Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - October 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURNING BUSH Sep20 Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (montano w)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
2  PIVOTAL WOMAN (FR) Oct02 Aug28 Aug10 Jul27 Jul19 (sipp burton )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
3  STACEYS RACEY Sep17 Jul11 Jun12 May24 Mar09 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 2.50    
4  BIPARTISAN BROOKE Oct04 Jul19 Jun29 Apr18   (larue steve)DIAZ I 118 20.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  ST. LOUIE ARCH Jul19 Jul05 Jun12     (pena yendri)LUNA ELEMANIEL 113 1.60    
6  MY BRIDGET VERDOT Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 Aug16 Aug01 (ewell )ENRIQUEZ JR 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
7  NINJA KITTEN Oct11 Sep20 Aug17 Jul19 Jul04 (andrad)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
 
MNR-2   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ULTRA DIVA Sep12 Jul20 Jun28 May22 May08 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 6.00    
2  EVIL OF COURSE Oct04 Aug13 Jul23 Jul04 Jun11 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 118 10.00    
3  LILLIE AND NAN Sep26 Jun07 May10 Mar18   (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 2.50    
4  SPORT PALACE Sep14 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul19 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MILLIE (CHI) Sep25 Sep07 Aug14 Jul25 Jun26 (snatchko pa)LAGUNES GABRIEL null      
6  EXCUSES EXCUSES Sep09 Jul21 Jul01 Jun23 May28 (patterson k)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.00    
7  SACRED SUNDAY Sep25 Jul27 Jul02 Mar25 Feb25 (montano w)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
MNR-3   10/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTRELA CADENTE Sep19 Aug21 Jul25     (fairman shaw)LUNA ELEMANIEL 113 1.40 47% 1.10    
2  MISS HEART Oct02 Aug21 Aug03 Jun26 May31 (eidsch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
3  SILVER PACKAGE Oct04 Jul27 Jul17 Jun22 Jun01 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 2.50    
4  CHECK SIX Oct04 Aug15 Jul24 Jul18 Jul04 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00 8% 11.30    
5  PIPA PAN Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 (boyd l)ROLDAN FELISHA 113 15.00    
6  PEACHES AND SPICE Sep15 Mar06 Jan27     (iorio jr)CCAMAQUE M 120 8.00    
 
MNR-4   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHEN IT RAIN Jul10         (baird micha)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
2  ROCKIN MACHEN Oct11 Sep26 Jul10     (baird michael)PAUCAR E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHEROKEE WIND Sep27 Sep19 Aug31 Jul10 Jun13 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 118 6.00    
4  VEGAS PRINCESS Oct04         (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 1.60 22% 3.60    
5  WHY WINCHILL WHY Jun13         (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 15.00 13% 7.00    
6  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Sep07         (cain crystal)CCAMAQUE M 118 8.00    
7  PETITE N' SMITTY Oct04 Apr25 Apr09     (meeks karl)PAULING RAKEEN 120 10.00    
8  FAST RIDE Oct04 Sep02 Aug11     (rawlings amand)DIAZ I 123 20.00    
 
MNR-5   10/17/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSPIRING JUSTICE Sep19 Sep13 Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 (erfle gerald)CCAMAQUE M 131 1.80 20% 4.10    
2  GEORGE THE MAN Oct11 Sep19 Jun29 May31 May11 (stansbury)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 20.00    
3  OUT FOR JUSTICE Jul20 Jul11 Jun20 Jun14 Jun06 (gomez alejandro)VEGA L 123 30.00    
4  DELAYED ENGAGEMENT         (kirk sherry)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
5  AW ITE Sep26 Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 0.80 56% 0.80    
6  REJUVENATE Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 Jun12 May24 (larue steve)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-6   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARISTA THE CAT Sep30 Aug17 Jul19 Jun30   (johnston rebecca)BUSH V 118 12.00    
2  MIMI'S GOLDEN RING         (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  MAMBO KITTEN Sep29 Sep21 Sep06 Aug09 Jul21 (andrade hug)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 3.00    
SCR  CLIMATE         (montano w)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 8.00    
5  FIONA Sep30         (sullivan elli)BRACHO A 118 4.00 35% 1.90    
6  PANGEA Oct05 Sep12 Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 (langley c)YARANGA Y 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Sep27 Sep12 Jun02 May12   (vitali)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00    
8  MOONLIGHT TANGO Aug21 Aug06       (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 20.00    
 
MNR-7   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER STICK STAIR Oct03 Sep04 Aug25 Jul27 Jun19 (acevedo i)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
2  SHOW ME THE BEST Sep14 Aug24 Aug06 Jun23 May08 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
3  AYKIZ Sep20 Jul03 May20 May02 Apr15 (calderon iv)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50    
4  QUARANTINA Sep20 Sep08 Aug30 Aug14 Jul26 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
5  READY SEEKER Jan15         (ackerman d )LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
6  ROYAL COUNTY Aug08 May30 Mar05 Feb12   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 2.50    
SCR  MISSCZECH Oct09 Aug16 Jul31 Jun18 Mar28 (eidschun grego)DIAZ I 118 5.00    
 
MNR-8   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP TAXI Sep28 Aug31 Jul13 May15 May02 (eidsch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 17.90    
2  DISTORTEDATTHEBAR Oct05 Sep18 Sep06 Aug09 Jun21 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 10.00    
3  DOCTOR LEE Sep27 Aug22 Jul19 Jun20 May03 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
4  JUSTIN FRONT Oct05 Sep12 Aug30 Jul26 Jul13 (baird w)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  SHACKLESON Sep19 Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun12 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  WELL CONNECTED Jun30 Jun11       (march william)BUSH V 120 8.00    
7  I'M A COOL MAN Sep28 Sep12 Aug03 Jul24 Jul10 (cain crys)CORREA L 123 4.50 17% 4.80    
8  PRETTY STORMY Oct06 Sep05 Aug22 Aug15 Aug03 (murillo rodr)TAPARA BRANDON 120 3.00    
9  KICKSTARTER Oct03 Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 Jun06 (demczyk virg)LUNA ELEMANIEL 116 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.