Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Dirt Pick 5 Derby Day
Saturday - May 02, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EQH-1   05/02/2026 4620ft DIRT RC14 Derby City Distaff Purse ($1000K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  USHA Dec28 Oct18 Sep05 Jul27 Oct25 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of ANIMAL APPEAL by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
2  HAULIN ICE May01 Mar27 Feb20 Dec27 Nov01 (joseph sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SHE'S SMOKE by HALF OURS)
3  AUTUMN EVENING Mar29 Feb15 Jan02 Dec08 Nov10 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 123 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LUCKY LONG by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
4  WAYS AND MEANS Jun06 May03 Nov02 Sep29 Aug03 (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of STRONG INCENTIVE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  SPLENDORA Mar07 Feb07 Nov01 Sep01 Jul24 (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MISS FREEZE by FROST GIANT)
6  R DISASTER Apr04 Mar07 Nov08 Sep27 Aug20 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 12% 7.40    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of MAKING HAVOC by GOTTCHA GOLD)
 
EQH-2   05/02/2026 5280ft DIRT RC11 Knicks Go Overnight Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROTHA KENY Mar28 Jan24 Nov25 Oct24 Sep20 (d'angelo jose)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of RARAMURI PRINCESS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  DRAGOON GUARD Mar14 Nov30 Oct25 Sep24 Aug28 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of FILIMBI by MIZZEN MAST)
3  BANJO CHRIS Feb13 Jan03 Nov30 Sep13 Aug31 (wismer s)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STORMY GIGI by STORM BOOT)
4  BE YOU Apr04 Feb06 Dec27 Nov22 Oct09 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by CURLIN out of JACARANDA by CONGRATS)
5  PRINCE OF POWER Mar11 Feb14 Dec26 Dec06 Nov21 (cambray and)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 30.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEMIGODDESS by FIRST DUDE)
6  TOUR PLAYER Mar14 Jan24 Nov30 Jun12 May23 (beckman whit)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of INSHANNITY by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  WILL TAKE IT Mar28 Feb05 Dec20 Nov30 Nov01 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00    
  (by TAPIT out of LADY TAKE CHARGE by WAR FRONT)
8  BERNIN HOT Feb28 Nov15 Sep18 Aug21 Jul09 (crichton g)CURTIS BEN 118 30.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
9  SCOTLAND Mar28 Nov30 Nov02 Sep27 Aug23 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of GEMSWICK PARK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  CAPITAL IDEA Mar28 Feb15 Nov21 Oct24 Aug31 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 12% 7.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of REVER DE VOUS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11  MOONLIGHT Feb14 Jan17 Nov30 Oct25 Sep28 (block chris)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 9% 9.60    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SUNDOWN by VIGORS)
 
EQH-3   05/02/2026 5280ft DIRT RC13 Pat Day Mile Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISHMAN Mar19 Sep19       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by GENTLEMEN (ARG) out of CHALAND by HIGHLAND BLADE)
2  TROUBLE CALLING Apr03 Feb14 Jan17 Nov23 Oct19 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by DIALED IN out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  WORK Mar14 Feb15 Jan18 Nov30 Oct13 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 50.00    
  (by MENIFEE out of PACIFIC CITY by CARSON CITY)
4  SECURED FREEDOM Mar07 Feb07 Dec28 Nov22   (yakteen tim)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SECURELY by UNCLE MO)
5  STOP THE CAR Mar21 Jan17 Nov29 Oct24   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of PUSSYFOOT by CIANO CAT)
6  CRUDE VELOCITY Apr04 Mar07       (baffert bob)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of SWEETNSOUR KITTY by LEMON DROP KID)
7  CROWN THE BUCKEYE Feb28 Jan17 Dec20 Oct25 Aug14 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
  (by YAUPON out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  CREOLE CHROME Apr04 Feb28 Jan18 Dec13 Nov20 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 10% 9.30    
  (by VOLATILE out of FUNNY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
9  LOCKSTOCKNPHAROAH Mar14 Feb07 Dec19     (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LOCKSTEP by NYQUIST)
10  GREAT WHITE Apr04 Feb21 Jan17 Dec12   (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
  (by SEA SALUTE out of CONDUCTRICE by MISWAKI)
11  ONE MORE FREUD Aug30 Aug01       (hess b)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of FREUDIAN FINISH by HAYNESFIELD)
12  BAYTOWN DREAMER Mar21 Feb21 Feb06 Jan03 Oct23 (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 118 50.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of COLERFUL BRIDE by MUNNINGS)
 
