Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - May 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(4/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(4/2/1/3)-(5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/3)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/3)-(5/1/4)-(3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(3/6/2)-(7/1/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(7/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(7/1/8)-(4/5/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/8)-(7/1/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/8)-(7/1/8/5)-(7/1/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/8)-(4/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8)-(4/5/8/7)-(4/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/7)-(4/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/7)-(4/5/8/7)-(4/5/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/7)-(4/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/7)-(4/5/1/8)-(1/8/7/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/8)-(1/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (1/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   05/25/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIDEN ROCK May08 Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 Oct10 (candelas b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
NO NANNETTE NO Apr13 Jan24 Dec13 Nov22 Oct10 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00    
SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Apr27 Nov05 Oct06 Sep22 Aug04 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
SIGNATURE STREET May08 Apr13 Aug11 Jul25 Jul06 (ryan chri)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
JOCELYN May11 Apr13 Mar30 Oct24 Sep29 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 20.00    
LILY'S CREED May08 Apr24 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
 
HAW-2   05/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNARCHY May11 Apr20 Mar30 Oct13 Sep29 (flores ped)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
AWESOME SUNDAY May15 Apr13 Mar27 Jan25 Dec08 (zawitz joel)MOJICA O 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
KITTEN ROCKS May15 Aug11 Aug01 May19 Aug10 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
A REAL HERO May04 Apr13 Mar15 Dec08 Oct31 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
PALACE MAGIC May04 Apr17 Mar30 Dec08 Nov12 (dizeo din)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 4.50    
RAINY MOUNTAIN May18 May04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun01 (kirby fra)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00    
HEAVENLY HASH May04 Apr13 Mar27 Oct26 Oct13 (spagnola )ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00    
 
HAW-3   05/25/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO COOKIE RULE May11 Apr24 Apr06 Jan27 Jan07 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
ALVIN May11 Apr17 Apr03 Mar27 Nov02 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE May18 Apr27 Apr06 Sep29 Sep08 (rodriguez hugo)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
FLYING SAMURAI May11 Apr24 Apr13 Apr03 Nov12 (ryan chri)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
CODE RUNNER May11 Apr20 Apr06 Nov02 Oct18 (martinez joel)COLON H 124 0.60 60% 0.70    
MISTER CHARMING May11 Apr27 Apr06 Mar27 Oct19 (spagnola )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
 
HAW-4   05/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Work All Week Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING CAB May17 Apr26 Mar29 Nov08 Sep22 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 12.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of ALOTOFAPPEAL by TRIPPI)
LUNDBERG May04 Apr06 Mar22 Feb17 Jan04 (hernandez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
RED FLAG May01 Mar21 Feb01 Jan05 Nov28 (hess b)MOJICA O 124 2.00 32% 2.20    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of SURRENDER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  CAMP DADDY Jul14 Jun07 Apr28 Apr06 Feb29 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 6.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of CIRCLE OF ROSSETTI by BERNARDINI)
NAVY SEAL (IRE) May18 Apr25 Apr09 Mar29 Mar02 (knott nanc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 2.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of COPPERELLE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
DEVIL'S TOWER May09 Apr12 Mar21 Jan23 Dec27 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of QUATREFOIL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
HAW-5   05/25/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROTARY DIAL May08 Apr10 Mar17 Feb27 Jan28 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
LATE BLACKSMITH Apr26 Mar30 Dec06 Oct29 Oct15 (lopez elias)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
HONEST TO GOODNESS May08 Oct13 Sep15 Sep08 Aug22 (ramirez ca)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
YO DAWG Apr27 Apr06 Oct03 Sep22 Aug29 (berndt joel)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
DEVILS RED May08 Apr17 Mar30 Feb13 Jan24 (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00    
SCR  DINOS DIXIE May11 Mar15 Jan30 Nov27 Oct10 (simonovich d)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
CHANNEL WON May11 Mar07 Sep19 Jul07 May25 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK May11 Apr24 Apr03 Feb07 Dec05 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
 
HAW-6   05/25/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAGY AND DA BEARS Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 Aug04 Jul21 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50    
NEON DEION Apr04 Mar22 Feb26 Jan31 Jan10 (simonovich)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00    
A P BLAZING GREEN May11 Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 Aug04 (dizeo din)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 6.00    
MAN ON ATTACK Mar09 Feb14 Dec21 Oct13 Aug25 (rednour jr)REYES FRANK 122 1.40 50% 1.00    
VALIANTLY DISCREET Mar27 Dec19 Oct26 Sep03 Aug13 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
EL MUCHO Apr20 Apr03 Nov25 Oct24 Mar24 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
ALIBI IKE May15 Apr26 Apr10 Feb08 Jan07 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIZWOW Nov02 Aug27 Aug13 Jul09 Jun11 (retana ga)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00 13% 6.70    
 
HAW-7   05/25/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTERA Apr27 Mar28 Feb17 Jan17 Jan01 (hernandez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
HANDSOFFTHEGOODS May01 Oct19 Sep26 Sep01 Jul18 (moreno irvin)COLON H 122 15.00    
BIGFOOT SIGHTING May11 Apr24 Apr06 Mar30 Feb14 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
DYNAMIS (IRE) May03 Apr13 Mar29 Mar08 Feb23 (haran john)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
ETERNALLY GRATEFUL May01 Apr13 Mar08 Feb01 Dec28 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
CAUGHT OFF GUARD Apr13 Oct13 Sep29 Sep21 Sep01 (berndt jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00    
DANVILLE Apr24 Apr06 Mar30 Mar03 Jan27 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
MYSTIC POWER May13 Apr24 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BYWORD May11 Apr27 Apr06 Jan24   (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 116 20.00    
 
HAW-8   05/25/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST JACK Aug13 Jun11 May26 Apr16 Jun13 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
CONGRATS ON FIFTY Apr06 Mar22 Oct13 Sep01 Aug15 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50    
MIDNIGHT SPECIAL Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb19 Dec28 (simonovich d)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
COMISKEY PARK Aug15 Jul28 Jun22 May27 Apr16 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
TWIRLING ROSES Apr27 Apr11 Mar21 Feb21 Jan31 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.50    
SCR  XPRESSIR Apr26 Oct29 Oct15 Oct05 Aug31 (quinonez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 20.00    
BETWITHBOTHHANDS Dec01 Jul11 Jun25 May28   (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
MISTER KELLY May06 Mar23 Feb23 Dec29 Dec05 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  UNCASHED May18 Apr25 Mar22 Feb13 Jan18 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.00    
SCR  GAVEL Apr27 Apr06 Feb16 Jan30 Dec12 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.