Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - September 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(4/1/5)-(6/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(6/2/5)-(8/4/3/6/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(8/4/3/6/7)-(5/2/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-5   WIN (8/4/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/6/7)-(8/4/3/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/6/7)-(8/4/3/6/7)-(8/4/3/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(1/4/6/2)-(9/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/2)-(9/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (9/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/8/3)-(9/7/8/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/8/3)-(9/7/8/10/3)-(9/7/8/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD TO MUSIC CITY Aug13 Jul19 Jun12 May21 Aug31 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 8.00    
2  MR. REDLEGS Aug22 Aug15 Jul30 Jul18 Jun26 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 1.80 24% 3.10    
3  ORFANO Aug22 Jul30 Jul03 Jun06 May03 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00    
4  RIVER BOAT Aug27 Jun06 May21 May03 May10 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 125 1.40 41% 1.50    
5  MR. HIGH POCKETS May31 May21 Sep28 Sep06 Aug23 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   09/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW STANDARDS Sep04 Aug01       (danner kelsey)MOJICA JR 122 5.00    
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
2  TOM'S AVATAR Sep04 Aug26 Aug05     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of VALLEY OF MO'ARA by OVERANALYZE)
3  THAT'S FAIR         (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 117 3.00    
  (by GREAT GLADIATOR out of UNDER LOCK AND KEY by BOLD WARRIOR)
4  MR. RIFFLE Aug22         (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of THE PINK WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  MY TROOPER Aug22         (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by YORKTON out of SMALL SECRET by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
6  COOL LUCKY Sep04         (cline rob)CORREA L 122 8.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of TOO COOL by SHAKESPEARE)
 
BTP-3   09/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN PURE Sep05 Jul25 Jun26 Jun13 May22 (barker w)MCKEE J 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  MIGHTY MO Sep02 Jul31 Jun20 May30 May17 (evans mic)CORREA L 119 1.80    
3  JARLIAN Sep11 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul01 (quinones r)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 6.00    
4  BOBBY'S GIFT Aug28 Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 May21 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  AZURE SKY Sep05 Aug20 Aug01 Jul18 Jul02 (mendieta al)NUNEZ Y 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FEELTHEBEAT Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul04 Jun26 (quinones raul)JURADO EDDIE 123 4.50    
 
BTP-4   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  READY SET ADIOS Aug30 Aug15 Jul24 Jun19 May28 (bush george)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 3.50    
2  LONG BLACK VEIL Aug30 Aug13 Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 (jarvis kathy)PAULY SUMMER 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  GENERAL GINNY Jul30 Jun28 May23 May03 Jan13 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50    
4  MS. THE LAW Aug23 Aug09 Jun28 Jun04 May16 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.00    
5  ECONOMIC HANGOVER Jun04 May22 Apr03 Mar19 Feb05 (rodrique)RODRIGUEZ A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPARE A DIME Sep10 Aug23 Jul25 Jul09 Jun28 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 5.00 38% 1.60    
 
BTP-5   09/20/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSIONARY MAN Aug20 Jun28 May20 Oct16 Sep23 (cowans wil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 4.00    
2  STARSHIP D'ORO Sep11 Aug23 Aug10 Jul23 Jun20 (estvanko richard)OUZTS W 119 12.00    
3  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Aug27 Feb12 Jan29 Dec27 Nov13 (hiles a)MCKEE J 123 3.00 13% 6.80    
4  PAVED IN GOLD Aug30 Jun05 May15 Apr30 Apr06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
5  TARRAGON Jul23 Jun25 Jan15 Dec04   (jurado luis)MURGIA A 116 15.00    
6  GOOD POINT Aug25 Aug04 Jul04 Nov29 Nov08 (kaufeld krist)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GIBRAN Aug23 Jul15 Jun23 May08 Apr10 (danner do)BERMUDEZ E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  PEACE CLOUD Aug30 Aug02 Jun17 Apr09 Mar08 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 8.00 28% 2.50    
9  GOODMENARESCARCE Jul12 Jun05 Mar15 Feb06 Jan25 (corrigan )CORREA L 119 6.00    
10  THEFRONTIERSMAN May11 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 123 12.00    
SCR  SIR THOMAS TEAL Sep03 Dec07 Nov15 Sep27   (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 119 2.50    
 
BTP-6   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAUHATCHIE Aug23 Aug10 Jul31 Jul03 Jun14 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50    
2  ROAD MINISTER Sep02 Aug20 Jul24 Jun27 Jun04 (chain pearl)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOLTO VIVACE Aug22 Jul04 Apr09 Dec07 Nov20 (radosevich s)MCKEE J 123 3.50    
4  MITHRIDATES Aug30 Aug23 Aug13 Jul26 Jul03 (mendieta al)NUNEZ Y 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  EL PEJE Sep11 Aug09 Jul26 Jul11 Jun11 (locker timothy)MURGIA A 123 1.80 51% 1.00    
6  ZADDY Sep10 Aug14 Jul31 Jul12 Jul01 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 114 5.00    
 
BTP-7   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLSTER Aug25 Jul16 May19 May01 Apr08 (brown h)MEZA JJ 123 5.00 47% 1.10    
2  NERVANA Sep03 Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 (rivera xavi)JIMENEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MENDELLO Sep03 May13 Apr10 Feb14 Jan25 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 2.00    
4  HEAVY HITTER Aug28 Aug18 Aug07 Jul10 Jun21 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00 20% 4.00    
5  MEMPHIS SLIM Aug16 Jul09 Jun20 May24 May08 (lucas wa)HERNANDEZ N 119 4.00    
6  TALKSCHEAP Jun27 Jun13 May21 Mar28 Feb23 (alessi ja)CORREA L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  AHUMADO Aug30 Aug16 Jul11 Jun25 Feb15 (meredith c)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50    
 
BTP-8   09/20/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUCCESSION GOLD Sep11 Aug23 Aug13 May09 Mar20 (orantes j)CORREA L 122 8.00    
2  KENNEL CLUB Aug27 Jul03 Jun07 May11 Dec28 (caramori ca)FIGUEROA SERGIO 122 3.00    
3  JUANITA'S EXPRESS Jul04 May27 Mar13 Aug22 Jun27 (deegan c)MCKEE J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRICHARD Aug27 Aug08 Jul15 Jun12 May27 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 10.00    
5  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Jul31 Jun26 Apr24 Feb07 Jan18 (caramori eduardo)MURGIA A 122 8.00    
6  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Aug27 Jul30 Jul04 Jun19 Apr19 (estvanko r)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 6.00    
7  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Aug20 Jul24 Jun19 May31 May15 (mendieta al)NUNEZ Y 122 12.00 6% 15.80    
8  LONG SHORTS Sep10 Aug23 Aug02 Jul24 Jul01 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SOME R BLESSED Aug27 Jul30 Jul04 Jun14 May31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 4.00 70% 0.40    
10  INDY LYON Aug27 Jul09 May22 May10 Apr19 (barker w)MOJICA JR 122 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.