Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - August 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(2/5/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(2/5/3/6)-(8/6/3/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/6)-(8/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/6)-(8/6/3/4)-(10/5/3/2/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-4   WIN (8/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/4)-(10/5/3/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-5   WIN (10/5/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/3/2/9)-(10/5/3/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/3/2/9)-(10/5/3/2/9)-(10/5/3/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/3/2/9)-(9/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-6   WIN (9/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/5)-(9/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/7/5)-(9/7/5)-(9/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/7/5)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/7/5)-(4/6/3)-(5/3/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-7   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(5/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERNING BEAUTY Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 Apr04 Feb22 (baker charlton)PEREZ E 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  JANSSEN Jul21 Jul01 Jun03 May21 May12 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 6.00 5% 18.00    
3  LIFETIME GUARANTEE Jul21 Jul01 Nov12 Oct21 Oct02 (ferraro michae)COA J 122 5.00    
4  SEAMS LIKE DESTINY Jul21 Jun16 Nov12 Oct23 Oct02 (smith troy)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
5  PROPHETIC Jul23 Jun30 Jun02 May19 Nov11 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50    
6  ROCK STAR REBEL Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 Mar08 (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
FL-2   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG ADVANTAGE Jul28 Nov20 Oct29 Oct15   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50    
SCR  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Apr18 Mar28 Feb22 Jan01 Dec01 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00    
3  THRILLSWITHNOBILLS Jul23 Jul04 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 9% 10.30    
4  SHE'S GRAND Jul15 Sep02       (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 120 3.00    
5  OUTTA THE CLOUD Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 May13 (dean vi)CINTRON YALEXAMARIE 117 10.00    
6  I'M KIDDING May24 Apr26 Apr10 Mar02 Jan16 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
FL-3   08/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BORDER FOX         (davis d)ALVARADO R 120 5.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DOE RUN by YONAGUSKA)
SCR  A REAL WAR STORY         (davis d)VENTURA JOSE 120 5.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SILENCIA by SILENT NAME)
2  CRYSTER         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MOON DELIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
3  JUNIORS PAL         (breed j)COA J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VENEZUELAN HUG out of SILVER PALACE by PALACE MALICE)
4  DIAMOND CHILD Jul18         (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of BOSS BARNEY'S BABE by STREET BOSS)
5  ABJECT         (green ameli)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 9% 9.70    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DISCLUDE by OVERANALYZE)
6  THE BLUE WAVE         (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of KABUKI by AFLEET ALEX)
7  HOITY MORONI         (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 120 8.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of MISLED by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  HONEST SPIN         (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 117 12.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of THATZA WRAP by HARD SPUN)
 
FL-4   08/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NILRUC Jul20 Jun22 May26 Apr19 Mar16 (breed jr)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
  (by CONNECT out of GOOD GRAMMAR by EXCHANGE RATE)
1A  ALL APAULOGIES Jul16 Jun28 Jun15     (breed r)NAVARRO J 120 3.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of TWOFER by SUPER SAVER)
2  KINGS AND QUEENS Jul05 Jun21 May23 Apr27 Mar14 (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of DEEP CONNECTION by SKY MESA)
3  SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD Jul16 Jun04 Aug30 Jul25   (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.50 7% 12.90    
  (by BIG BROWN out of ASPREE by FREUD)
4  NIGHTMISSIO Jul28 Jul08       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MOM'S NIGHT OUT by FIRST DUDE)
5  HONOR FOR MANDIN Jul23 Jun30 Jun02 May12 Nov18 (rohena arman)CRUZ JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by JOEVIA out of IT'S A SHAW THING by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  GOOD AS HE GETS Jul24 Jul04 Jun22 Apr19 Feb27 (saul d)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BROWN EYED WOMAN by DE NIRO)
SCR  WISECRACKER Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 May21 (reed lisa )DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of G NOTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  MAMA'S MIDDIE Jul28 Jul05 Jun04 Sep01 Aug16 (monserrate )CAMILO D 124 5.00 38% 1.60    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAMA KNOWS BEST by SKY MESA)
 