EQH-4   05/02/2026 4620ft DIRT RC14 Churchill Downs Purse ($1000K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCO TIME Mar07 Jan24 Nov08 Sep19 Jan18 (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DISCO CHICK by JUMP START)
2  CORNUCOPIAN Mar29 Jan31 Apr27 Mar29 Feb23 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAGICAL WORLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  MACHO MUSIC Mar28 Jul25 Jun07 May03 Mar30 (crichton roh)CASTELLANO J 123 30.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SOUTHERN GIRL by WORLD APPEAL)
4  HALL OF FAME (ARG) Jul26 May31 May02 Mar22 Feb15 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 123 20.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of FLAG DAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  DISRUPTOR Mar07 Jan31 Mar29 Mar01 Jan25 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MARGATE GARDENS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  KNIGHTSBRIDGE Feb28 Jan24 Dec27 Nov22 Feb15 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.80 26% 2.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of TYBURN BROOK by BERNARDINI)
7  IMAGINATION Nov01 Sep28 Jan25 Dec26 Oct26 (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAGICAL FEELING by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  T O ELVIS         (takayanagi dai)SAKAI RYUSEI 123 30.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of STOPSHOPPINGDEBBIE by CURLIN)
9  CRAZY MASON Apr04 Dec06 Sep27 Aug23 Jul26 (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 123 15.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of IZSHELEGAL by MARIA'S MON)
10  BANISHING Jan24 Dec13 Nov01 Sep27 Aug22 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DOWAGER by A.P. INDY)
11  POINT DUME Apr04 Feb14 Jan17 Dec31 Nov15 (kreiser timo)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAYA MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
 
EQH-5   05/02/2026 6600ft DIRT RC14 Kentucky Derby Purse ($5000K) 3 ALL PT- 9:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENEGADE Mar28 Feb07 Dec06 Oct17 Aug16 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPICE IS NICE by CURLIN)
2  ALBUS Apr04 Feb27 Nov29 Oct16   (mott riley)FRANCO MANUEL 126 30.00    
  (by STUDENT COUNCIL out of HELAINE'S HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
3  INTREPIDO Apr04 Feb07 Oct31 Oct04 Aug23 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 50.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OVERLY INDULGENT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
4  LITMUS TEST Mar28 Mar01 Dec13 Oct31 Oct04 (baffert bob)GARCIA MARTIN 126 50.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of STUDY HARD by MALIBU MOON)
5  RIGHT TO PARTY Apr04 Feb28 Jan10 Dec13   (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 126 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HAVIN' A PARTY by EMCEE)
6  COMMANDMENT Mar28 Feb28 Jan03 Nov01 Oct04 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 126 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by CHARISMATIC out of RADU COOL by CARNIVALAY)
7  DANON BOURBON         (ikezoe man)NISHIMURA ATSUYA 126 20.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of WILD RIDGE by TAPIT)
8  SO HAPPY Apr04 Mar07 Jan10 Nov22   (glatt mark)SMITH E 126 15.00 11% 7.80    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SO CUNNING by BLAME)
9  THE PUMA Mar28 Mar07 Feb07 Jan10   (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 126 10.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of EVE OF WAR by DECLARATION OF WAR)
10  WONDER DEAN         (takayanagi dai)SAKAI RYUSEI 126 30.00    
  (by DEE MAJESTY out of WONDER SIANG PRAW by WONDER ACUTE)
11  INCREDIBOLT Mar14 Jan31 Oct26 Sep28 Aug22 (mott riley)TORRES A 126 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
12  CHIEF WALLABEE Mar28 Feb28 Jan10     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of A LA LUCIE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
13  SILENT TACTIC Mar28 Mar01 Feb06 Jan03 Nov02 (casse mar)TORRES A 126 20.00 11% 8.30    
  (by TACITUS out of MAGICAL SIGN by GUN RUNNER)
14  POTENTE Apr04 Mar07 Jan31     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 20.00 14% 6.10    
  (by BLACK MINNALOUSHE out of PRIVATE TREATY by PRIVATE TERMS)
15  EMERGING MARKET Mar21 Feb07       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of WILD EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
16  PAVLOVIAN Mar21 Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Oct31 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 126 30.00    
  (by PAVEL out of MANDY'S GRACE by BELLAMY ROAD)
17  SIX SPEED         (seemar bhu)HERNANDEZ J 126 50.00    
  (by SARATOGA SIX out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
18  FURTHER ADO Apr04 Mar07 Nov29 Oct10 Aug30 (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 126 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SKY DREAMER by SKY MESA)
19  GOLDEN TEMPO Mar21 Feb14 Jan17 Dec20   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 126 30.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CARRUMBA by CARR DE NASKRA)
20  FULLEFFORT Mar21 Feb21 Jan17 Oct23 Sep10 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 20.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CALLMETHESQUEEZE by AWESOME AGAIN)
21  GREAT WHITE Apr04 Feb21 Jan17 Dec12   (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 126 50.00    
  (by SEA SALUTE out of CONDUCTRICE by MISWAKI)
22  OCELLI Apr04 Mar14 Feb07 Jan17 Dec20 (beckman wh)RAMOS D 126 50.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ZALIA by SCAT DADDY)
23  ROBUSTA Apr04 Mar07 Feb07 Jan09 Nov22 (o'neill doug)JARAMILLO E 126 50.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of URBANE LEGEND by INTO MISCHIEF)
24  CORONA DE ORO Apr11 Mar07 Jan24 Oct16 Sep12 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 126 50.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON DE ORO by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.