Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - May 08, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/4/3)-(7/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/3/2)-(1/9/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-3   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(1/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(1/9/5/8)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (1/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/8)-(1/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/8)-(1/9/5/8)-(1/9/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/5/8)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/8)-(2/3/5)-(3/1/4/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-5   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/1/4/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/1/4/6/9)-(9/3/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-6   WIN (3/1/4/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/6/9)-(3/1/4/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/6/9)-(3/1/4/6/9)-(3/1/4/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/4/6/9)-(9/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/6/9)-(9/3/4/7)-(5/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-7   WIN (9/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/7)-(9/3/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/7)-(9/3/4/7/2)-(9/3/4/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/4/7)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/7)-(5/4/1)-(11/6/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-8   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(11/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CD-9   WIN (11/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/6/3/1)-(11/6/3/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/6/3/1)-(11/6/3/8/1)-(11/6/3/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/08/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANIMAL FRIES Mar12 Feb19 Jan02 Nov16 Oct22 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50    
2  CORA'S LEGACY Mar26 Feb20 Feb06 Dec19 Dec05 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.50 13% 6.90    
3  NIGHT CRY Mar18 Mar05 Feb18 Jan22 Jan07 (gorostieta gube)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ARGAN Apr17 Mar21 Mar08 Feb15 Dec14 (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.20    
SCR  TEMPORARILYFOREVER Mar25 Mar06 Feb06 Dec12 Sep13 (cline robert)RAMOS D 118 12.00    
6  GYPSAN Mar22 Feb13 Jan25 Jan04 Dec12 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
CD-2   05/08/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST JOKER Apr19 Apr10 Mar14 Feb08 Jun06 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 123 3.50    
2  WISH CAREFULLY Mar27 Jan14 Dec11 Nov22 Oct11 (lovell michell)SHEEHY DANNY 123 1.80 57% 0.80    
3  AUBREY'S MAX Apr08 Mar18 Feb12 Dec12 Nov02 (kerrick lacy)CURTIS BEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROMANTIC LEAD Apr18 Mar27 Feb20 Jan22 Dec20 (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
5  PHENOMENAL DREAM Apr19 Mar27 Mar13 Feb21 Feb08 (shorter aaron)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.00    
6  TISUM Apr15 Jan14 Oct29 Sep26 Sep03 (munoz carlos)TORRES A 118 20.00    
 
CD-3   05/08/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVEHAPPY Mar19 Feb07 Jan07 Nov23 Oct21 (radosevich)HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00    
2  ODORICO Feb26 Jan07 Dec20 Oct23 Sep20 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  YOU BELONG HERE Mar19 Feb19 Jan10 Nov02 Sep28 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
4  CATAMOUNT Apr08 Jun12 Mar21 Feb17 Dec11 (meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 124 15.00    
5  GALLO DE FUEGO Mar06 Feb15 Nov28 Jul11 Jun12 (gallegos a)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 ★    
6  AERATE Apr19 Apr10 Mar26 Mar08 Feb27 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 126 3.00    
7  MISTER BANDERAS Mar21 Mar09 Feb17 Jan24 Jan03 (larose kinnon)ORTIZ L 126 1.20 56% 0.80    
 
CD-4   05/08/2026 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOAST THE STAR Apr17 Aug23       (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOUBLE CAST by BROKEN VOW (IRE))
SCR  YES JULIA Apr09 Mar08 Feb14 Dec27 Nov26 (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of YES LIZ by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  FREGATA Feb14 Jan18 Dec20 Nov21 Oct26 (catalano )CARRASCO R 118 20.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of FARRELL by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  FASHION QUEST Mar21 Mar01       (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of FASHION WEEK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  CHEDDAR Mar14         (beckman whit)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 7% 12.90    
  (by GOLD ALERT out of SHE'S EXPENSIVE by GRAZEN)
6  CEARNACH Nov19 Oct22       (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BEGUILED by ORB)
7  BEAU CUP         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of MAGICA STRIPES by EQUAL STRIPES (ARG))
8  VICTOR VALLEY Apr16 Feb21 Feb05 Dec19 Nov26 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BLAME IT ON ED by BLAME)
9  FANCY LADY (BRZ) Mar20 Feb01       (mccarthy michael)CURTIS BEN 118 1.80 21% 3.80    
  (by EXECUTIONER out of CURLIN'S VOYAGE by CURLIN)
10  ANNA OF AUSTRIA         (torres concepc)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of OUR CONQUISTADORA by WILBURN)
SCR  AMAZON TIME Jan21         (wojczynski jus)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ANTIANARA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  SPARE ME Feb14 Jan18 Dec20 Nov21   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
  (by SUTTER'S PROSPECT out of SPARE YOU by NOSTRUM)
SCR  VIVIANITE         (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GHERARDINI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CARDIFF REEF Mar06 Nov26 Oct17 Sep16 Aug17 (meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 118 12.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PRINCESS VIVIAN by UH OH BANGO)
 
