Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 03, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/6)-(2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/6)-(2/5/6)-(10/2/9/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(10/2/9/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(10/2/9/3/5)-(8/3/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (10/2/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/9/3/5)-(10/2/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/9/3/5)-(10/2/9/3/5)-(10/2/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/9/3/5)-(8/3/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/2/9/3/5)-(8/3/7/5)-(8/3/10/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/5)-(8/3/7/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/5)-(8/3/7/5/1)-(8/3/7/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/7/5)-(8/3/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7/5)-(8/3/10/9)-(7/6/9/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/3/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/9/2)-(8/3/10/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/10/9)-(7/6/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/10/9)-(7/6/9/4)-(3/9/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/4)-(7/6/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/4)-(7/6/9/4)-(7/6/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/9/4)-(3/9/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/9/4)-(3/9/2/8)-(9/3/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/9/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/8)-(3/9/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/8)-(3/9/2/8/7)-(3/9/2/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/2/8)-(9/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/2/8)-(9/3/7/4)-(9/5/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (9/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/4)-(9/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/4)-(9/3/7/4)-(9/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/7/4)-(9/5/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/5/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/12)-(9/5/8/1/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/12)-(9/5/8/1/12)-(9/5/8/1/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/03/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINSANITY Nov29 Oct18 Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 (gardea abraha)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
2  PROTEGE Jul25 Jul04 May16 Apr09 Feb22 (wilensky sam)GIL CIPRIANO 118 1.80    
3  JUST RELAX Dec17 Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 Apr27 (arriagada jua)ROJAS MARTINA 118 4.00 7% 13.70    
4  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Oct21 Sep11 Aug19 Aug04 Nov13 (hamm timothy)LEON SONNY 118 3.50 62% 0.60    
5  MORNING CUP Dec27 Nov13 Oct29 Oct13 Sep22 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 6.00 9% 10.40    
6  CINCO DE MO Sep26 Sep20 Aug31 Aug02 Jul12 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SAMURAI PRINCE Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
 
TAM-2   01/03/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRIDLOCK Dec06 Oct29 Sep20 Aug03 Jul04 (wilensky sam)GIL CIPRIANO 118 2.50    
2  KIP THE DISTANCE Nov15 Oct15 Sep26 Aug28 Aug07 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 118 5.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU Dec03 Nov07 Oct04 Sep14 Aug23 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
4  DIVINE ROMANCE Dec20 Dec10 Oct15 Sep25 Sep06 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 118 5.00 ★    
5  MY CAJUN LADY Dec12 Nov26 Aug21 Aug03 Jun23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 10.00 25% 3.00    
6  WILDWOOD BYE May27 Apr26 Apr11 Mar07 Dec14 (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  THELASTBULLETSMINE Dec13 Oct05 Jul27 Jul04 Jun12 (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
8  MILA JUNES Nov28 Nov06 Sep25 Aug28 Jul11 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
 
TAM-3   01/03/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COX CANYON Dec17 Nov28 Sep16 Sep02 Aug11 (wasiluk pete)GONZALEZ CESAR 116 12.00    
2  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Dec13 Jun09 May27 Mar05 Jan27 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 4.50 27% 2.80    
3  PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Dec17 Oct29 Sep26 Sep15 Sep02 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 123 6.00 11% 8.00    
4  GHOST STALKER Dec17 Dec05 Nov22 Sep13 Aug21 (waltke e)HESS SARA 123 20.00    
5  HOLIDAY FANTASY Dec17 Nov22 Oct30 Oct09 Aug27 (padilla ti)MEJIAS A 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BELTS 'N BROOKS Dec13 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep10 (bagwandeen per)GIL CIPRIANO 123 30.00    
7  POLITICAL RIOT Dec12 Aug27 Jul23 Jul05 May24 (vanwinkle dav)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 8.00    
8  MIDNIGHT ONYX Nov28 Aug16 Aug03 Jun27 Jun15 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.50    
9  STREET GLIDE Dec05 Sep22 Aug02 Jul11 Jun08 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.00 11% 7.90    
10  LE GRIFFON Dec17 May11 Apr16 Feb08 Jan19 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  LINO'S KID Dec19 Oct07 Jul03 Jun17 May29 (bacallao-vega j)LEON A 123 30.00    
SCR  OUT WORK'N Dec24 Oct03 Jul04 Mar23 Aug21 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00    
 
