Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Sunday - March 01, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (3/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/1)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/1)-(3/5/2)-(5/4/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/4/1/6)-(3/2/5/9/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/6)-(3/2/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/6)-(3/2/5/9/8)-(10/3/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/2/5/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/9/8)-(3/2/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/9/8)-(3/2/5/9/8)-(3/2/5/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/5/9/8)-(10/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/9/8)-(10/3/4/7)-(1/2/7/5/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-5   WIN (10/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/4/7)-(10/3/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/4/7)-(10/3/4/7/1)-(10/3/4/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/3/4/7)-(1/2/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/4/7)-(1/2/7/5/4)-(7/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/2/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/5/4)-(1/2/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/5/4)-(1/2/7/5/4)-(1/2/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/7/5/4)-(7/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/5/4)-(7/6)-(8/5/9/10) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/6)-(8/5/9/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/5/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/9/10)-(8/5/9/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/9/10)-(8/5/9/10/4)-(8/5/9/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   03/01/2026 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEDISH CANDY Feb01 Jan09 Dec14 Nov02   (abreu fernando)USKE S 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
GEOSTOBLAME Dec31 Oct17 Sep13     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.20    
STANICKY Nov22         (levine b)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 52% 0.90    
CHARLIE HUSTLE Jan01 Dec11 Sep28 Aug29   (abreu jorge)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
TRAPPING HANDS Feb20         (samsunda)VILLA FAVINHO 122 20.00    
BIG BROOKLYN Feb15 Jan23 Jan01 Dec07 Nov01 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 11% 8.20    
REIGN IT IN Feb11 Jan01 Nov12 Oct16 Sep26 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 12% 7.20    
 
AQU-2   03/01/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROLINA SMOKESHOW Dec31 Nov15 Aug31 Jul31 Jul12 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 4.00    
QUICK POWER NAP Nov09 Oct24 Sep27 Sep20 Aug23 (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MEZCALIFORNIA Nov28 Nov07 Oct16 Sep20 Aug08 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
TRUTHORCONSEQUENCE Jan16 Dec30 Nov24 Oct17 Sep15 (cox h)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
CURRENT CLIMATE Feb12 Nov05 Sep25 Aug17 Mar20 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.80 18% 4.60    
ANOTHER CLEESHAY Feb15 Jan09 Jan01 Nov21 Oct16 (follett nor)RIVERA A 116 20.00    
 
AQU-3   03/01/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF TRUTH Feb14 Feb04 Dec31 Nov25 Nov13 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 123 5.00 10% 9.40    
DIVINE LEADER Jan09 Nov22 Jun15 May24 Mar29 (gittens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.00    
CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN Feb04 Nov07 Oct20 Sep14 Aug30 (gittens dev)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00    
EMERALD FOREST Feb04 Dec31 Dec13 Nov22 Oct15 (baker charl)RIVERA A 116 2.50 26% 2.80    
MY MAN MATTY Nov17 Oct19 Sep12 Jun08 Dec01 (levine b)SANTANA JR 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCARAMANGA (IRE) Feb04 Jan11 Dec31 Dec06 Nov07 (shivmangal l)HARKIE K 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIZMARKUS Feb04 Jan02 Nov15 Oct18 Sep13 (ferraro james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
 
AQU-4   03/01/2026 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE BARRIE Jan15 Dec26 Nov23 Nov16 Oct17 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
THORSNESS Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 Nov23 Oct24 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
NOGUCHI Feb13 Jan15 Nov23 Oct11 Aug27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
SOLO FLIGHT Feb21 Nov03 Oct20 Oct06 Sep23 (d'alessa)SANTANA JR 122 30.00    
LUCKY DRAGON Jan04 Dec07 Nov16 Oct17 Sep28 (miceli michael)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
DAYTONA MOONSHINE Jan23 Jan04 Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 (follett norman)SIMPSON W 122 12.00    
PROJECTABILITY Feb05 Jan04 Dec07     (arriaga ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00    
SPORTS HERO Feb05 Dec26 Nov09 Oct19 Aug17 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
INONIT Feb05 Nov16 Jul27 Apr19 Mar16 (lugovich li)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 10.00 11% 8.50    
 
