90    
7  LADY LOOKOUT Sep14 Aug05       (matz r)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
8  PARTYLINE Sep14 Aug16 Jul12     (correas ignaci)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00 18% 4.60    
9  GLOWING REVIEW         (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 ★    
 
LRL-8   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOAH CHANCE Sep24 Sep05 Aug06     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 8.00 ★    
2  MY MAMBA Oct02 Sep06 Aug09 Jul18 Jun12 (lawrence j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 110 15.00    
3  ROAN BURGUNDY Oct01 Sep16       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
4  COMPLETED STORM Aug15 Jul31 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 112 20.00    
5  FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL Oct01 Sep04 Jul31     (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 119 10.00 ★    
6  POST TIME Oct07         (russell britta)CAMACHO ERIC 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
7  VALENZAN DAY Sep22 Aug13 Jul16 Jun09 May12 (rodriguez rud)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.20 28% 2.60    
 
LRL-9   10/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING OF AUDREY Oct01 Aug28 Jul31 Jul08 Apr24 (d'angelo fr)CRUZ ANGEL 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
2  ITALIAN DRESSING Oct09 Sep17 Aug27 Jan30 Jan16 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00    
3  SASSY BABE Sep23 Sep07 Aug14 Jul28 Jul02 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00    
4  IMAGINE VICTORY Feb11 Jan02       (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 123 20.00 6% 16.80    
5  LIKELY CHOICE Sep24 Sep17 Jun25 May08 Apr24 (gorham mich)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  RED QUEEN Oct07 Sep03 Jul09 Jun22 Jun09 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 3.50    
7  LA FAMILIA Oct01 Sep23 Aug14 Jul28 Jul02 (pradena)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00    
8  MADAME CLAUDE (IRE) Sep23 Aug14 Jul19 Jun25 May14 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 116 3.50 19% 4.20    
9  LA DAME Aug22 Jun11 Mar08 Feb18 Feb03 (allen a )RODRIGUEZ A 112 12.00    
10  SHYLA GIRL Sep12 Aug15 Aug03 Jul05 Jun08 (udall lori)RIOS-CONDE A 123 30.00    
SCR  SECRET ARCHANGEL Sep02         (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
SCR  TAK E LADY Oct12 Sep24 Aug15 Jul27 Jul07 (ashby lynn)ACOSTA D 123 4.50    
13  MOON OF LOVE (IRE) Aug22 Jul19 May26 May13 Mar19 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00    
SCR  MISS IS ZIPPY Sep24 Aug31 Aug22 Jul16 Jul08 (gorham micha)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 15.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  DIFFERENTBUTOK Sep29 Aug10 Jul19 Jun01 Mar31 (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00    
SCR  OIL ON CANVAS Aug22 Aug14 Jul19 Jul08 Jun25 (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.