Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(7/1)-(12/9/8/6/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LAD-2   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(12/9/8/6/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(12/9/8/6/7)-(4/3) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
LAD-3   WIN (12/9/8/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/9/8/6/7)-(12/9/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/9/8/6/7)-(12/9/8/6/7)-(12/9/8/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/9/8/6/7)-(4/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (12/9/8/6/7)-(4/3)-(6/7/3/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LAD-4   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/7/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/7/3/4)-(7/4/1/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/4)-(7/4/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/4)-(7/4/1/2)-(6/2/10/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/2)-(6/2/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/2/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/10/3)-(6/2/1/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/10/3)-(6/2/1/10/3)-(6/2/1/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/29/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR READY Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May03 Apr09 (balderas alfo)PENA JONUELLE 120 4.50    
FAST VERDICT Jun23 Jun01 May11 Feb12 Jan31 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00    
CITY OF LOVE Jun23 May25 May03 Mar21 Feb16 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 1.40 63% 0.60    
INFINITESIMAL Jun23 Jun15 Jun01 May08 Apr25 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 127 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOBOT Jun23 Jun15 May25 May11 Feb06 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 123 6.00    
Z'S GUITAR Jul04 Jun15 Jun01 Oct12 Aug17 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   07/29/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOSS May20 Sep10 Aug27 Jul24 Jul10 (de beauvil)BATISTA X 125 6.00 23% 3.40    
NIGHT STICK Jul05 Jun23 May25 Mar18 Feb20 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
REXINATOR Jun22 May13 May05 Mar21 Mar09 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50    
BLUME Jun16 Jun02 Feb12 Dec18 Nov29 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.50    
MUNCLE Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 May22 May10 (cormier carde)VARGAS P 125 4.00    
SCR  GRAND ENCORE Jun16 May13 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 (savoie sherman)BOREL H 125 30.00    
ISLAND CABANA Jul15 Jun29 May25 May03 Apr04 (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 125 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
LAD-3   07/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINA'S VISION Jun24 Aug27 Aug06 Jul01 Jun11 (romero dal)BOREL H 123 15.00    
SPLOTCH Jul10 Jun13 May29 May01 Apr09 (zenon shel)RAMIREZ JR 122 50.00    
SCR  SHERRYS RIDGE Jun22 May25 May03 Apr06 Mar23 (rangel raul)PENA JONUELLE 121 30.00    
FLAMENGO'S QUEEN (IRE) May30 Aug22       (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 1.00    
Y CITY Jun09 May26 Apr27 Mar21 Feb28 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50    
LADYPACKSAPISTOL Jun28 Jun07 May03 Mar27 Feb21 (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00 8% 10.90    
MISS MOTOR MOUTH Jun28 May02 Mar29 Feb23 Feb07 (gelner j)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
COEUR ROUGE Jun24 May17 Jan20 Dec12 Nov23 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 9% 10.80    
EMBRASSER Jun24 Jun09 May11 Mar21 Mar09 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 9% 10.80    
10  MAKIN A BEELINE Jun28 May02 Mar23 Feb08 Jan11 (clary ja)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 126 10.00    
SCR  CACTUS CAT Jul10 Jun13 May17     (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 126 30.00    
12  ELWIN Jul10 May17 Mar13 Feb27 Dec13 (david sam )BATISTA X 122 6.00 41% 1.40    
 
LAD-4   07/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEOLA Jul01 Jun06 May25 Feb21 Feb07 (schultz terry)LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00    
SCR  PRINCE JAMES Jul21 Jun17 Apr17 Mar09 Feb16 (wong jonathan)MCMAHON J 124 6.00    
VIOLENT RIVER Jun24 Jun01 May12 Apr11 Feb19 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 11% 7.80    
CALL MY BANKER Apr23 Feb21 Jan31 Jan08 Dec06 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 1.20 67% 0.50    
MISTER MONTE CARLO Jun08 May25 Mar22 Feb23 Jan31 (clary jaylan )PENA JONUELLE 117 12.00    
SCR  AMPITUP Jun17 May05 Apr17 Mar19 Jan30 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
SCR  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) Jun01 May17 May02 Mar23 Mar08 (hewitt mic)BATISTA X 124 4.00    
SCR  SONOFASHIP Jul10 Jun04 Mar23 Feb17 Dec27 (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 12.00    
 
