Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAZON LIZZIE Jul28 Jul14 Jul04 Jun20 May31 (hogue james )BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00 9% 9.90    
LADY KIM Aug17 Aug09 Jul24 Jul03 Jun21 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
WATERLOO SUNSET Aug08 Jul20 Jul06 Jun21 Jun06 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
BROOKLYNS SURPRISE Jul14 Jun20 May17     (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 2.50    
DAVE'S TEXAS LADY Aug16 Jul28 Jul12 Jun30 Jun16 (radosevich s)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
LADY MARVEL Aug16 Aug08 Jul26 Jul07 Jun30 (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
WILD LOOKER Aug16 Jul28 Jul14 Jun27 Jun16 (skawinski car)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
ODD GAL Aug16 Aug01 Jul14 Jun06 May31 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
PID-2   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIVALINA Aug08 Jul06 Jun03 Apr22 Mar17 (walsh brendan)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
ALATION Aug10 Jul20 Jun30 Jun09   (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00    
CRYSTAL SHIP Aug08         (bourke w)GALLARDO A 120 4.00    
VAN HAVEN Aug12         (beattie m)SPIETH S 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
MIDNIGHT CHOIR         (hendriks richard)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
FLOAT AWAY Aug15 Jul20 Jun30     (bourke john)STANLEY O 120 12.00    
SWEET AMY Aug17 Jul20 Jun22     (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00    
 
PID-3   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 2 F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARISIAN SUMMER Aug03 Jun16       (hendriks rich)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 11% 7.70    
NOT LIKE MY ROAD         (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.00 56% 0.80    
AIR ONE Aug17 Jul26       (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00    
CHEAP AND CHEERFUL Aug09         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 5.00    
FUNNEE Aug10 Jul11       (dickey keith)STANLEY O 120 12.00    
LA PANDA Aug16         (skawinski car)WALKER M 120 3.00 5% 17.50    
WINE WITH A ROSE Jul26 Jul11       (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 4.50    
 
PID-4   08/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATLANTIC SUN (GB) Aug17 Aug02 Jul21 Jul05 Jun16 (clousto)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
YADI Jul28 Jul19 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 8% 11.20    
LOYALTY SPIRIT Aug08 Jun20 Jun14 May31   (clouston edwar)JURADO EDDIE 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
HONOR COLLECTION Aug17 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00    
ST. PADDY'S DADDY Aug23 Aug08 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 (girten t)GALLARDO A 124 5.00    
SIDE TRACKED Aug08 Jul25 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 (potts g)SPIETH S 124 8.00    
DAHOG Jul25 Jun23 Jun15 May25 May17 (radosevich she)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
 
PID-5   08/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY ACTOR Jul25 Jun28 Jun07     (hay r)STANLEY O 122 15.00    
MAMBOCELLO Aug16 Aug02 Jun22 Jun07 May31 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
RED CAT (CHI) Aug08 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun15 (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
NAMARUNU (GER) Aug16 May25       (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
SHAKEDOWN Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
HOLY TRUTH Aug02 Jun29 Jun06 May16   (martin willi)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
SCR  INCLUSIVE Aug17 Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 Mar25 (stokes lance)AYALA J 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
BLUE SKY'S ABOVE Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 Jun22 Jun09 (bourke john)WALKER M 122 4.50 8% 10.80    
POLLOCK Aug02 Jul05 Jun22 May31 Apr16 (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
10  HE'S SO ZAZZY Jun07 May24 Mar31 Mar12   (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
11  LAUDERDALE Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 May24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
 
PID-6   08/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEED WAY Aug16 Jun03 May22     (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50    
GREY INVASION Aug16 Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 May18 (lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00    
LAKE NAKURU Aug10 Jul23 Jul06 Jun20 Jun06 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
LUIS TWO GUNS Aug10 Jul21 Jul01 May07 Apr29 (skawinsk)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
SUMMER PALACE Aug10 Aug01 Jul12 Jun29 Jun22 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
LUPI Aug11 Jul27 Jul14     (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00    
GOLOVKIN Aug10 Jul21 Jun30 Jun01 May04 (guciardo joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
HONORABLE Aug10 Jul21 Jul06 Jun20 Jun02 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 10.00 9% 10.10    
 
PID-7   08/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIGHT TO PARADISE Aug10 Jul25 Jun22 May12 Apr01 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
HEIRLOOM KITTEN Aug09 Jul18 Jun27 Jun08 Mar17 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
JO JO HANS Aug09 Jul26 Jul04 Jun01 May17 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 117 8.00    
BEACH HOLIDAY Jul12 Jun02 May26 Apr14 Mar31 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 117 8.00    
STRIKE THE TOP Aug09 Jul25 Jun15 May30 Apr30 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
CUZ Aug15 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 (guciardo joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
SCR  ON BASE Aug09 Jul25       (rice kevin)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 Jun21 Jun02 (kintz matth)WALKER M 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
FLAWLESS BOURBON Aug02 Jul12 Jun20 Jun08 May24 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Aug16 Jul26 Jul07 Jun23 Jun13 (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 118 12.00    
OVER IT Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (lucarelli shan)ALLEN D 118 8.00 18% 4.50    
SUMMER BOSS Aug09 Jul12 Jun23 Jun13 Jun01 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 118 3.00    
AMERICAN CHAOS Aug16 Jul18 Jun20 May28 Apr08 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
FAST AXTON Aug02 Jul04       (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 20.00    
MAGICSTICK Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun08 May30 (depasquale k)AYALA J 122 15.00    
LEGIO Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 Jun20 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
C C'S KITTEN Aug09 Jul04 Jun15 Feb27 Jan09 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 4.00    
KOOSMAN Jul19 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 Jun07 (girten tim)SPIETH S 118 12.00    
10  AUDACIOUS ANTOINE Aug02 Jul22 Jun28 Jun17 May31 (brownfield claud)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
11  KIANG Aug02 Jul18 Jul12 Jul04 Jun20 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.