Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(4/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(4/1/2/3)-(5/7/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/3)-(5/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/3)-(5/7/3/2)-(9/8/1/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/2)-(9/8/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/2)-(9/8/1/2)-(5/8/2/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (9/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/2)-(9/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/2)-(9/8/1/2)-(9/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/1/2)-(5/8/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/2)-(5/8/2/6)-(1/7/9/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/6)-(5/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/6)-(5/8/2/6)-(5/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/2/6)-(1/7/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/6)-(1/7/9/4)-(7/2/1/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/7/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/4)-(1/7/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/4)-(1/7/9/4)-(1/7/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/9/4)-(7/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/9/4)-(7/2/1/4)-(4/7/3/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4/8)-(7/2/1/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/1/4)-(4/7/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/8)-(4/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/8)-(4/7/3/8)-(4/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   11/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DON'T STOP         (orantes r)DIAZ I 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of MO MARGARITA by UNCLE MO)
SCR  ELECTRIC EDEN Oct15 Sep04 Aug25     (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 6.00    
  (by CUPID out of EDEN by CURLIN)
BOKEH Oct22 Oct09 Sep22 Aug25 Aug06 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 122 1.80 31% 2.30    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of LAHONA by TAMARKUZ)
SCR  MAXIMUM LEGEND         (jackson james)CEDILLO MAURO 122 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of HIGH LEGEND by ELUSIVE HOUR)
MO THUNDER Oct15 Sep22 Aug25     (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 122 15.00    
  (by THUNDER RUMBLE out of MARIONA (CHI) by MOCITO GUAPO (ARG))
NO NAPPING Oct15         (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SCATNAP by SCAT DADDY)
MSHAWISH'GIRL Oct15 Jul03       (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by MSHAWISH out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
 
MVR-2   11/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO SWEETS Oct20 Sep23 Aug29 Aug20 Jul01 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
DIAMONDS N DEW Oct14 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Jul25 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
AMY'S STAR Oct03 Sep16 Aug27 Aug07 Jul16 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
INSTIGATION Oct10 Sep08 Aug21 Aug04 Jun25 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
LADY FORTUNE Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 Jul08 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.50    
COMMISSIONER D Oct03 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul08 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
KAT TRAX Sep29 Jun26 Jun07 Aug28 Jul31 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 3.50    
 
MVR-3   11/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTEREY PENINSULA Oct20 Oct02 Sep11 Aug13 Jul17 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
MAKING ME CRAZY Aug18 Jul16 May13 Apr01 Jan16 (mahan jos)MARTINEZ L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
FLORIDA GATOR Oct12 Oct01 Sep22 Sep03 Aug10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 7% 13.60    
UNPREDICTABLE BAY Oct14 Sep24 Sep03 Aug14 Jul20 (garcia genaro)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
BLUE MAX Jul13 Jun23 Jun03 Apr01 Mar13 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  SUPPLY CHAIN Oct20 Oct08 Mar03 Jan25 Jun10 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Oct02 Sep23 Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
FAT DADDY Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug29 Jul15 (genovese rich)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   11/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGNELLO'S DREAM Oct08 Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 Jul10 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 126 8.00 10% 8.60    
PRACTICAL MAN Oct14 Sep17 Aug29 Aug13 Jun30 (faulkner )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DAVID'S GEM Oct07 Sep03 Aug05 Jun12 Jan29 (johnson gary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.50    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Oct07 Sep23 Aug13 Jun16 May20 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
GILLIGAN Oct20 Oct14 Sep23 Sep08 Aug13 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 126 20.00    
BAD BOY BOOGIE Oct13 Sep18 Aug27 Jun26 Jun04 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 126 20.00    
BROADWAY JONES Oct02 Sep11 May26 Jan28 Nov19 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 126 20.00    
MAXWELL ESQUIRE Oct09 Sep12 Jul16 Dec27 Dec12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 26% 2.90    
DREAM KNIGHT Oct20 Oct07 Sep24 Sep10 Jun17 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 39% 1.50    
 
MVR-5   11/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WANDALOU'S PRIDE Oct21 Sep25 Sep04 Aug12 Jul09 (vlaun manue)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
GRAY TORMENTOR Oct21 Oct06 Jun16 May29 May06 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 9% 10.10    
AGNELLO CITY Sep25 Sep12 Aug27 Sep26 Sep05 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
HIDDEN HEART Sep12 Aug27 Aug07 Jul17 Jul07 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
ATLAS FALLS Oct21 Oct03 Aug01 Jun30 May08 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
TURKODANCER Oct25 Oct08 Sep17 Aug28 Aug12 (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
HE IS DYNAMIC Oct25 Oct02 Sep03 Jun18 May16 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 122 4.00    
BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Oct08 Sep12 Sep04 Aug28 Aug12 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  JERICHO TRUMPET Jul23 Jul03 Jun13 May22 May08 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   11/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEFRONTIERSMAN Oct23 Oct01 Sep20 May11 Dec06 (wittek karyn)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
CHARLIESLITLDEVIL Oct06 Sep16 Aug26 Aug08 Jul14 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
SCR  GUILTED Oct09 Sep19 Aug14 Feb13 Jan24 (castillo jab)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
TAPINTOYOURBEER Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Mar28 Feb28 (gotera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 8% 10.90    
IMPROBABLE CAUSE Oct14 Sep24 Sep11 Sep03 Aug20 (vaughn terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Oct01 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul10 (melancon p)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
ACTION MAN Oct06 Sep15 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
ROYAL DECADENCE Sep26 Sep17 Aug20 Aug05 Jun03 (schuster )MARTINEZ L 124 15.00    
BULLRING BULLY Oct11 Sep20 Aug16 Jul24 Jul11 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
 
MVR-7   11/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOASTMASTER Oct15 Sep24 Aug29 Aug04 Jul14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
OUR LAST SONG Oct07 Sep19 Jul16 Nov27 Nov14 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
LADY LALA Oct03 Sep11 Aug14 May04 Apr13 (wittek kar)VILLARREAL OSCAR 124 3.50    
LATE NITE LIZZIE Oct20 Sep26 Sep09 Aug05 Jul15 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 124 10.00 9% 9.60    
IMA MOM Oct15 Sep25 May05 Apr02 Mar18 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
HAUT LES COEURS Oct14 Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (pappada a)PARKER L 122 2.50    
LITTLE SISTER SUE Sep24 Sep02 Jul28 Jul14 May29 (garcia genaro)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
FACTISIMFLASHY Oct16 Sep19 Aug29 Aug09 Jul03 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
GREY MARKET Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Aug28 Jul06 (rivera ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
 
MVR-8   11/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACIE DANCE Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Jul14 Jul01 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
A NEW PEACE Sep24 Sep10 Sep02 Jul02 Jun11 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
AUTISM COMPASSION Sep25 Aug28 Aug17 Jul13 Jun12 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
DREAMING OF AUDREY Oct20 Sep26 Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 29% 2.50    
SCR  WHISPERING SEA Sep24 Sep09 Sep02 Aug11 Jul29 (ccamaque marco)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Sep26 Aug18 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 (er)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
CHESS NOT CHECKERS Sep24 Aug13 Jul15 Jun26 May21 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
MALICED Oct15 Oct01 Aug20 Jun11 May22 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE'S A SAINT Sep15 Aug07 Apr08 Mar17 Sep17 (reed eric )WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.