Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12.29K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTY BLACK Feb18 Jan14       (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  FICTIONAL Mar15 Feb22 Feb11 Feb01 Jan20 (silva juan )SCRIVER L 124 4.00    
3  BLACKBERRY LISA Mar02 Jan28       (ry)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  RED NOVA Mar05 Feb25 Jan24 Jan07   (stubblefield ken)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 20% 3.90    
5  BOOGIE TWO SHOES Mar02 Feb11 Feb02 Jan25 Jan03 (brown jared)CIVACI SAHIN 122 3.00 ★    
6  A DIME FOR ME Mar14 Feb18 Jan28     (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-2   03/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESAHEATWAVE Mar02 Feb04 Jan20 Jan11   (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  SWEET HONOR Mar14 Mar02 Feb14 Feb02 Jan17 (villamar c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
3  DOUBLE DARE YOU Feb24 Feb03 Jan14     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00    
4  GUARDING ELK CAMP Mar02 Feb08 Jan20 Jan12   (mitchell c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
5  MCGOLDIE Mar15 Jan20       (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
6  TRANS MISSISSIPPI Mar15 Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 Jan05 (gomez alejandro)CRUZ M 124 12.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   03/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.85K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOUSE LIMIT Feb28 Feb10 Feb01 Jan19   (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.50 ★    
2  MIKE OPERATOR Feb28 Feb01 Jan09     (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
3  CANDY WOMPUS Mar08 Feb17 Feb01 Jan18   (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 122 4.00 45% 1.20    
4  GO FOR A RIDE Feb18 Feb03       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 ★    
5  MARKET KING Mar08 Feb28 Feb10 Jan11   (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 3.00    
6  MISSED THE BOAT Mar04 Feb07 Jan19     (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
TUP-4   03/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUMEROLOGIST Mar02 Jan25       (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  TRY TO CAPTURE Jan24 Jan07       (dennison h)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 ★    
3  ASCOT STORM Mar02 Jan27       (matt l)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00 ★    
4  CAUCUS RULES Mar02 Feb04       (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
5  ABI GEZUNT Feb17 Jan21 Jan03     (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
6  ENOUGH NONSENSE Mar07 Feb16 Feb02 Jan07   (ji)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   03/23/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($22.3K) 3 ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SAVANT Feb13 Jan22       (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00    
2  RESULTANT Jan24         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 6.00    
3  JOKER MATT Mar03 Feb15 Feb01     (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 12.00 ★    
4  KEENEYE GEORGE Feb08         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00    
5  MINNESOTA RED Mar02 Jan24       (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 5.00 ★    
6  THIRSTY KISS Mar02 Feb07 Jan20     (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.50 59% 0.70    
7  CREATIVE ONE Mar14 Feb20 Jan23     (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 9% 10.40    
8  TRAPALIS Mar02 Jan24       (belvoir vann)MAWING A 121 8.00 7% 13.70    
 
TUP-6   03/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EZ RULER Feb24 Feb07 Jan18     (barra)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 8.00 ★    
2  SON OF SMALLS Mar14 Feb01 Jan17     (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
3  SHACKEY'S LOVE Feb12 Jan21       (evans jus)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
4  SHOOTING Mar08         (evans justin)ZUNINO L 124 0.80 37% 1.70    
5  MIZZEN POWER Mar02 Jan28 Jan16 Jan07   (gale bryce)MAWING A 124 6.00    
6  PRAYFORTATERS Mar05 Feb26 Feb01 Jan10   (nelson amy)LARSEN S 118 10.00    
7  SUPER INTENSE Feb24 Feb07       (o'brien da)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 12.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   03/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.86K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIVE A LITTLE Mar07 Feb07 Jan20     (perren a)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50    
2  AUTISM SAVANT Mar01 Feb10 Jan19 Jan05   (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 4.00 ★    
3  SHAKELAS DESTINY Mar07 Feb10 Jan19     (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 ★    
4  BY MOONLIGHT Mar10 Mar01 Feb07 Jan15 Jan08 (mitchell c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
5  BLAME THE DEVIL Mar09 Feb15 Feb07 Jan24 Jan12 (schnell don)SCRIVER L 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  NORTH FORK Mar07 Feb10 Jan19 Jan05   (guerrero o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  BIG LARRY Feb10 Jan26       (ma)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00 9% 9.80    
 
TUP-8   03/23/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE THIRD RING Mar03 Feb07 Jan07     (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 124 12.00    
2  HOLY CROSS Mar15 Feb21 Feb01     (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 124 4.50 11% 8.40    
3  ME B BUBBA T Feb18 Jan14       (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
4  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jan28 Jan06       (toye joe)MAWING A 116 15.00    
5  GIVE EM HECK BECK Mar08 Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 Jan03 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
6  ZERO DOWN Mar02 Feb07       (silva jose)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 ★    
7  QUINTO SOL Mar01 Feb07 Jan05     (rycroft tim)VERGARA P 122 4.00 17% 4.70    
8  BREXTON Mar10 Jan24 Jan03     (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  CIRCLE WEST Feb14 Jan24 Jan10     (gleason m)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.