Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $24.00 $18.00 300%
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-5 $38.15 $29.15 324%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:231 :471 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CRIMSON NIGHTS 4 5 53 42   11 15½ (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 1.60 63% 0.60 0.30 W
3  MISTY POINT 3 2 41½ 31½   31½ 25½ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 5.30  
5  GOLDEN SPRING 5 1 2nk 11   21 36¾ (smith r)CRAWFORD J 120 3.50 7.30  
2  RUNNING ARGUMENT 2 4 31 52½   42½ 47¾ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 5.00 5% 19.00 5.95  
1  LOADED SECRET 1 3 1nk 21   52½ 513 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
 
FE-2   08/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:261 :503 1:144 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MEDAGLIA FOREVER 2 2 1nk 11 15 15 110¼ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 124 1.40 41% 1.40 1.45 W
5  CLARAYOUTHEBEST 5 4 41¾ 32 35½ 25 210¼ (machesney b)MAILHOT P 122 3.00 2.80  
3  MORAL TURPITUDE 3 5 54¾ 56½ 48½ 45½ 310½ (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00 1.30  
1  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 1 1 2nk 21 25 35 416¼ (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 29% 2.40 10.70  
4  DOODLE DANDY 4 3 31½ 42½ 514½ 58½ 527¾ (hoad lindsay)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 38.65  
 
FE-3   08/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:001     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHAKO 5 1 31½ 2½   1nk 1¼ (loescher paul)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 11.00 W
2  FRAC CITY 2 4 42 31   2nk 2¼ (smith r)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00 6.95  
3  SWEEPING RED 3 5 21 1½   3.2 3¾ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 62% 0.60 2.20 S
4  KOWBOYS SEQUEL 4 6 64 65½   42¼ 43½ (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50 5.50  
6  IM NOT LOST 6 2 53 52½   52¼ 58¾ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 5.00 6.30  
1  BOURBON NORTH 1 3 11 41   63¼ 620 (coun)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 16% 5.20 1.50  
 
FE-4   08/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:223 :47       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JERSEY KING 4 2 33 31½   2½ 11¼ (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 6.20  
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of HOLDONWEREGOINHOME by MILWAUKEE BREW)
2  HEAVYLIKEACHEVY 2 1 12 1nk   1½ 21¼ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 0.70  
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of BEAR'S PEARL by SEEKING THE DIA)
1  ROLL THE CREDITS 1 4 43 41¾   31 33½ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 23% 3.40 7.85 S
  (by CATIENUS out of WINNING ACTRESS by ACADEMY AWARD)
3  AFLEET PRINCE 3 3 22 2nk   41 48¼ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 1.20 32% 2.10 1.65  
  (by RELOAD out of AFLEET DOLL by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  BERMUDA BREW               (williams)BUCHANAN Z 115 5.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of MIDNIGHT BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
 
FE-5   08/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TRULY MISCHIEF 7 1 1nk 11½   11½ 1¾ (willia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 7% 12.90 2.40 W
5  BELLA FUTURE 5 3 43 31½   21½ 2¾ (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 2.00 22% 3.60 2.05 P
4  WET AND WILD 4 4 32 21½   31½ 32 (capi m)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00 19.80  
3  HALF TO RELOAD 3 6 68¼ 69   63¼ 44 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 2.85  
2  COST BASIS 2 5 53¼ 55   53¼ 56 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00 9.15  
1  HIATUS 1 2 2nk 43   43 610¾ (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.50 44% 1.30 5.90  
6  SOCIETY JOE 6 7 714¼ 715   77¼ 719¼ (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 24.40  
 
FE-6   08/12/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:141     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FAST AND READY 4 5 44½ 53¾   1nk 1½ (wills )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 10.00 18.80  
7  ROYAL QUALITY 7 7 76½ 76¼   2nk 2½ (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 4.15  
8  BOSTON BAY 8 8 66 65¾   4¾ 32½ (smith r)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30 S
5  CANTUCCI 5 4 54½ 43½   5¾ 43 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 18% 4.60 7.60  
6  BONGINO 6 6 88 87¾   82½ 53¼ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 47% 1.10 6.10  
2  DEFOGGER 2 2 32½ 32   61¼ 66¾ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 13.45  
3  STORMIN DAVE 3 3 21 1nk   3½ 76¾ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 15.00 6% 17.20 1.05  
1  PROFESORRIDESAGAIN 1 1 11 2nk   71½ 812½ (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 4.50 13.55  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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