Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (5/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-3   WIN (6/5/8/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/9/1)-(6/5/8/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/9/1)-(6/5/8/9/1)-(6/5/8/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/9/1)-(2/7/9)-(2/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
ARP-4   WIN (2/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/9)-(2/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/9)-(2/7/9)-(2/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9)-(2/1)-(7/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-5   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(7/1/4)-(3/7/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ARP-6   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(3/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-7   WIN (3/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   10/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOOGE Aug31 Aug23 Aug17 Aug02 Jun20 (mckinney kynd)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 12% 7.00    
2  LEAP DAY Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (tsosie terrill)CARRENO J 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
3  BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Sep19 Aug30 Jul19 Jun15 Jun08 (lavanway dayson)RAMOS B 121 5.00    
4  TIMEHASCOME Sep20 Aug25 Aug11 Jul18 Jul12 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GROOVY HUEY Sep20 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun08 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  KAELY'S BROTHER Sep08 Aug25 Aug15 Jul21 Jun13 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00    
7  SAM SEZ Sep20 Sep10 Aug09 Jul27 Jul09 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 124 3.50    
 
ARP-3   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIPPY SEASON Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  EXTRA INDY Aug27 Aug16 Aug03 Jul24 Jul04 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
3  MAYA D Sep12 Jul26 Jan06 Dec19 Nov17 (martinez a)CARRENO J 124 4.00    
4  ZANZORA Sep20 Sep03 Aug21 Aug02 Jul24 (graber jessica)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
5  SHE'S SO TRUE Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 7% 13.70    
6  ETHAN'S GIRL Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 Jun13 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 3.50 58% 0.70    
7  PLUM CREEK Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul12 (tsosie terrill)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
8  THORN CROWN Sep12 Aug25 Jul27 Jun27 Mar21 (stortzum cady)COUTON JULIEN 124 8.00 6% 16.70    
9  MAGENS BAY Sep17 Aug03 Jul04 May26 Apr17 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-4   10/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AMERICAN SPLENDOR Sep17 Jul24 Oct17 Sep13 Aug05 (cambray andres)BOWERS JADA 124 8.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  BLAZING VALERIE Aug29         (leon alexis)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00    
4  SIX MOR DITTOS Sep19 Sep01 Aug23 Aug17 Jul27 (mckinney d)RAMOS B 120 6.00    
SCR  DANCING GLADIATOR Oct25 Oct13       (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 4.00    
6  MARIELITA Sep19 Jul26 Jul13 Jul05 Jun14 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.00    
7  PALMILLA'S BET Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Jul24 Jun28 (cambray andres)BAEZ M 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
8  ESSIE'S EDGE Sep17 Sep03       (graber jessica)HAAR NATHAN 120 15.00    
9  TALL TALE Aug18 Aug04 Jun28 May26 May09 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  VEGUITA Sep06 Sep05 Sep01 Aug30 Aug10 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-5   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG JACK Sep20 Aug31 Jul27 Apr24 Mar22 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  HOLDEN THE LUTE Sep14 Aug22 Aug02 Feb13 Dec02 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  WELTON Aug30 Jul30 Jul13 Jun11 Apr17 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
4  VICTORIOUS VANDA Sep03 Aug21 Aug02 Jul24 Jul05 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
5  SUBSIDIZE Sep20 Aug31 Jul04 Jun08 May18 (rushton temple)DELORME L 124 3.50    
 
ARP-6   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLEN FUNDS Sep13 Nov17 Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
2  MISS YOU NO MORE Sep13 Jun01 Mar29 Feb28 Nov03 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 3.50    
3  I'M A TRUMPER Sep27 Sep13 Nov02 Oct25 Oct13 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
4  GOLDEN BEAUTY Sep20 Jul26 Jul13 Nov17 Oct26 (martinez a)CARRENO J 120 4.00 11% 7.80    
5  MS BUMBLEBEE Sep13 Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 May23 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 ★    
6  FLY FREE Sep20 Nov15 Nov02 Oct13 Oct05 (vargas conde)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
7  DIXIE CUP MARTINI Sep13 Oct25 Oct05 Sep20   (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
ARP-7   10/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE HEART Sep03 Aug19 Aug02 Jul25 Jul18 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRINCESS VANELLOPE Sep19 Aug30 Aug10 Jul11 Jul05 (rushton temple)DELORME L 124 2.50    
3  CRESSONS LIL CHARM Aug20 Jul26 Jul12 Jul06 Jun15 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
4  SQUARE FOOTAGE Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRINCESS AMANDA Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 (tsosie terrill)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
6  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Sep12 Jul30 Jun24 May23 Mar29 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
7  UNKNOWN CALLER Sep19 Sep02 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  ANCHORS AND SPURS Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 Jul05 Jun15 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.