Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 15, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(3/4/1)-(7/3/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (7/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/4)-(7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/4)-(7/6)-(3/9/5/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/6)-(3/9/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(3/9/5/7)-(2/3/7/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (3/9/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/7)-(3/9/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/7)-(3/9/5/7)-(3/9/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/5/7)-(2/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5/7)-(2/3/7/4)-(3/4/8/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (2/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/4)-(3/4/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/4)-(3/4/8/5)-(10/2/7/5/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (3/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/5)-(3/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/5)-(3/4/8/5)-(3/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/8/5)-(10/2/7/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (10/2/7/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/7/5/9)-(10/2/7/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/7/5/9)-(10/2/7/5/9)-(10/2/7/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   05/15/2026 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDIEVAL         (green amelia)ZAYAS J 123 6.00 5% 17.70    
  (by OLDEN TIMES (GB) out of FIRST SALUTE by MIDSHIPMAN)
UNCLESHANE         (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of LOVE APPLE by LION HEART)
TYLOS (FR)         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 41% 1.40    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER (IRE) out of NEW ARRIVAL by ZAMINDAR)
BARDEN         (barrera osc)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 15.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of KNOX COUNTY ZIP by CITY ZIP)
GOODBYE TO ROMANCE         (antonucc)SANTANA JR 123 3.50    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of BECKINSALE by CURLIN)
FIRST SITE         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
  (by EARLY VOTING out of LEMON GALA by LEMON DROP KID)
 
BAQ-2   05/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($75K) Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B PROVOCATEUR Mar29 Mar14 Feb11 Nov08 Sep21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
LIFE IS GRAVY (IRE) Nov01 Oct09       (summers ch)RIVERA R 121 12.00    
SOUTHEASTERN Apr10 Mar27 Feb26 Jan11 Jan02 (rice lin)SANTANA JR 123 4.00 50% 1.00    
TOUGH GUY TONY Mar02 Dec30 Nov26 Nov01 Sep28 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00 16% 5.50    
SCR  SPECIAL OPS Mar28 Feb21 Jan24 Dec20 Nov22 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00    
ANYWAY Apr25 Mar27 Mar07 Feb27 Feb11 (rice linda)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   05/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAMEL CHIP Feb20 Dec26 Nov30 Nov14 Oct30 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00    
LUCAS'S MISCHIEF Jan17 Dec06 Oct28 Sep20 Aug27 (jimenez jos)RIVERA A 119 12.00    
ART FAIR Jul27 Jul12 Jun22 May08 Apr06 (cox h)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 16% 5.20    
FREE DANCE Feb26 Dec04 Nov14 Oct02 Sep22 (englehar)SANTANA JR 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
DISARMED May07 Feb19 Dec10 Mar09 Jan18 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 126 4.50 8% 12.20    
TYPHOON FURY Apr19 Mar13 Feb26 Jan22 Dec31 (charlerie g)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 10.00    
MOTORCADE Apr24 Jun16 May25 Apr28 Apr07 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
BAQ-4   05/15/2026 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POP ART Mar25 Feb01 Jan10 Dec03 Jan12 (proctor thomas )CARMOUCHE K 126 3.50    
AGIA MARINA Apr18 Dec27 Sep06 Aug10 Jul05 (green ameli)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00    
THIENE (IRE) Apr18 Nov02 Oct18 Aug02 Jul03 (rice lin)SANTANA JR 126 4.50    
NO ALIBI         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
PRETTY LAVISH (IRE) Apr18 Mar21 Feb21 Jan24 Sep27 (sweezey ke)ZAYAS J 126 6.00    
STARSHIP ATHENA Jun03 Apr07       (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
THREE TO G Apr09 Feb21 Dec07     (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  ROMANTIC DANCER Apr18 Mar13 Feb13 Feb05 Jan15 (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 126 1.80    
SCR  SAVE US MELANIA Feb13 Dec13 Jun07 May26 May17 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.50    
SCR  SHE'S GRAND May01 Mar14 Jan17 Dec13 Nov19 (rice lin)SANTANA JR 126 4.00    
