Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fort Erie
Monday - August 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(1/6/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(1/6/2/7)-(3/6/1/7) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
FE-2   WIN (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/7)-(3/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(5/7/2/3) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-3   WIN (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/7)-(5/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/7)-(5/7/2/3)-(7/2/8/3) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-4   WIN (5/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/3)-(7/2/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/3)-(7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/6) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-5   WIN (7/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/6)-(8/5/2/9/4) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
FE-6   WIN (7/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/6)-(8/5/2/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-7   WIN (8/5/2/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/9/4)-(8/5/2/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/9/4)-(8/5/2/9/4)-(8/5/2/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FE-1   08/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCARY BOO Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 Jun14 May16 (mileni)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 2.00    
SILENT PASSION Aug11 Jul27 Jul08 Jun10 Nov14 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.60    
FAITHFUL GIFT Aug04 Jul22 Jul08 Jun15 May27 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
BAMBOO'S BABE Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 Oct22 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
PORSHAS RUN Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Dec06 Nov22 (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 5.00    
 
FE-2   08/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Aug12 Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Oct22 (newland geo)NEWELL F 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
PRINCESS BU CHERRO Aug04 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 May27 (bailey j)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 16% 5.10    
GHOSTLY PERFECTION Jul25 Jul14 Jun19 May27 Dec12 (agosti)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.00    
ALWAY'S ROSIE Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 (keen howard)KERR CHEYENNE 115 6.00    
DOODLE DANDY Aug12 Jul14 Jun30 Jun10 Jul22 (hoad lindsay)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 20.00    
MORAL TURPITUDE Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 May29 May16 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 1.80 23% 3.30    
SADIE MY LADY Aug07 Jun28 Jun13 May24 Sep29 (hall philip)BYNOE DESEAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-3   08/25/2025 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR DROP Jul22 Jul08 Jul01 Jun15 Jun03 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
KOZY BABE Aug09 Jul03 Jun05 May18 Dec14 (attard steve)SALLES LEO 120 2.50    
MISS OZEGE Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May30 Dec12 (macrae donald)KERR CHEYENNE 115 1.80 27% 2.70    
NOTYOURHUNNY Aug04 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 Oct08 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00    
ONE HELL OF A GIRL Aug04 Jul22 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 4.50    
OUR STELLA Aug11 Jul22 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 (wills daniel)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 5.00 19% 4.30    
UNE DE MAI Aug11 Jul30 Jul20 Jun29 May27 (robillard jos)DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  RING BIT Jul24 Jun29 May30     (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 5.00    
 
FE-4   08/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAT MERCHANT Aug10 Jul25 Jun26 May31 Dec14 (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 124 5.00    
WET AND WILD Aug12 Jul27 Jul08 Jun27 May30 (capi m)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 7% 13.00    
INFLATION NATION (IRE) Aug11 Jul27 Jun30 May25 May04 (husbands ant)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
RYE'S MY GUY Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 Dec14 Nov17 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.50    
WHERE IS ESSA Aug05 Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
NAMEOFTHEGAME Aug05 Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 Dec08 (newl)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00    
ATTESTATION Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 May04 Apr27 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 2.50 11% 8.00    
 
FE-5   08/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE'S MOMMY Jul27 Jul19 Jun28 May31   (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.50    
  (by SILENT NAME out of CLEMENTIS by PERIGEE MOON)
FROMTHEWONDERLAND Jul27 Jun30 Jun12     (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of NO WONDER by THREE WONDERS)
REALLOVEISLUCKY Aug11 Jul22 Jul08 Jun30 Dec13 (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SKYBOUND by SKY CLASSIC)
MISS SINGH ANGEL Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul15 (keen howard)MAILHOT P 122 20.00    
  (by NOT BOURBON out of MISS M V P by GRAND SLAM)
LA RONDE Aug09 Jul03 Jun01     (rabste)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of EXECUTIVE ALLURE by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
MORE GALILADY Jul13         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GALILEO'S LADY by GALILEO)
FLAWLESS QUALITY Oct14 Jun15 May03     (neubauer micha)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INTERNALLYFLAWLESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BUTTERFLY BILLIE Jul31 Jul03 Jun12 May18 Feb22 (pion sylvain)SAMUEL L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MILEHIGH BUTTERFLY by SKY MESA)
 
FE-6   08/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISGRUNTLEDPELICAN Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May27 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00    
TOWN'S A BREEZE Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Jun15 May27 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
MAIKEN THE VIKING Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Oct21 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
ONEJABTOOMANY Jul31 Jul03 Jun12 May22 Apr26 (rabste)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00    
SUPER SERENADE Aug11 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May22 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 120 20.00    
BRILLIANT DISGUISE Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 Jun10 May11 (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00 10% 8.60    
NOW IS A BREEZE Aug09 Jul05 Jul27 Jun06 May10 (mcpherson alex)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
SPEEDY LADY Aug11 Jul22 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 11% 8.00    
 
FE-7   08/25/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT STORY LONG Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun24 May23 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00    
BOSTON BAY Aug12 Jul27 Jul13 Jun23 Jun10 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 7% 13.00    
BERKUS (FR) Aug05 Jul08 May11 Apr13 Mar27 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00    
SANTIAGO SALSA Aug05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 Oct22 (keen howard)KERR CHEYENNE 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
STORMIN DAVE Aug12 Jul08 Jun15 May11 Dec13 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 12.00 15% 5.70    
BONGINO Aug12 Jun13 Oct31 Sep27 Sep02 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00    
ROOKIE RADAR Aug05 Jul27 Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50    
VICTORY TOWN Aug05 Jul21 Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 45% 1.20    
RESCUE THAT GIRL Aug05 Jul08 Oct01 May31 May17 (cath)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.