Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - May 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(5/3/2)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(1/5/2)-(4/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(4/6/5)-(3/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3/6/1)-(5/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(5/2/1)-(7/6/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(7/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARTY Mar07 Jan17 Dec18 Sep13 Aug24 (perkins ben)DEL SARA 113 6.00    
SCR  VIEUX CARRE Apr19 Mar07       (kravets bru)RAMOS O 117 15.00    
3  FLAGRUNNER Feb12 Dec16 Nov20 Oct15 Sep23 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 120 3.50    
4  UNDICI May02 Mar31 Feb27 Jan08 Dec18 (guerrero)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CLOUD IN THE WIND May01 Mar07 Dec27 Dec04 Nov13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  ICONA MAMA Apr27 Mar15 Feb22 Nov27 Oct05 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 117 1.40    
 
PEN-2   05/22/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY MINION May09 May02 Apr25 Mar28 Mar21 (bobadilla j)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 6.00    
2  LAKE NAKURU May09 Apr25 Mar28 Mar13 Feb28 (kreiser c)CORA D 124 6.00 7% 13.20    
3  INDIRECTLY Apr25 Mar06 Feb06 Dec20 Dec06 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 124 1.50 10% 8.80    
4  HIBACHI May02 Jan09 Dec06 Nov08 Sep30 (o'callahan carl)FLORES E 124 10.00    
5  ROADTRIPTONOWHERE May09 Feb21 Jan08 Dec04 Oct28 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.20 60% 0.70    
 
PEN-3   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLY WILLY May07 Feb19 Dec19     (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  BEJUCO May07 Mar06 Feb21 Feb07 Jan03 (carpio erin)RAMOS O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PREACH IT WARRIOR Dec11 Nov14 Oct01 Aug27 Aug05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00    
4  WILD NUGGET May07 Mar27 Feb21 Oct25 Oct03 (synnefias dim)TUNON JORDANO 122 1.80    
5  MY DETROIT CITY May02 Mar20 Feb19 Dec19 Nov14 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00 15% 5.60    
6  CAPPETTA May07 Apr24 Feb19 Nov08 Oct07 (fields kevin)FLORES E 119 4.50    
 
PEN-4   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROAD JUMPER May07 Apr01 May18 Apr16 Mar20 (marquez ces)RAMOS O 120 30.00    
2  TILTED TIARA May01 Feb21 Feb06 Jan03 Dec13 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50    
SCR  LA MACCHINA ROSSA Apr23 Mar27 Dec19 Nov07 Oct11 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80    
4  COMBAT HOOFS May02 Oct09 Sep24 Aug22 Jul31 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
5  ARUMA Apr16 Nov27 Nov06 Oct05 Sep04 (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 120 10.00 7% 12.50    
6  HOT DANCE May10 Apr11 Mar23 Mar01 Feb14 (magee kieron)RODRIGUEZ YAN 113 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
PEN-5   05/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAZARENO May08 Aug16 Jul19 Jun26 May31 (carpio erin)RAMOS O 120 10.00 5% 17.60    
2  EGOT A POKER FACE May07 Apr21 Mar28 Feb21 Feb01 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
3  KALAHARI NOT SORRY Mar13 Feb07 Nov20 Oct25 Feb06 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 1.40 49% 1.00    
4  CHAIN LIGHTNING Apr24 Mar13 Jan09 Dec02 Oct25 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00    
SCR  MALIBU WARRIOR May02 Mar14 Feb27 Jan09   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 117 12.00    
6  SAPONARA May07 Mar27 Feb19 Jan09 Dec19 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
PEN-6   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYGIRLISABOMB Apr23 Mar15 Jan31 Jan16 Nov30 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  NEW BOOTS May11 Mar20 Mar09 Feb22 Jan18 (demario c)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
3  RED BETTY May01 Mar21 Feb28 Feb06 Jan09 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.50    
4  MOCHA DIANE Dec20 Dec01 Oct02 Aug27   (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 4.00    
5  IRACEBETH May09 Apr24 Mar13 Jan30 Dec19 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 119 1.80 47% 1.10    
6  BOUNTY KILLAH May08 Apr08 Mar28 Mar11 Feb28 (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 6.00    
 
PEN-7   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUCKY OUR LAW May02 Apr14 Mar14 Feb19   (galligan gera)ROJAS MARTINA 121 2.00    
2  OLLIE BOY May07 Apr24       (demario a)CORA D 124 10.00    
3  DAVE DID IT May07 Apr04 Mar07 Feb21 Dec13 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 20.00    
4  COME ABOUT Nov20 Nov09 Sep10     (eubanks ann)RAMOS O 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  VIRAL VIDEO May02 Apr07 Mar25 Feb25 Jan08 (marquez cesar)RIVERA D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOTTA HAVE HEART Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May24 May02 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
7  RUN HELWIG RUN Mar26 Mar06 Feb07 Jan25 Dec19 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.