Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - June 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/5/3)-(1/2/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/2/3)-(3/4/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/4/5)-(6/2/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(6/2/1)-(1/2/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-5   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/5/4)-(1/2/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   06/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROMTHEWONDERLAND Jun12         (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 120 8.00    
2  SASSY SEATTLE May27 Nov30       (rabste)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 15% 5.70    
3  REALLOVEISLUCKY Dec13 Nov28 Nov14     (fairl)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.00    
4  DISGRUNTLEDPELICAN Jun15 May27 Oct31 Oct10 Sep05 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  SILENT PASSION Jun10 Nov14 Oct31 Oct05 Sep21 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.80    
 
FE-2   06/30/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUEBELIEVE Jun13 May16 Dec05 Nov16 Nov01 (desruisseaux)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  CORE Jun15 Jun03 Oct22 Oct13 Oct01 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 4.00    
3  GUS'S GAMBLE Jun23 May27 Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  ABE HONESTLY Jun09 Feb05 Nov20 Oct08 Sep11 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00    
5  EXCEED Jun03 Dec15 Dec01 Nov16 Nov01 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  SPITE STORE May29 May16 Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 (bird)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 3.50    
 
FE-3   06/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA AND ME Jun10 May27 Dec15 Dec01 Oct15 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
2  STRONG ENDING Jun10 Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 Sep03 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  THELONIOUS Oct21 Oct15 Oct01 Aug26 Aug12 (conces)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUNYANI Jun15 Jun03 May27 Dec15 Nov01 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 124 2.00    
5  SANTIAGO SALSA Jun10 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Aug26 (keen howard)MARTIN ANDRE 124 12.00    
6  FASCINATION STREET Jun15 May27 Oct15 Oct01 Sep24 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.00    
 
FE-4   06/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STYLISH GENT Jun13 May04 Dec05 Nov14 Oct25 (adamo anthon)SAMUEL L 122 2.00    
2  SEA TO AIR Jun15 Oct22 Sep30 Aug06 Jul18 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00    
3  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jun15 Jun03 May18 Mar18 Mar10 (robillard josh)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 41% 1.50    
4  KIDDIE HOLIDAY Jun15 May27 Dec05 Nov15 Nov03 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 36% 1.70    
5  ALWAYS A WAY Jun10 May27 Nov15 Oct22 Sep30 (ald)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOUNTAIN SOUND Jun15 May27 Oct24 Oct08 Sep02 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 117 3.50    
 
FE-5   06/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Jun15 Oct22 Oct14 Oct07 Sep24 (newland george)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Jun03 May27 Mar28 Feb28 Jan31 (bailey j)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  CLARAYOUTHEBEST Jun15 Oct12 Sep23 Sep09 Jul06 (machesney b)MAILHOT P 122 2.50    
4  TURF AND SURF May27 Nov29 Nov14 Oct10 Sep27 (keen howard)MARTIN ANDRE 122 5.00    
5  DOODLE DANDY Jun10 Jul22 Jul07 Jul01 Jun16 (hoad l)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00    
6  FRAC AMOUR Jun15 May27 Apr27 Mar22 Mar05 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
7  GAMBLER'S POSE Jun03 Sep17 Aug27 Jul21 Jun16 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 122 6.00    
 
FE-6   06/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRULY MISCHIEF Jun03 Oct22 Sep24 Sep09 Jul21 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  ERNIE'S MARTINI May27 May04 Apr08 Mar19 Dec28 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  WHERE IS ESSA Jun15 Jun03 Dec28 Dec04 Nov16 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 3.00    
4  HE'S FULLY LOADED May27 Nov08 Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PAPERBACK HERO Jun15 May27 Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 124 4.00 ★    
6  SEHR SCHOEN Jun10 May18 Apr27 Mar19 Feb22 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 15.00    
7  MR. MARSHALL Jun15 May29 Apr27 Mar20 Feb27 (raghunath eric)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.