Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/2/5)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(6/4)-(1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
ASD-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (6/4)-(1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(1)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
ASD-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(5/6/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(5/6/7)-(10/3/9/2/5) 15 $0.20 $3.00 
ASD-4   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (5/6/7)-(10/3/9/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(10/3/9/2/5)-(3/6/5) 45 $0.20 $9.00 
ASD-5   WIN (10/3/9/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/9/2/5)-(10/3/9/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/9/2/5)-(10/3/9/2/5)-(10/3/9/2/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (10/3/9/2/5)-(3/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/3/9/2/5)-(3/6/5)-(8/1/4) 45 $0.20 $9.00 
ASD-6   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (3/6/5)-(8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ASD-7   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUBBLY TALKIN Jun23 Sep09 Aug14     (hunter judy)CUMBERBATCH R 117 8.00    
NOT TRUE Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 Sep23 Sep16 (johnson marion)PRUITT CIERA 118 1.80 13% 6.70    
TREE HUGGER Jun23 Jun17 Jun02 May20 May14 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 1.40 32% 2.10    
UNARMED Jun23 Jun11 May03 Mar13 Feb11 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 3.00    
DUBD SAINT ANGEL Jun17 Jun02 Oct01 Sep06 Aug14 (desjarlais r)BENNETT MATHEW 123 25.00 12% 7.20    
IN OUR DREAMS Jul02 Aug21 Aug13 Jul10 Jun19 (laing sherry)DAWKINS DANE 123 30.00    
 
ASD-2   07/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE Jun17 Jun02 Feb27 Jan29 Feb15 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 116 12.00    
SCR  ALMOST GOT LUCKY Jun17 May20 Mar26 Mar03 Jan08 (stanford )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 5.00    
TIA SUZI May20 Mar18 Feb24 Feb13 Jan28 (laing sherry)DAWKINS DANE 123 3.00    
OFFLEY SPECIAL Jun25 Jun11 May28 May14 Sep18 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
JUST A POSE Jun11 Jun02 May14 Sep11 Aug27 (pruitt lise)BENNETT MATHEW 123 2.50    
MISS CHARGE IT Jul08 May24 May16 May02 Apr26 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
ASD-3   07/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Derby Trial Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST TRUST ME Jun24 Jun03 Apr29 Apr17 Feb19 (williams )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 42% 1.40    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of TRUST FUND KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  DOMINANT SPIRIT Jul04 Jun06 May16 Mar22 Feb22 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of TOWN BELLE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
TAKE CHARGE TOM May26 Apr06 Feb16 Jan17 Dec27 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 122 0.40    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GORGEOUS GINNY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  ACKNOWLEDGE Jun22 May29 May09 Mar22 Jan19 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 10.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CALL TO SERVICE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
SCR  MEDICINE DOG Jun24 Jun11 Jun02 Dec13 Nov16 (gourneau jerry)DAWKINS DANE 122 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ROYAL CHARLOTTE by CAIRO PRINCE)
WAR IS HELL Jul02 Jun18 Jun02 Apr25 Apr05 (homer jason)PRUITT CIERA 117 30.00    
  (by OM out of THIS MEANS WAR by WAR CHANT)
 
ASD-4   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSWHATHESAID Jul02 Jun10 May27 May14   (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 6.00    
ZIBIBBO Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 May14 Sep24 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 15.00    
GAMBLERS NIGHTMARE Jun23 Jun08 May16 Apr11 Mar23 (jordan jennife)BALROOP SVEN 123 20.00    
MYSTERY DANCE Jul02 Jun23 Jun11 May27 Sep16 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 2.00    
SPORTING STAR Sep28         (williams de)TOWNSEND SHAVON 117 1.40 51% 0.90    
UNKNOWN CALLER Jun29 Jun14 May10 Apr25 Apr12 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00 23% 3.40    
FRANKLY Jul02 Jun02 May20 Sep09 Aug14 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-5   07/14/2025 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MALIBU S S Jun01 May16 Apr17 Apr04 Mar09 (gourneau jerry)DAWKINS DANE 119 5.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DARLING MY DARLING by DEPUTY MINISTER)
RUNTODAY Sep24 Aug20 Jul22 Jul02 Jun03 (laing sherr)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 20.00 6% 14.70    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
FEARLESS SOLDIER Jun28 Jun01 May03 Apr02 Mar22 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 19% 4.20    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HESSIE'S GIRL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
THE RONALD Jun18 May28 Apr29 Apr15 Apr03 (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 15.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of LORNA'S TAPIT by TAPIT)
CONFUSING Jun29 May23 Apr27 Nov24 Nov01 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 12.00 6% 15.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BAFFLE ME by FIRST SAMURAI)
MAGIC TIGER Jun24 Jun10 Oct12 Sep24 Sep17 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 119 30.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
BIG NICK Jun24 Jun03 Oct27 Oct12 Sep17 (duncan murray)BALROOP SVEN 119 40.00    
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
PINKY RING BLING Jun24 Jun10 May28 Apr06 Mar14 (gourneau )SEECHARAN A 119 25.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
BLAZING BO Jun10 May21 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 6.00 7% 13.50    
  (by OXBOW out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
10  JUDO Jun24 Jun10 May28 Apr19 Apr05 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of OUR LOVE TAP by TAPIT)
11  CORREDOR Jun10 May14 Apr18 Mar08 Feb20 (keshane norbe)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of MY FOOLISH HEART by SKY MESA)
 
ASD-6   07/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL THE THRILL Jun23 Jun11 May21 May13 Mar07 (rawson fred)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.50    
WICKEDBLACKBULLET Jun18 May21 Sep24 Sep17 Aug26 (dickey elto)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 6.00    
CHARMING CHARLIE Jun24 Jun11 May28 May13 Apr18 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
T R'S FIRST Jun20 Jun14 May23 Apr04 Mar09 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 15.00    
ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 Jul30 Jun19 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
DRAGON DREW Jun25 Jun10 May21 May14 Apr17 (gardipy jr)PRUITT CIERA 119 4.00 14% 6.30    
BIG INVESTMENT Jun25 Jun11 May28 May13 Sep18 (stanford mari)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00    
 
ASD-7   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. DAZZLE Jun23 Jun03 May27 May13 Sep17 (morse vic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
IT'S A FLUKE Jun24 Jun11 May28 May13 Nov24 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 122 3.00    
ENANO CARO Jul02 Jun24 Jun11 Oct13 Sep17 (mooney bill)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 40.00    
TIZ LORD Jun25 Jun02 May13 Mar19 Feb23 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 7.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMPERIAL HORNET Jun14 Apr19 Mar28 Feb28 Jan03 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 6.00    
SCR  A LOT OF VERVE Jun02 May14 Apr02 Mar18 Feb20 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 2.50    
SOL DEL SUR Jun18 Jun03 Apr19 Apr05 Feb22 (maxwell cur)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 10.00    
MISTER K Jun24 Jun11 May28 Aug27 Aug14 (brown jared)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.