Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(5/1/4)-(1/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/7/5)-(5/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-3   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(5/2/1)-(5/8/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(5/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(5/8/3/7)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-5   WIN (5/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/7)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/7)-(2/1/5)-(3/6/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(3/6/5/2)-(5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/2)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/2)-(5/2/1)-(8/4/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(8/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABBEY JEAN         (schultz l)VARGAS A 119 5.00 8% 12.30    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MAMA GET EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
THEGANGSALLHERE Aug09 Aug02 Jul11 Jun07   (huston k)OLVER MADISON 119 5.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of AMANDA'S ANTIK by GOLD TOKEN)
POINT TO THAT STAR Jun07 May10 Apr11 Mar19 Feb14 (maker michael )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
  (by FAVERSHAM out of BENDECIDA by DISCREET CAT)
GYPSY STYLE Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun21 Jun07 (marquez cesare)AGUILAR JEAN 123 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HITCHIN by DIXIE UNION)
AIR MASQUE Jul30 Jul11 Jun07 Sep07 Aug25 (perkins j)IORIO MELISSA 123 1.20 67% 0.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MASQUE D'OISEAU by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
MO VITA Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun07   (milne joan)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of RIGHTFUL TIME by BODEMEISTER)
HAVE A HAPPY Jun27 May26 May10 Oct31 Oct03 (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of RATE CHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
MTH-2   08/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST LIKE YOU Jul10 Jun13 May10 Apr09 Mar19 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
BERTIE'S CAUSE Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 May02 Apr09 (paterno robert)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50    
GOLDCREST Aug18 Jul13 Jun21 Jun13 May25 (ramirez si)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 8.00    
STORMY MITOLE Aug16 Jul20 Jun27 Jun20 May02 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
UNSOLVED MYSTERY Jul27 Jul11 Nov24 Sep21 Aug31 (rivera lu)VARGAS A 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  BOLD BABY Aug01 Jul13 Jun20 Jun01 Apr27 (ramirez silvin)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
 
MTH-3   08/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCHON Aug06 Jul16 May22 May03 Mar19 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
GAME KEEPER Aug02 Apr27 Mar22 Feb07 Jan24 (ward dan)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 5.00    
SCR  ITALIAN SYMPHONY Aug02 Jun05 May04 Feb19 Jan24 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50    
SCR  PATROLMAN May17 Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 Jan24 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 15.00    
PRINCE OF TROY Aug01 Jun01 Oct12 Oct05 Jul07 (cash j)MOYA F 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
LAKE CHAPALA Aug15 Aug02 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
HE'S GOT SWAGGER Aug02 Jun15 May22 Apr04 May27 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
MTH-4   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Aug15 Jul20 Jun16 May24 May10 (ramirez silvino)LEON SONNY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
ELUSIVE D'ORO Aug08 Jul20 Jun20 Jun14 May24 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50 20% 4.00    
THREE CAPTAINS Aug09 Jun21 May25 Apr25 Mar29 (simone michae)OLVER MADISON 121 6.00    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS Aug08 Jun13 May18 May03 Apr06 (synnefias pana)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00    
CATHEDRAL BEACH Aug15 May10 Mar28 Feb28 Feb08 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 124 1.60 49% 1.00    
GUN MAESTRO Jul06 Jun13 May18 Apr23 Apr12 (arriaga an)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 12.00    
 