FL-5   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEADS OR TAILS Jun26 May14 Dec12 Nov27 Oct24 (englehart jeffre)ROHENA M 124 4.00    
SCR  REBEL EMPIRE Jul29 Jun30 Jan29 Dec16 Dec02 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00    
2  TRAPPE THE DREAM Jul29 Jul16 Jul01 Jun09 Nov26 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 8% 11.40    
3  GANDY DANCING Jul30 Jul14 Jun26 Jun09 May27 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 6.00 11% 7.70    
4  HOT ROD LINCOLN Jul29 Jun26 Jun04 May26 May06 (areche thali)BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
5  MAX FOSTER Jul29 Jul09 Jun26 Jun09 May26 (oyola david)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
6  SON OF DARKNESS Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May26 Nov20 (pettine)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
7  STONE GUITAR Jul29 Jul16 May28 Oct29 Oct08 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 15.00    
8  THANK YOU JON Jul21 Jul06 Jun08 May16 Apr27 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
9  N Y RIESLING Jul14 Jun26 Jun09 May21 May13 (morales)CINTRON YALEXAMARIE 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  IRON MAN IRA Jun04 May24 May01 Apr11 Mar21 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
FL-6   08/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUSTINOUTTAHERE Jul30 Jul15       (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
SCR  EX MACHINA Jul28 Jul16       (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
SCR  JASONJET Apr28 Jan18       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 15.00    
SCR  GONNA BE POSSIBLE Jul28 Jul08 Jun16     (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 120 15.00    
4  DISCO DANCER Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 Aug28 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 120 10.00    
5  TROJAN MULE Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May21 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AWAITING TRIAL Jul15 Jun26 Jun04 Nov18 Nov06 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.00    
7  DRACULA (AUS) Jul30 Apr25 Apr05 Mar05   (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
8  CHICAGO CHARLIE Jul28 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10   (gutierr)NAVARRO J 124 8.00    
9  MAGIC BEACH Jul16 Jun15 May03 Apr11 Apr05 (rice l)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
FL-7   08/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH KISS Jul29 Jul16 Oct14 Sep18 Aug21 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00    
2  CO CONSPIRATOR Jul22 Jul08 Jun28 Jun14 May11 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
3  MR. EINSTEIN Jul14 Jun30 Jun11 May26 Nov26 (huertas nir)MARTINEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Jul23 Jun14 May17 Apr26 Apr05 (thomps)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  IN A MINUTE Jul23 Jul02 Jun02 Nov19 Oct29 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
6  MAD MAGIC Jul23 Nov26 Nov06 Oct16 Sep18 (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
7  DATESFREEDOM Jul23 Jun30 Jun11 Nov26 Nov06 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 4.00 ★    
 
FL-8   08/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JE T'ADORE Jul21 Jul01 Jun17 May03 Feb13 (breed jr)PEREZ E 120 6.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of JE T'AIME by GOLD TOKEN)
2  CASTLEDELL Jul07 May26 Apr24     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of SANDCASTLE by MIZZEN MAST)
3  HAPPY'S SMILE Jul07 May17 May16 Apr14 Mar22 (bak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SERENITY'S SMILE by DIXIE BRASS)
4  GIANT AT WORK Jul07 May15 Mar16 Feb07 Dec29 (baker charlto)DAVILA A 120 6.00 8% 11.40    
  (by OUTWORK out of THE GIANT'S BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Jul13 Jun14 May15 Apr25 Apr06 (barker )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
6  YANKEE DOODLE Jul13 May09       (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GROOM out of COME ON DOODLE by DOUBLE NEGATIVE)
7  STAGED CONFLICT Jul21 Jul07 Jun04 Apr25 Apr03 (dixon k)DIAZ J 120 12.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of STAGE LUCK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  HOME WRECKER Jul03 Jun15 May12 Jan10 Jul04 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SHOPPERS RETURN by PUT IT BACK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.