Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Thursday - September 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(4/3/8/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/3)-(4/3/8/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/3)-(4/3/8/5/9)-(3/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/3/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/5/9)-(4/3/8/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/5/9)-(4/3/8/5/9)-(4/3/8/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/8/5/9)-(3/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/5/9)-(3/1/2)-(8/10/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(8/10/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(8/10/1/5)-(6/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (8/10/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/1/5)-(8/10/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/1/5)-(8/10/1/7/5)-(8/10/1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/10/1/5)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/10/1/5)-(6/3/2)-(8/2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(8/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(8/2/7/4)-(5/4/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (8/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/4)-(5/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTERTOTHEMOON Sep04 Aug11 Jul02 Jun04 May19 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 4.00    
THANKS FRANK Jun24 Jun04 May17 Apr18 Jan24 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
VERBIER (IRE) Sep04 Aug07 Jul03 Jun04 May27 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DR SCHUSTER Sep11 Aug18 Jul30 Jun30 Jun10 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
LOGICO Jul17 Jul02 May08 Apr22 Apr01 (genoves)PILARES P 119 3.00 64% 0.60    
MONTAUK COVE Jul17 Jun30 Jun12 May26 Apr24 (schuster )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00 6% 16.30    
ROYALLY FLUSHED Sep04 Aug07 Jun19 Jun11 May23 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
MARKHAMIAN Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jul17 Jun30 (castillo)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
BRIO Sep04 Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 Jun10 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERLOAD Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TEQUILA FLATS Jul21 Jun17 Jun19 May04 Apr20 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 20.00    
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Aug14 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May26 (yoder d)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPEEDY MOBILE Aug06 May22 Mar12 Feb10 Jan23 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 4.00 25% 3.10    
GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 May20 Apr29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SPIN DOCTOR Sep09 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
CORNER OFFICE Aug27 Aug04 Mar11 Feb10 Jan13 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
TWERK Aug12 Jul09 Jun18 Jun02 May12 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 116 6.00    
 
TDN-3   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNCHATTHELIZARD Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 10.00    
RUMBLE STRIP RON Aug28 Jul17 Jun17 Apr22 Mar12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
TEAM LEYENDECKER Aug13 Jul29 Jul09 Jun23 Dec08 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
HEY EUGENE Aug04 Jun30 May28 May07 Apr19 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
YIPPEE KI YAY Aug28 Jul10 May21 May05 Sep26 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 16% 5.30    
A PRAYER FOR KIDS Aug27 Aug12 Jul09 May27 Apr29 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 6.00    
HARTSTEIN Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 (atala jose)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
CAVALETTO Aug27 Jul16 Jun26 May03 Apr03 (gorham rob)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
WORTHY OPPONENT Aug27 Aug06 Jul01 Nov13 Oct19 (huffman candace)BOWEN ROCCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK MY WORDS Aug14 Jul18 Jul03     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
BISCUITS 'N GRAVY Aug26 Aug05 Jul03     (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
WATER INTO WINE Aug14 Jun07       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.00 46% 1.20    
CALLING TILLIE Aug25 Aug06       (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 116 2.50    
GLOBAL EVENT Aug01 Jul03 Jun07 May24   (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 117 3.00    
GRAY PERFECTION Aug06         (rone mike)AVILES YAN 114 4.50    
 
TDN-5   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUO Sep03 Mar27 Mar03 Feb08 Jan15 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 15.00 10% 8.90    
STRIKE PLATE Sep03 Aug18 Aug11 Jun25 May20 (langley joshua)PARKER L 119 6.00    
RADIO SILENT Aug14 Jul30 May20 Apr29 Apr03 (murillo-r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00    
SCR  CORFU FIGHTING Jul18 Jul01 May22     (puhl kim)AVILES YAN 115 3.50    
MARQUITOS M Aug29 Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 May28 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEW IT WITH CLASS Aug22 Aug02 Jun20 May29 May14 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
MAMAS HOME COOKING Aug13 Jul14 Jun12 May20 Dec09 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 6.00    
RIVER BYE Sep03 Aug11 Jul07 Jun21 May14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 51% 1.00    
JACOBI Jun04 May20 Apr29     (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
10  LIVE A LITTLE Dec19 Nov27 Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 5.00 13% 7.00    
 
TDN-6   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIE T Aug21 Aug07 Jul14     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PRESELI'S PULPIT by PULPIT)
TAKE DICTATION Sep01 Aug13 Jul14 Aug28 Aug10 (flores i)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
CURIOUS CORN         (jarvis kathy)PARKER L 119 4.50 12% 7.60    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of CURIOUS RUTH by LANGFUHR)
AFFAIR TO REMEMBER Aug21 Aug07 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 2.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
EMOJI TIME Sep01         (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of TIMEFADESTHEPAGES by SPRING AT LAST)
SHADOW STRIKE Aug29         (puhl kim)RIVERA R 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of BOB'S DYLAN by DAVID)
 
TDN-7   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO GOLD Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul10 Jun25 (mahan )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
QUIET AMIGO Aug29 Aug12 Jul03 Jun12 May21 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
BAD BOY BOOGIE Aug27 Jun26 Jun04 May13 Apr22 (jackson r)PARKER L 119 6.00    
NEBULOSA Aug11 Jun26 Jun07 Dec05 Nov19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
BISCUITS AND GRITS Jun12 May07 Apr21 Mar30 Mar12 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 2.50    
SHOW SLIDING HOME Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 Apr21 Mar22 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
EL MARRO Aug29 Aug13 Jun25 Jun04 May07 (romero jo)MARTINEZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
GAPPER Aug29 Aug12 Jul01 Jun12 May22 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-8   09/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISA FORTRESS Sep02 Jun21 Jun09     (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of STARSHIP LISA by INCLUDE)
SCR  LIZZY'S DREAM Jun21 Jun06 May27 May08 Apr12 (mendieta aleja)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of A ROSE FOR LIZZY by BODEMEISTER)
ONE MORE THING Aug26 Aug12       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 12.00    
  (by SEGOVIA out of CRAQUELURE by POWERSCOURT)
EVAN COME HOME         (pease harry)TAPARA LUIS 119 10.00 15% 5.50    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SUNFEST by UNION RAGS)
DARK N DIRTY Jun21 May27 Dec09     (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 57% 0.70    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
SCR  SALUTE THE GHOST         (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of PRAYER SALUTE by MEADOW PRAYER)
SCR  JILLY RUNS DEEP Sep02 Aug12       (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of JILLYBEAN by KETTLE CORN)
LAKETOWN ELLY Jul03         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of SAY HEY ELLY MAE by TOUCH GOLD)
TRANSCENDENCE Aug29 Aug22 Jul01     (hester haley)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
  (by ARCANO (IRE) out of ONE LOVELY STORM by GET STORMY)
10  RON DAH LOU Aug12 Jul03 Jun10 Oct19 Oct02 (tumblin andr)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 4.50    
  (by CORFU out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.