Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(5/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(7/6/2/1)-(2/1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/1)-(2/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/1)-(2/1/5/3)-(6/1/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(6/1/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3)-(6/1/3/4)-(7/1/4/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/4)-(7/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/4)-(7/1/4/2)-(3/4/1/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/2)-(7/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/2)-(7/1/4/2)-(7/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/2)-(3/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/2)-(3/4/1/5)-(4/3/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/5)-(4/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/5)-(4/3/2/1)-(10/3/2/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/1)-(10/3/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-9   WIN (10/3/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/2/9)-(10/3/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/2/9)-(10/3/2/9)-(10/3/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA FLORA         (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by WAUPACA out of BELLAMY KNOWS by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  HOLIDAY MUSICAL Oct29 Oct07 Sep05 Oct09   (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  CITY BLAZE Oct23 Oct07 Aug06     (fletcher kevin)AVILES YAN 124 2.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of PLASTIQUE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  STOPTALKINGSARAH Jun23 Jun11 May22 Apr21 Apr07 (crumley j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
SCR  TAMPA TEACHER Nov11 Oct23 Sep22 Sep03 Jul19 (wolochuk david)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCHOOL BOARD PREZ by COURAGEOUS CAT)
6  EVAN COME HOME Sep18         (pease har)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SUNFEST by UNION RAGS)
 
MVR-2   11/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Nov07 Oct07 Sep16 May17 May04 (norris)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRETCHENS MANE MAN Oct10 Sep11 Aug12 Jul07 Feb08 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 122 6.00 7% 13.40    
3  VERNON'S BEST Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Aug27 Aug18 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 124 15.00    
SCR  SMOOCHER Nov07 Oct25 Oct10 Sep11 Aug13 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
5  VECCHI Nov07 Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.20 61% 0.60    
6  SEEKING FREEDOM Nov07 Oct25 Oct07 Sep12 Aug27 (faulkner r)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
7  REDDEN Nov07 Oct25 Oct02 Sep16 Aug25 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   11/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERS RUN FAST Nov07 Oct23 Oct06 Sep17   (rettele r)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANGEL SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
2  MY FOR O ONE KAY Nov07 Oct23 Oct06 Sep17 Aug29 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RED DREAD by FIVE STAR DAY)
3  GRACE MEYERS Oct27         (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of PRINZIP by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
4  RICH ON THE RIVER Oct23 Oct06 Sep17     (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 4.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DOLL DREAMS by HENNY HUGHES)
5  REX SPIRED Nov03 Oct06       (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SHARINA by ORIENTATE (GB))
6  PLUM TUFF Oct06 Sep17 Aug21 Aug12 Jul22 (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.50 10% 8.70    
  (by GRIZZLY out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
7  WILD DOMAIN Nov07 Oct23 Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.40 61% 0.60    
  (by ONE SIDED out of ENDEARED by BIRDSTONE)
 
MVR-4   11/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VESPER MARTINI Aug14 Jun21 May12     (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  DENIABLE Sep04 Jul27 Oct10     (cowans d)AVILES YAN 124 1.60 47% 1.10    
3  SECRET VALENTINE Oct15 Jul05 May22 May08 Nov26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LADY LOVES MONEY Oct23 Oct14 Sep03 Jul15 Jul19 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
5  SIOFRA Oct14 Dec11 Nov11 Oct09 Aug28 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
6  JILLY RUNS DEEP Nov06 Oct08 Sep02 Aug12   (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50    
7  SUNNY LION Oct15 Aug08 Jul12 Jun07 May08 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 122 12.00    
 