TAM-4   01/03/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL THE CAVALRY Nov26 Oct31 Oct10 Sep11 Aug20 (birdwell tena)LEON A 118 10.00 ★    
2  AWESOME ENTRY Sep13 Sep01 Aug08 Aug01 Jul05 (posadas pedro)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00    
3  KING FALIERO Dec17 Nov29 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 (wittek karyn)LEON SONNY 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  KALINBA Nov26 Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Jul27 (cascallare)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 108 30.00    
5  HENDRICKSON Dec03 Nov19 Jul25 Jan17 Dec27 (eagan mark)ROJAS MARTINA 120 10.00 10% 9.20    
6  DON'T ANSWER Dec20 Nov16 Oct31 Oct05 Aug17 (torres r)SERPA ANGEL 118 12.00    
7  DAVID'S SONGS Dec20 Nov29 Jun24 Jun10 May03 (gray christop)MORALES ANGEL 118 15.00 10% 9.20    
8  HOMER JONES Dec12 Sep03 Aug06 Jul10 Jun21 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 122 1.20 30% 2.30    
9  FEDERAL EXCHANGE Dec10 Nov29 Oct11 Sep10 Aug27 (ward dennis)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
10  SWEN Dec20 Sep07 Jul27 Jun15 May25 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 118 10.00    
 
TAM-5   01/03/2026 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CURLINA STAR Dec10 Oct26 Sep17 Jul19 Jun14 (cordero eniel)SERPA ANGEL 123 30.00    
2  ADDAGIRL ADDIE Dec03 Nov09 Oct22 Sep20 Aug23 (wasiluk jr)FERRER C 123 12.00 ★    
3  I'M HUNGOVER Dec10 Oct19 Sep25 Aug31 Jul20 (campbell jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00 20% 4.10    
4  QUEEN OF SPIRITS Dec20 Nov28 Oct17 Sep17 Dec28 (goodwin g)HESS SARA 123 30.00    
5  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA Dec05 May28 May05 Feb14 Feb05 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ O 123 30.00    
SCR  MAGICA Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Aug27 Jul26 (motion graha)MARIN SAMUEL 123 1.00    
7  TOO MUCH FUN Dec03 Sep13 Aug15 Jun22 Apr30 (deaton willia)MORALES PABLO 123 12.00    
8  FRENCH MISTRESS Jan19         (clement miguel)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
9  KATARZYNA Nov21 Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Jul12 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  JERSEY JOYCE Sep27 Sep13 Jul20 Jul04 Aug18 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 121 10.00 20% 4.10    
11  SARAS SHINING STAR Oct06 Sep25 Sep10     (duffy se)MARTINEZ A 123 30.00    
 
TAM-6   01/03/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DI CAPRI Nov27 Oct31       (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
  (by DROSSELMEYER out of PRINCIPESSA CAPRI by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  TEJANITA Oct26 Apr17 Nov08 Aug11   (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TEJANA by CURLIN)
3  SOLO VINCERE Aug29 Jul05 Jan20     (esler nicholas)CAMACHO SAMY 122 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BLAME IT ON ALPHIE by BLAME)
4  MAGALA Nov22 Oct26 Sep26 Sep11 Aug13 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 6% 16.70    
  (by ACCELERATE out of GREATREVIEWS by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
5  ALWAYS PRAISING Dec24         (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of CAUSE FOR PRAISE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
6  MONA L Mar30 Feb08 Jan17 Sep12   (arriagada jua)ROJAS MARTINA 122 5.00 18% 4.40    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BRUSH UP by BROAD BRUSH)
7  DAME GINA MARIE Nov22 Apr25       (o'connell ka)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 8.00 39% 1.60    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of BRIDLEWISE by STREET SENSE)
8  TABOO MISCHIEF Nov30 Oct03 Sep07 Jun28 Apr12 (sweezey kent)GIL CIPRIANO 122 4.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of TABOO by FORESTRY)
9  BLAZING AFFAIR Nov28 Aug08 Jul12     (gulick m)LEON SONNY 122 5.00 7% 12.50    
  (by MASTERY out of TACTICAL AFFAIR by TAPIT)
 