MTH-5   08/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISOBEDIENT BULL Aug16 Aug03 Jul13     (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
CLASSIC MARTINI Aug10 Jun27 May25 Mar28 Mar01 (levine bruce)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
VINO VIDI VICI Jul27 Jul11 Jun21 Jun07 May02 (ward dan)LEON SONNY 119 12.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  VICTOR'S DREAM Aug08 Jul12 May02 Apr26 Sep07 (gomez pompeyo)COTTO L 119 6.00    
MCHALE Jul26 Jun22 May26 Apr19 Mar23 (hennig mark)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 45% 1.20    
TAKE YOUR MEDICINE Aug09 Jul04 Jun14 Apr23 Mar21 (pimental joh)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00    
MOTOWN MIKE Aug09         (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Aug08 Jul11 Jun21 May18 Apr26 (mcburney patr)OLVER MADISON 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
MTH-6   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDIENESS Jul14 Jun15 May05 Mar18 Feb24 (crook-dema)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 3.00 14% 6.00    
WILLFUL DESIRE Jul27 Jun15 May13 Mar29 Feb07 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
SOFSTER Jul27 Jul11 Jun14 Jun07 Aug24 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00    
ROZAY SUMMER Aug17 Aug01 Jun14 Jun07 May11 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
I BELIEVE IN MAGIC Aug16 Jul12 Jun28 Jun01 Apr18 (bernardini ju)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAPTURED DARLING Aug03 Jul05 Jun15 Feb14 Jan25 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 124 2.50    
 
MTH-7   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAMOS VIEJO Jul12 Jun22 Mar22 Feb02 Dec08 (breen kel)VARGAS A 121 20.00    
MAKEIT TO CHEYENNE Jul30 Jun30 Apr30 Mar07 Jul27 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00 6% 14.80    
BIG Z OG Jul18 May26 Apr19 Apr05 Feb07 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
SPEED FIGURES Aug10 Jul27 Jun29 Jun12 Apr27 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 124 3.00    
CLOUDY Aug01 Jul03 Oct19 Aug22 Jul27 (mcgaughey cla)JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00 13% 6.70    
GOLD TRUST Jul06 Jun27 May26 Oct18 Sep15 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
UNCLE DAR Jul25 Jun11 May19 Jul10 Jun05 (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 121 12.00    
SCR  PEALING LAD Jul20 Jun08 Nov09 Aug31 Jul21 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00    
ATTA PARTY Jul27 Jun27 Mar08 Feb02 Jan17 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50    
 
MTH-8   08/23/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEELHOUSE Feb27 Jan22 Aug29     (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 123 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by TAPIT out of LADY PEWITT by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  BRIDOZA Jul11 Jun01 Apr26 Mar30 Mar08 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by KHOZAN out of BRIDLED HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
ASTERN COMMAND Aug10 Jul19 Jun22 Jun14 May26 (cash j)MOYA F 119 20.00    
  (by ASTERN out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
SCR  MR. FUNTASTICO Jul31 Jul11 Jun14 May22 Apr19 (aguayo ramon)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of KALANI by AFLEET ALEX)
STURDY Jul13 May03 Apr19 Feb27 Mar09 (weaver george)CAMACHO SAMY 123 1.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MITOLE out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  VINO'S VALENTINE Aug03 Jul13 Mar09     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 119 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DEFINING MOMENT by KANTHAROS)
SCR  DOMINICAN PIRATE Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 May02 Apr05 (moreno-barban)IORIO MELISSA 119 30.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of BLANK SLATE by GIO PONTI)
ATROCIOUS Jul11 May12 Mar23 Feb27 Feb10 (linder louis )OCASIO M 123 4.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FIFTYSHADESOFHAY by PULPIT)
 
MTH-9   08/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCK THE STARS Aug09 Jun21 May31 May10 Apr19 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 122 4.00    
CONSULTANT Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 Nov18 (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
CITIZEN K Jul30 Jul09 Jun13 May26 Jan11 (pecoraro ant)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00    
BAY STREET MONEY Jan03 Dec08 Aug31 Jul24 Jul14 (antonacci)VARGAS A 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
COLPO D'ORO Jun27 Oct11 Oct04 Sep21 Aug31 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
JADES JAY Aug01 Jul12 Jul05 Jun15 May28 (clark a)LEON SONNY 121 15.00    
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Aug08 Jul23 Jul06 Jun14 May23 (johnston rob)JARA FERNANDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
BRING ME A CHECK Aug06 Jun08 Apr26 Mar29 Feb26 (maker michael )CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.80 39% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.