Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - May 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/2/3)-(4/5/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(4/5/1/7)-(5/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/7)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/7)-(5/3/2)-(3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/4)-(6/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(6/4/1)-(2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   05/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARDINAL WAR CRY May01 Mar14 Jan09 Dec13 Nov07 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
KASHMIR WITCH May01 Mar13 Feb07 Dec12   (kravets bru)RAMOS O 117 8.00    
TOOTALOO KANGAROO Mar14 Jan03 Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 54% 0.80    
QUERCUS Feb20 Jan30 Dec17 Nov27 Nov14 (kravets m)CORA D 117 6.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  QUIVIRA CRANE May01 Mar13 Dec19 Nov27 Sep28 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 117 30.00    
SCR  NIGHT QUEST Apr25 Aug28       (lynch cathal)CHUAN MARTIN 124 2.50    
CRUZIN ANNA May01 Mar21 Feb19 Dec13 Aug23 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00    
 
PEN-2   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVRIL May03 Feb20 Jan02 Dec20 Nov14 (carpio erin)RAMOS O 121 2.50    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SWEET EIRE by TRUST N LUCK)
GINGERSAYSCHILL Mar24 Mar10 Oct23     (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 21% 3.90    
  (by WINCHILL out of CROWN GINGER by ESKENDEREYA)
SIMPLY TENACIOUS May03 Mar28 Mar13     (montford leslie)FLORES E 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
NITTANY LIONESS May03 Mar24       (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PINK PRINCESS by WEIGELIA)
TUDOX DAHLIA Apr25 Dec30 Nov14 Sep21 Sep01 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 1.20 58% 0.70    
  (by WEIGELIA out of DISTINCT SPARKLE by WITH DISTINCTION)
 
PEN-3   05/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BO'S BOURBON Apr23 Mar21 May30 May15 Mar27 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY May08 Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Dec27 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.50    
TRIVISTA May08 Apr25 Mar28 Feb27 Feb07 (ippolito ma)RAMOS O 124 30.00    
NOLO CONTESTO May08 Apr24 Mar21 Jan09 Dec19 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
CHAIN REACTION May09 Apr23 Mar15 Feb28 Jan29 (moreno-ba)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
ROMANTIC GAMBLE Jul24 Jun27 May31 May15 May02 (geist w)FLORES E 124 12.00    
MALINOIS Oct10 Sep27 Sep02 Jul20 May23 (magee kieron)RODRIGUEZ YAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
GUNS N' ROJAS May09 Apr25 Mar27 Mar13 Feb27 (albright amy)CORA D 124 10.00    
SCR  WICKED IRISHMAN May08 Apr24 Aug02 Jul24 Jul03 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
SCR  INTER MIAMI May08 Apr23 Mar27 Oct30 Oct05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00    
 
PEN-4   05/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGA CHARLIE May03 Apr23 Apr07 Mar26 Mar17 (gallimore trevor)CASTILLO A 120 3.50    
DYNAMITE KARMA May01 Apr02 Mar07 Feb19 Dec19 (moreno-ba)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 14% 6.20    
ENTRUST May02 Mar14 Jan03 Dec20 Nov13 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
OCTOBER BLISS Apr28 Mar12 Feb25 Feb10 Jan28 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 124 6.00    
ARAK Apr30 Apr11 Dec06 Oct21 Oct01 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD May02 Dec31 Dec04 Nov16 Oct09 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 1.40    
 
PEN-5   05/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEN YOUR STRANGE May08 Apr25 Apr17 Mar27 Mar06 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00    
SCR  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 Feb06 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 120 20.00    
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Apr25 Feb20 Jan08 Aug28 Jul31 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
STORMY SPELL May01 Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 Dec13 (harigeorg)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PEACE OUT Apr05 Mar07 Feb23 Feb05 Jan02 (meister willi)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
LADRO DI FICHI May01 Mar20 Mar06 Feb06 Jan08 (murillo a)CORA D 120 2.00    
 
PEN-6   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANDY'S REFUGEE May09 Apr23 Feb28 Feb07 Nov20 (carpio erin)RAMOS O 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
WARRIOR'S COBBLER May09 Sep10       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00    
GOODBYE Mar22 Feb23 Jan18 Dec07   (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50    
DATA WARRIOR         (gregory theod)ROJAS MARTINA 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  EXTRASEXYMCSTEEMEE Apr23         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.00    
DIAL IT UP         (beattie m)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
PEN-7   05/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOCA ROYALTY May06 Apr22 Mar27 Mar12 Feb24 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Apr25 Mar27 Mar06 Feb06 Jan03 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
UPTOWN SERAPHINA Apr25 Mar20 Mar06 Feb21 Nov20 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.50    
SCR  CEDAR VALLEY Apr25 Mar14 Feb04 Jan07 Dec18 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 6.00    
SCR  BUCKFAST ABBEY May07 Apr23 Mar13 Aug07 Jul24 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00    
RIBOT'S VALENTINE Apr25 Mar28 Feb28 Feb06 Dec20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.