Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Tuesday - June 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN WITH GRACE May20 May06 Mar24 Mar05 Feb16 (langley jos)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 10.00    
BLAZING ZENNA Jun02 May04 Mar31 Mar14 Feb26 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
SIMONA'S CHOICE May25 May12 Apr22 Mar18 Feb21 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50    
ONE FAST ORB May25 Apr28 Apr20 Mar26 Mar02 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
FLAXEN Jun02 May11 Mar22 Mar08 Jan11 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
SKY May25 May02 Mar14 Feb15 Jan21 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
 
TDN-2   06/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MISTER MOBIL Jun01 May21 May07 Apr12 Mar07 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  JUDGE HEAD May31 May02 Mar16 Feb19 Jan11 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50    
MUSTANG WILLIE May23 May07 Apr16 Mar18   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
JOES A ROCKIN May25         (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00    
SPEEDY MOBILE         (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
TIGER TRAIL Mar24 Mar09 Feb19     (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 9% 9.70    
SHOW SLIDING HOME May03 Apr16 Mar24     (trevino stephe)COLON H 123 3.50    
 
TDN-3   06/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET JILL'S JACK May11 Apr26 Jan11     (campbe)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
1A  HAPPY TAKEOVER May26 May11 Apr26     (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
LONE BOY May26 May16 Apr27     (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 115 2.50 29% 2.50    
HITE May26 May11       (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 115 6.00    
CHOCOLATE RABBIT May26 Apr27       (cline c)PAUCAR E 115 8.00    
VENTURE ON Apr15 Mar14 Feb16 Jan22   (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 6.00    
BILLY BEACOUP May31 May16 Apr27 Apr04 Mar05 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
COWTOWN BOSS May26 May11 Apr04 Mar19   (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   06/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTA COWGIRL May18 Jan21 Jan05     (poole m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00    
HAPPY AS YOU GO Jun01 Apr27 Apr06 Mar14 Jan24 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 2.50 22% 3.40    
SWEET BETTY JOYCE May18 Apr28 Apr16 Mar26 Mar01 (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
QUEEN AIR Jun02 May18       (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  GRAZIA WHO Jun01         (severin robert)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
ROCK STAR LADY Jun01 Apr28 Apr16 Mar14   (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 8% 11.90    
INSPIRING LILY         (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-5   06/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE May20 Apr16       (brooks e)RIVERA R 117 3.50 8% 11.70    
GRAY ROYALITY May23 Jan01       (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 6% 15.40    
FLORENZIA Apr26 Feb23       (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 115 4.50 23% 3.30    
VAVITE May11 Apr27 Apr13 Apr02 Feb28 (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 12.00    
STORMY BELLA Apr26 Apr02 Feb22 Jan22 Jan01 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 110 30.00    
CURRENT CAUSE May31 May11 Apr01 Mar11 Feb16 (fadlovich mega)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 6.00    
BLUE SAGE (IRE) Mar01 Jan22 Jan12 Jan01   (skerrett j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 36% 1.80    
I DON'T KNOW MARGO May15 Apr09       (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.00    
 
TDN-6   06/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORE OF EDEN Jun01 May11 Apr27 Mar23 Feb16 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
DANCIN' ROSIE May30 May16 Apr28     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
GRINS N' WINS May30 May16 Apr28 Apr12 Mar31 (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 54% 0.90    
OPULENT May16 Mar10 Feb19     (johnson g)CORREA L 119 6.00    
LOLA LOUISE May24         (ott l)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
CAT'S RHYTHM May30 May16 Apr28 Apr06 Mar31 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
CONGRATS JENSEN May21 Apr25 Apr12 Mar23   (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 5.00    
FRONT CIRCLE May30         (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 119 10.00 7% 13.60    
 
TDN-7   06/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKS GOOD N A TUX May31 May21 Jan25 Jan05   (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
STAR HAWK May18 Apr11 Mar07 Feb16 Jan14 (erdel john)DIAZ I 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
FORTUNATE FRIENDS May31 May12 Apr13 Apr02 Mar09 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  ENJOY BASEBALL May24 May12 Apr27 Apr02 Mar10 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
SMASH May31 May12 Apr27 Apr15 Mar15 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 121 8.00 8% 12.00    
ZITMAN May31 May12 Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 6.00    
WARRIOR'S DREAM May31 May09 Apr11 Mar22 Mar09 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50 8% 11.40    
SILVER G T O May09 Apr12 Mar31 Mar10 Jan04 (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 15.00    
 
TDN-8   06/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARCH MAGIC May31 May16 Apr27 Apr13 Apr04 (brown glen)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.50    
BABA LOOEY May16         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
JOHNS BIG RED Jan22 Jan05       (radcliff )CORREA L 119 30.00    
BRILLIANTBENNY May31 Jan31 Jan15     (skerrett je)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00 16% 5.20    
RAGAZZO         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 9% 10.40    
VOLUMATTIC May16         (madriga)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00    
RUNAWAY RUSSELL May18 Apr27 Apr04 Mar09   (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
BIG TIME FLIRT         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00 8% 12.00    
MY HOMBRE         (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.