CD-5   05/08/2026 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CE LA VI CHARLI Mar14 Feb27 Feb08 Jan04 Dec20 (garcia ge)CARRASCO R 118 15.00    
2  CERVARO DELLA SALA (GB) Apr24 Mar06 Dec21 Nov30 Nov05 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 41% 1.50    
3  SWEET NOTE Apr03 Feb20 Jan15 Dec27 Nov20 (larose kinnon)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
4  BIG DIG Apr19 Mar19 Feb13 Dec04 Oct25 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40    
5  MOM'S CHEESECAKE Apr09 Mar25 Feb28 Jan03 Dec03 (kerrick lacy)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  SASSY PRINCESS Apr24 Mar06 Feb14 Jan16 Dec26 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
 
CD-6   05/08/2026 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARATOGA SPECIAL (IRE) Apr12 Feb21       (baltas richard)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
2  EXCLUSIVE STAR Feb17 Jan22 Nov23 Nov07 Oct03 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 6.00    
3  BRACELET Apr10 Mar08 Dec27 Nov28 Oct24 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
4  SOMETHINABOUTHER Apr10 Nov28 Oct24 Sep06 Jul26 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
5  CONTRARY Mar15 Feb13 Jan08 Nov12 Sep26 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
6  FANTASTICAL Mar20 Feb11 Jan21 Jul05 May26 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 7% 12.40    
7  SANCTIFY Apr15 Aug03 Jul06 Jun11 May11 (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 30.00    
8  LADY ILZE (GB) Apr10 Aug30       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
9  LIAM IN THE DUST Apr08 Sep20 Aug03 Jun26 May16 (brisset r)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   05/08/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNICKS N STONES         (jarvis kathy)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of JULESFORYOU by PROTONICO)
2  ITCHY Apr23 Mar20 Feb25 Feb06 Sep14 (barker w)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 ★    
  (by OUTFLANKER out of SWEET MIRAGE by DARN THAT ALARM)
3  CERBERUS Jan31         (robson lau)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of BIRD FU by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
4  ELEOS Apr08 Nov07 Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 (munoz carlo)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVERLY PLACE by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  BANDSTAND         (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by DEPUTY MINISTER out of CITY BAND by CARSON CITY)
6  CHAIRMANOFTHEBOARD (IRE)         (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
  (by SLADE POWER (IRE) out of BOUND COPY by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  SPARKED Apr10         (mckeever andre)SHEEHY DANNY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FACT OF LIFE by THE FACTOR)
8  CAPTAIN MERCURY         (crichton ro)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of DONNA D by DIXIE UNION)
9  TILT A TWIRL Apr19         (arnold george )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LOVERS QUARREL by LIAM'S MAP)
 
CD-8   05/08/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDITOR Apr22 Mar16 Feb16     (holsapple )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANTRAX Apr11 Sep06 Aug27 Aug09   (munoz carlo)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
3  TOM CAT TUESDAY Mar01 Feb19 Dec19 Nov30 Nov09 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
4  TAP ME A SONG Apr10 Feb22 Jan16 Nov05 Oct22 (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
5  MADAKET ROAD Dec28 Aug23 Jun07 May03 Mar29 (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 124 0.40 52% 0.90    
6  GHOST TALES Mar27 Mar05 Dec04 Oct29   (molloy th)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
7  IMAGINE JOHN Oct24 Oct04 Aug30 Jul24 Jul05 (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   05/08/2026 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME FOR AMERICA Apr03 Feb27       (nihei michelle)ROCCO S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CASA CIELO Feb28 Jan22 Jan03 Nov26 Oct05 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
3  EXONERATE Oct05 Sep06 Aug02 Jun29   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  VINTUR Oct05 Sep07       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  SUNRISE Feb28 Jan11 Nov28 Sep27 Aug31 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00    
6  FANCY SAILOR Mar08 Jan25       (lynch bria)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
7  CLASSIC TAP Mar21 Feb14 Jan17     (beckman w)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
8  MENDELS MATE Apr10 Mar05 Feb14 Dec26 Nov30 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★    
9  ZAKINTHOS Mar22 Feb22 Jul06     (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
10  ZEUS'S ECHO Apr10 Mar05 Nov01 Oct05 Aug31 (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
11  WEST END KID Apr11 Feb08       (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  BRAVE FORCE Mar21 Feb28 Jan17 Dec12 Nov01 (sisterson)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00    
SCR  CHAMBERSVILLE Apr10 Feb07 Dec06 Oct25 Oct02 (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF RIDE Apr10 Mar06 Feb05 Dec20 Nov30 (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.