MVR-5   11/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIAM'S LASS Oct29 Sep23 Sep15 Aug20 Jul28 (crumley jevon)BRACHO A 124 6.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  KOZEM Oct20 Sep23 Aug27 Jul15 Jun23 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 1.80    
3  SACRED CONNECTION Nov12 Oct29 Oct20 Sep26 Sep09 (bailey ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 121 4.00 9% 10.70    
4  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Oct05 Sep25 Sep14 Aug24 Aug07 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DIVINE FASHION Oct29 Sep23 Sep10 Sep02 Aug20 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
6  LUBU Nov12 Oct29 Sep26 Sep09 Aug21 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
7  MAGIC PALACE Oct29 Oct02 Sep23 Aug20 Jul17 (castro a)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
8  CEVICHE Oct29 Sep23 Sep10 Jul28 Jun16 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
9  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Nov04 Sep26 Aug18 Jul14 Jun23 (er)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   11/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE AGENT Nov07 Oct25 Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 10% 9.40    
2  SHOWTIME BOY Oct07 Sep29 Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 (salcedo r)MARTINEZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAN'S CHOICE Oct25 Oct03 Sep22 Sep10 Aug13 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00    
4  RAMBLER Oct10 Sep11 Aug06 Jul03 May27 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Oct20 Oct02 Aug13 Sep14 Aug08 (tumblin kris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00    
6  HARSH TRUTH Nov07 Oct25 Oct10 Sep11 Jul09 (skerrett jeff)SOSA LAUREANO 124 20.00    
7  A VAN ON THE RUN Nov03 Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 Aug28 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 124 1.60 63% 0.60    
 
MVR-7   11/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERSONIC AGENDA Sep26 Sep18       (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 117 4.00 16% 5.20    
2  DISTANT GALAXY Nov11 Oct27 Sep09     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00    
3  IRISH JUBALEE Oct26 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul18 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 2.00 25% 3.10    
4  JOHNNY LIES Nov06 Aug23       (farrior anthony)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 20% 3.90    
5  MR. SENSEI Oct26 Oct04 Sep12 May08 Apr18 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  PUPIL Nov06 Oct15 Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 2.50    
7  LIL RED BEAUDETTE Nov06 Oct03 Sep15     (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 120 15.00    
8  SHUKRAN Nov05 Oct15 Sep26 Sep12   (urieta johanna)PARKER L 120 20.00    
 
MVR-8   11/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR QUALITY (ARG) Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Jun03 Apr15 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 122 15.00 8% 12.00    
2  WINGS OF GOD Nov04 Oct07 Aug31 Aug08 Jul10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 10.00 9% 10.60    
3  MEGASTAR Oct11 May18 May01 Jun23 Jun07 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
4  KNICKS GATE Nov07 Oct23 Sep26 Aug25 Jul10 (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  VIDIANO Jul05 Jun22 Jul21 Jun23 May27 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
6  GLOBETROTTING Oct13 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 122 15.00    
SCR  BISCOTTI Nov07 Oct15 Sep03 Aug13 Jul16 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 122 5.00    
8  IT'S LAST CALL Nov07 Oct23 Sep26 Sep09 Aug19 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
SCR  TASK FORCE (FR) Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 May17 Apr11 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00    
 
MVR-9   11/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEN REFLECT Oct22 Oct03 Sep10     (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 122 15.00    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of REFLECT by TRAPPE SHOT)
2  TIZ MAGNIFICENT Nov07 Sep10 Aug19     (galloway k)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 3.50 8% 11.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of RICH IMAGE by IMAGINING)
3  MOTOWN STORY Oct22         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by BLAME out of STORY TIME by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  OLIVE ON TOP Nov07 Sep10 Aug19     (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
  (by SHOTICHE out of KUMARA by COGENCY)
SCR  SCARY JERRY Oct08         (reed r)HALDAR J 122 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LASSOFTHEMOHICANS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  DOTTED DREAM Oct28 Jul28 Jul02 Jun10   (juarez-me)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of PIONEER DAYS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  FAR REACHING Oct22         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of EXQUISITE PARKER by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  BIG TIME TROUBLE Sep30 Sep15       (werre danny)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of BLUE'S LIL TROUBLE by POINT OF ENTRY)
9  UNCHAINED SPIRIT         (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of TIZ CECILE by TIZNOW)
10  STAR ELLA Oct22 Oct15 Sep26 Sep10 Aug19 (rivera r)RIVERA R 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by UPSTART out of SWEET ELLA by SCAT DADDY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.