LAD-5   07/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL STORMY Jun20 Jun05 Jul11 Jun06 Apr05 (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 121 15.00    
SCR  SCAT FREE Jun20 May23 May01 Apr05 Mar08 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
RUNNIN MUNNIN Jul18 Jun20 May17 May02 Apr09 (faul jason)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00 20% 4.00    
DOCTORED DEAL May03 Feb19 Jan25 Jan08 Dec14 (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BOO May15 Apr12 Mar22 Feb22 Feb01 (singh s)SINGH R 118 30.00    
MYRA'S BOY May27 May03 Mar22 Feb24 Jan17 (cates al)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
BRUCELEA Jul03 May04 Mar21 Mar01 Feb01 (jacks e)VARGAS P 121 8.00 20% 3.90    
PROWLING TIGER Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 May26 May04 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 121 15.00    
GORILLA TREK Jul01 Jun15 May27 Apr17 Mar18 (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
SCR  UNCLE JAKE Jul05 Aug04 May27 Apr11 Mar07 (camejo m)PENA JONUELLE 116 2.50    
 
LAD-6   07/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Jul13 Jun22 May24 May03 Apr18 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 124 8.00 6% 16.60    
  (by INCLUDE out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
DOWNTOWN MOTOWN         (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of STORMIN BABE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
RANGO Jun29 May25 Feb08     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of UNBRIDLED HUNTRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
GOLD BULLET         (ziadie kirk)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50 14% 6.00    
  (by GOLD CASE out of YOUR MOON by ORMONTE)
BLESSEDUPONASTAR Jan11 Dec12       (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BLESS D'CAT by D'WILDCAT)
SCR  CASTLE GAP Jun30 Jun09 May19 May03 Feb08 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
  (by HIGH NORTH out of SEKANI by DOUBLE IRISH)
UTOPIAN Sep09         (camejo jos)BATISTA X 124 1.60 59% 0.70    
  (by CURLIN out of MAGICAL RIDE by STORM CAT)
GET THE BOSS Jun26 May25 Apr26 Apr04 Mar07 (wilson melton)PENA JONUELLE 114 30.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of GET ON WITH IT by STREET BOSS)
DEEPLY HIDDEN Oct16 Jul20 Jun22 Jun08 May26 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 4.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of LORETTE by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
LAD-7   07/29/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATHY'S BOY Jun30 Jun03 May05 Sep03 Aug20 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 6.00    
ELIGIO Jun28 Jun14 Mar27 Mar07 Feb23 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
PEYTON'S DAY Jun17 May25 May17 May03 Apr04 (tillis jerr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HE'S A FINE BABY Jul15 May17 Jan19 Sep14 Jul22 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.00    
SCR  HOWARD'S GRIT Jul21 Jul04 Jun23 Jun15 Jun03 (dorochenko ge)VARGAS P 124 15.00    
BERNIN TUNE Jun03 May08 Apr24 Mar05 Feb08 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
BAYOU BOY Jun10 May17 May03 Mar02 Feb08 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
THE HIT KING ROSE Jun09 May25 May02 Apr18 Mar16 (jackson ri)RAMIREZ JR 122 20.00    
HEAT LIGHTNING Jul05 Jun10 May19 May05 Feb14 (camejo jos)BATISTA X 124 5.00    
10  REV TOO Jun17 Apr27 Apr18 Jan24 Jan05 (milligan alle)PENA JONUELLE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY Jul05 Jun12 May23 May10 Apr19 (broussard jervon)BOREL H 124 20.00    
12  TEXAS ADOPTER Apr04 Mar14 Feb12 Jan10 Dec20 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 124 30.00    
SCR  BADDA BING (FR) Jun21 Apr17 Jun13     (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 2.00    
SCR  PICASSO BABY Jul05 Sep24 Sep09 Aug26   (west patricia)LOZADA CARLOS 121 15.00    
SCR  MOHAYMEN HOLIDAY Jul05 Oct26 Sep23 Sep07 Aug25 (gelner jayd)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 10.00    
SCR  CONCENTRATION Jun11 May07 Apr23 Feb23 Jan27 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.