AQU-5   03/01/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUDINI'S BRIDE May15 May03 Apr03 May16 Apr14 (nevin miche)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 12.00    
PENCIMA Jan16 Nov23 Oct06     (ronen)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
MY DEVINE ONE Jan11 Dec07 Oct17 Oct05 Sep11 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
SASSY SATS Jan18 Dec26 Nov02 Oct03 Sep01 (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 5% 17.30    
GOLDEN MIRACLE Jan16 Dec26 Nov23 Nov07 Oct17 (jimenez jos)RIVERA A 113 15.00    
MY DAUGHTERS' GIFT Jan23 Dec05 May17 Mar09 Jan10 (pringle edmund)SIMPSON W 126 20.00    
CELESLIA         (barrow paul)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
TREE HOUSE Jan04 Oct20       (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 20.00    
LOOKING AT ANNIE Jan18         (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 120 30.00    
10  WILL OF A WOMANNE Jan04 Dec04 Aug24 Jul26 Jun05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 126 1.40 45% 1.20    
 
AQU-6   03/01/2026 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARVELLIAN QUEST Feb05 Jan18 Dec13 Oct18 Sep14 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
WHISKEY N SODA Feb21 Jan10 Dec11 Nov20 Jan18 (gittens devon)CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00 19% 4.30    
TURN AND COUNT Feb06 Dec11 Oct23 Oct11 Aug10 (morley t)SANTANA JR 121 2.50    
AMBITION Feb19 Feb06 Nov20 Nov02 Sep04 (sells r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
HOUSE UNITED Jan16 Jan01 Dec11 Nov29 Oct24 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 121 8.00 9% 10.10    
OIL CAPITAL Feb04 Nov23 Feb23 Jan25   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
BLOWN COVER Feb06 Dec11 Nov14 Oct09 Sep19 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
ROCK THE WEEKEND Feb11 Dec27 Aug31 Aug16 Jul11 (shivmangal )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
SERGEANT CAPPS Feb14 Feb05 Dec27 Nov12 Oct19 (synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00    
 
AQU-7   03/01/2026 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Correction Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLD YOUR BREATH Jan17 Dec07 Nov12 Oct19 Sep18 (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
  (by MCKINZIE out of ILLICIT AFFAIR by ROMANTICO)
MY LIL PUNKY Feb06 Dec18 Apr11 Feb08 Jan01 (devaux c)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of TRANSLATOR by STRAVINSKY)
SCR  ALANI Feb10 Dec31 Nov26 Nov05 Sep27 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 12.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of TRI DELT GIRL by SEFAPIANO)
LUCILLE BALL Feb06 Jan02 Nov08     (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SASSY REDHEAD by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  ON COMMAND Jun05 May04 Mar22 Feb23 Dec27 (green ameli)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FLAUTIST by FIRST DEFENCE)
SUNDAY GIRL Dec07 Nov22 Oct25 Sep27 Aug15 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00 8% 11.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LADY DAPHNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
WITH THE ANGELS Jan22 Dec07 Nov28 Oct16 Nov17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00 54% 0.90    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SISTER MARGARET by PULPIT)
 
AQU-8   03/01/2026 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAYWARD QUEEN Feb12 Jan03 Dec26 Nov13 Oct05 (ronen assa)RIVERA R 122 15.00    
SCR  MY FIRST DINAH Feb06 Jan22 Jan11     (jones eduar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
ISHKABIBBLE Feb05 Jan11 Dec13     (ibrahim emr)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 20.00    
SARATOGA SUNSET Jan18         (barrow paul)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
QUEEN SALLY Feb06 Jan10 Nov25     (d'aless)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
RELLI'S CRUISER Jan03 Nov01 Sep25 Aug23 Aug14 (richards mar)HOWELL TALBERT 122 50.00    
ICY LEGS Jan16 Dec05 Nov07 Sep06 Aug16 (jimenez )SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
ISLAND CHARM Feb12 Nov15 Oct03 Sep01   (russell bri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
GRIT N GLITTER Feb05 Dec07 Nov07 Sep11   (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 12% 7.10    
10  BOILING POINT Feb05 Jan10 Dec13 Nov22   (sciacca gary)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  HIP HOP DANCER Feb12 Dec26 Nov12 Oct20   (d'alessandr)RIVERA A 115 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.