SCR  SOUNDBITE Apr19 Feb27 Feb11 Oct03 Sep01 (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 126 5.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/15/2026 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($55K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KATERINA RISTOVA May01 Mar21 Feb11 Jan02 Dec05 (chichakly amira)PENA LUIS 126 50.00    
OCEAN RIPPLE Apr30 Jun07 Apr29 Mar28 Mar02 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00    
FRAUDSTER Jan30 Jan04 Nov08 Sep18 Aug08 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
PARAIBA BLUE May01 Feb11 Dec05 Oct05 Sep11 (pregman joh)RIVERA A 119 30.00    
MAGNUM'S MICROBRST May01 Aug29 Aug02 Jul03 Jun05 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.50 6% 15.20    
KEY ACTRESS Dec10 Oct03 Aug29 Jul03 Jun05 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 126 3.00    
MAIZEY BLUE Mar29 Mar12 Jan23     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEAU HILL Apr25 Mar13 Feb12 Jan23   (synnefias d)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 12.00    
DEVILISH GRIN Feb07 Jan18 Nov27 Oct04 Aug27 (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 10% 9.20    
SCR  HIP HOP DANCER May03 Mar19 Mar01 Feb12 Dec26 (donk david)RIVERA A 113 4.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOZAMBIQUE Apr18 Feb28 Feb05 Nov29 Oct10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 126 6.00    
ILLMATIC Apr11 Feb28 Jul16     (clement mig)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.20 45% 1.20    
FIREBALLIN Feb28 Feb05 Jun28 Jun08 Feb08 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.50 24% 3.10    
DON LUIS Mar22 Feb05 Jan10 May04 Oct21 (donk david)RIVERA A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEO'S REWARD Apr18 Dec07 Oct19 Sep20 Aug24 (donk david)CIVACI SAHIN 126 6.00    
PROJECTABILITY Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Feb05 Jan04 (rice lin)SANTANA JR 126 8.00    
LIBERTY RISING Mar22 Feb28 Jan23 Jan01 Dec12 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 126 12.00 6% 16.20    
DUCKY MEDWICK Apr18 Feb28 Jun28 May18 Apr19 (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 126 15.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/15/2026 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($45K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED BURGUNDY Jan02 Oct24 Sep11 Aug06 May17 (de h)SANTANA JR 126 2.50    
HAUNTRESS May03 Apr04 Mar27 Aug28 Aug02 (arriaga ant)RIVERA A 119 20.00    
NORTH END LADY Apr18 Feb21 Feb12 Jan16 Oct09 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.50 29% 2.40    
MEG'S FOXY GREY Apr26 Mar29 Feb19 Dec06 Nov07 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 126 10.00 29% 2.50    
CARADISE Apr12 Mar22 Feb27 Jan10 Nov21 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOBBY JEAN Feb19 Jan04 Nov22 Oct18 Aug24 (hennig mark)ZAYAS J 126 4.00    
SCR  TEXAS HOLIDAY Apr08 Oct16 Oct05 Sep14 Aug02 (vassilieva kate)CARMOUCHE K 126 8.00    
HEAVENLY LIGHT Apr02 Mar05 Jan16 Mar15 Feb09 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 10.00 15% 5.70    
JULIET ON APPROACH Apr23 Mar12 Feb15 Jan18 Dec06 (begg be)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.50    
SCR  HIGHER FORCE May01 Mar19 Feb13 Nov29 Oct23 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 126 3.00    
SCR  BIG AIR Apr26 Jan16 Dec27 Nov28 Nov07 (rice linda)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00    
SCR  BABY SASSICAIA Apr30 Mar08 Feb27 Feb13 Jan16 (schauer i)RIDER TBA 126 6.00    
SCR  PRINCESS NY May08 Apr26 Feb19 Jan18 Nov13 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80    
 
BAQ-8   05/15/2026 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($45K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Nov12 Oct09 Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 126 12.00    
BITE AND STRIKE Apr16 Apr03 Feb28 Jan16 Nov23 (rice linda)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00 18% 4.50    
ROAR OF THE CROWD Apr19 Feb19 Nov27 Oct26 Sep28 (diprima gre)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 30.00    
LAUNCH CONTROL Apr19 Nov23 Nov08 Oct10 Sep14 (brion k)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 126 8.00    
WILLINTORISKITALL Apr04 Mar21 Feb11 Jan01 Dec04 (dutrow r)SANTANA JR 126 8.00 10% 9.30    
CITY OF OSCARS Apr19 Mar21 Feb22 Nov29 Nov12 (casse mark)ZAYAS J 126 3.00    
ROLLIN IN DOUGH Apr19 Mar21 Feb13 May12 Feb24 (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.50 11% 7.90    
GO IRISH Apr17 Mar21 Nov22 Oct17 Sep07 (antonucci jena )DAVIS DYLAN 126 15.00    
OAT COUTOUR Nov14 Oct25 Sep18 Aug20 Jul19 (englehart c)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MASTER FREUD Mar27 Feb13 Dec10 Nov07 Oct10 (arriaga ant)RIVERA A 119 5.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  BOLTAGE May01 Apr03 Feb18 Dec27 Nov23 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
SCR  KID BILLY Apr17 Mar21 Feb15 Mar15 Feb08 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 126 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.