TAM-7   01/03/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN AWAY Dec27 Oct27 Oct08 Sep19 Sep01 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 12.00    
2  OLD TOWN ROAD Nov19 Jun30 Jun02 Apr19 Apr02 (waltke e)HESS SARA 118 15.00 12% 7.40    
3  IBRIM Oct26 Oct08 Sep15 Aug26 Aug11 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.50 44% 1.30    
4  PAYNTED WARRIOR Nov29 Mar29 Feb22 Jan26 Jan11 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 6.00    
5  TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Dec17 Nov19 Jul20 Jun21 Feb15 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 118 30.00    
6  GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) Dec13 Nov21 Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.50    
7  SULTAN THE GREAT Dec20 Nov29 Oct24 Sep07 Aug09 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 118 20.00 ★    
8  MEGAN'S HONOR Dec19 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Aug05 (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  DUNDIE Dec19 Dec03 Oct09 Jul30 Mar23 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 2.50 20% 3.90    
10  ELUSIVE D'ORO Dec24 Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 Oct05 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
 
TAM-8   01/03/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TERRIE T Dec13 Nov19 Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 (lusk r)HESS SARA 119 20.00    
2  JAANTJE Nov22 Aug04 Jul23 Jul04 Jun21 (lopez ra)LEON A 119 30.00    
3  MADAM PROSECUTOR Sep26 Sep01 Jul13 Jun29 Apr18 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
4  MISCHIEVOUS TRICK Nov02 Oct17 Sep27 Sep11 Aug20 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLD STAMP Dec03 Oct23 Aug27 Jul20 Jun16 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
6  SLIVER OF SUNSHINE Nov19 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug08 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 119 10.00    
7  MY GAL Dec13 Nov19 Oct16 Oct01 May01 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  BACKSEAT ROMANCE Jul05 Jun20 Jun08 May24 Mar30 (mcburney patri)GIL CIPRIANO 119 10.00    
9  ALICE FAIRFAX (GB) Nov27 Nov01 Jul19     (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 32% 2.20    
10  ATTENDING Nov19 Oct25 Oct04 Sep14 Aug23 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  APPLE SHAKE SHAKE Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 Sep20 Aug30 (lopez ma)RODRIGUEZ O 119 10.00    
SCR  HIT SONG Dec27 Dec10 Nov02 Oct05 Sep13 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 12.00    
SCR  COCKTAIL KISSES Jul03 Jun24 Jun02 May04 Apr05 (kintz matthe)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
SCR  TINKATWO Nov19 Oct18 Sep05 Aug22 Jul13 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 30.00    
 
TAM-9   01/03/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($55.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAGGISH Nov28 Nov15 Oct19 Sep12 Aug31 (gallegos jose )GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00 ★    
2  WARRING THUNDER Dec10 Sep30 Sep05 Aug02 Aug22 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00    
3  TROOPS Dec05 Oct03 Sep19 Aug03 Jul05 (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 122 15.00    
4  GIANLUCA BE LUCKY Dec10 Nov26 Oct19 Oct05 Sep06 (avila carl)CENTENO E 122 4.50    
5  EMPIRE SKY Dec10 Oct19 Sep16 Aug08 Jul20 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 10.00 38% 1.60    
6  URANIUM Dec10 Nov28 Nov02 Aug30 Jul19 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 15.00    
7  TRAFALGAR'S HERO Nov19 Sep05 Aug15 Jun28 Jun14 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
8  MOMENT'S NOTICE Jun06 Apr19 Mar08 Oct13 Sep14 (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 ★    
9  MISH Nov14 Mar27 Feb07 Dec15 Nov22 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 39% 1.60    
10  P FOUR Nov19 Mar30 Feb09 Jan19 Dec20 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 118 20.00    
11  KING GERALD Apr26 Mar30       (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 20.00    
12  SCHNITTKER Oct23 Sep29 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 (guciardo kath)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.