Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - May 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/7)-(5/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-2   WIN (5/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/6)-(2/3/1)-(7/4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(7/4/2/6)-(4/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-4   WIN (7/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-6   WIN (2/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/5)-(4/10/6/3/8)-(1/9/5/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-7   WIN (4/10/6/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/3/8)-(4/10/6/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/3/8)-(4/10/6/3/8)-(4/10/6/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/6/3/8)-(1/9/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-8   WIN (1/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET CHARLIZE May02 Apr05 Feb27 Feb02 Jul27 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
2  SISTER ELLA Mar21 Feb22 Feb01 Dec26 Oct31 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 12.00 13% 7.00    
3  PERCEPTIVE Apr26 Feb23 Feb02 Jan03 Nov03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.00    
4  CATHERINE BLAZE Mar28 Feb07 Jan17 Nov13 Sep30 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 10.00    
5  BOSSADUSU Apr26 Mar28 Feb07 Jan03 Dec06 (ashford tristan)DIEGO V 124 6.00    
6  COURAGEOUS CAPPEN Apr25 Mar15 Feb03 Oct12 Sep12 (durham danele)CASTILLO AMIN 124 12.00 9% 9.60    
7  OH DOO DAH DAY Mar09 Feb07 Jan12 Dec12 Nov09 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 124 8.00 8% 11.50    
8  HIGHLANDER HONEY Apr19 Mar28 Mar09 Feb23 Feb09 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 124 12.00    
 
LS-2   05/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING ADOLIS Apr20 Mar22 Feb16 Jan11 Dec05 (baldillez ale)JUAREZ J 119 12.00    
2  ADGER May03 Mar08 Jan17 Nov07 Oct23 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00    
3  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Apr17 Mar23 Mar16 Mar01 Jan17 (kotara ronald)DIAZ RENE 124 15.00    
4  MORO MAFIA Apr18 Feb13 Jan10 Dec11 Nov09 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CANYON STREAK Apr17 Mar22 Mar01 Jan24 Jul12 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 119 1.00 46% 1.20    
6  OZZIES WINGS Y G Apr17 Mar29 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ECHO MARINE May03 Mar01 Jan03 Nov18   (castellanos ja)REYES R 119 15.00    
8  MISTER MOSCATO Apr17 Mar16 Mar01 Jan17 Nov29 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
9  CRAZY RIDGE May02 Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Feb02 (kotara ronald)BENAVIDES D 124 15.00    
 
LS-3   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY APPLESEED Feb28 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec05 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00 5% 18.80    
2  IMA BLING CAT Apr26 Mar28 Mar07 Feb28 Dec09 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
3  CINCO MAJESTIC Apr27 Apr14 Apr01 Mar10 Feb16 (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 6% 16.80    
4  PLAYING HARDBALL Apr27 Mar09 Feb23 Dec13 Nov15 (calvario samue)SANCHEZ OBED 122 20.00    
5  BASEBALL POLITICS Apr18 Dec21 Oct19 Oct05 Aug31 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.40    
6  WEIRD YEAR Apr18 Mar08 Feb21 Jan24 Nov01 (rossi j)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
 
LS-4   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIR TO GREATNESS Apr17 Apr05 Mar01 Feb01 Jan11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.50    
2  A. P.'S SECRET Apr06 Nov19 Mar04 Jul29 May30 (young bob)DIEGO V 124 15.00 16% 5.40    
3  PICO D'ORO May04 Apr17 Apr05 Mar14 Feb14 (govea cesar)REYES R 124 10.00    
4  MALIBU S S Apr17 Apr04 Mar09 Feb23 Jan11 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
5  TOUCH OF GLAM (ARG) May03 Apr12 Mar09 Feb23 Feb01 (fincher w)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00    
6  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT Apr24 Jun23 May10 Apr06 Feb09 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  T BONES TRICK Apr17 Nov22 Nov07 Sep19 Jul06 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
LS-5   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG WAVE JAMES Apr17 Jan19 Oct26 Oct05 Jul04 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
2  MIGHTY MESSAGE Apr26 Apr06 Mar21 Mar02 Feb24 (green ike)JUAREZ J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GABARRA Apr27 Mar07 Feb16 Jan24 Sep16 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
4  ZE'BUL Apr17 Mar16 Feb07 Dec17 Nov04 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 124 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  TI CAILLOU Apr19 Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 (willis mindy)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 20.00    
6  FIGHT'N READY Apr17 Mar15 Feb28 Feb08 Jan24 (petalino joe)REYES R 124 6.00    
7  FOR A LAUGH (IRE) Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 Jan01 Nov15 (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50    
SCR  ROYAL COACH Apr25 Mar21 Feb14 Jan10 Dec19 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 119 6.00    
SCR  AIN'T THAT A KICK Apr18 Mar02 Jan24 Dec20 Nov22 (petalino joe)ELLIOTT S 124 8.00    
 
LS-6   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAFALGAR SHORE May02 Mar14 Feb28 Jan24 Nov21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  PATTERN BET Apr25 Feb03 Nov13 Aug10 Jul13 (diodoro robert)REYES R 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  BLUEBONNET GIRL Mar22 Mar07 Feb15 Jan12 Dec04 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
4  SHARP LIKENESS May04 Apr06 Mar14 Feb22 Jan11 (gour)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
5  BRITISH EDGE Feb28 Jan03 Dec04 Sep06 Aug05 (morgan kevin)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIRDIE CURDY Mar21 Feb21 Jan24 Dec10 Nov19 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 6.00    
7  COINMAKER May04 Apr17 Apr06 Mar14 Mar01 (baldillez alejand)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00    
8  BLING ON THE LIGHT Jan26 Jun23 May18 Apr19 Mar30 (garza e)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
 
LS-7   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERRY MISCHIEVOUS May03 Apr18 Mar09 Feb15 Feb01 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 119 2.50    
2  BABY OF THE FAMILY Apr25 Mar30 Feb28 Aug12 Jun02 (martin james )FUENTES MARIO 124 6.00    
3  ROAD RACER May26         (ashford ray)DIEGO V 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROCKETS RED FLAIR Apr19 Mar29 Feb21 Jan03 Jun01 (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 5.00 47% 1.10    
5  MR. TEXAS CHARM Feb07 Jan08 Dec13 Nov06 Jul06 (ramirez e)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
6  FLYING CAESAR Apr25 Mar30 Mar14 Feb16 Feb07 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  MIDNIGHT HUMOR Apr20 Feb16 Jan25 Jul13 Jun09 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00    
8  RACE AROUND May03 Jul12 May31     (stinebaugh za)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  PAINTED LAD Apr25 Mar29 Feb28 Feb16 Feb07 (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00    
10  HASHTAGMAKITHAPPEN Apr19 Mar14 Mar02 Jan18 Jun28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
LS-8   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINANT SPIRIT Mar22 Feb22 Jan19 Dec13 Oct25 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 119 5.00 74% 0.30    
2  PHILANTHROPER Mar21 Feb21 Jan17 Mar22 Mar01 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
3  INACLASSOFMYOWN Apr19 Feb07 Jan18 Nov22   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLD PRIZE May03 Mar21 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 12.00    
5  OLD BOYS CLUB May03 Mar07 Feb07 Jan12 Nov14 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MO GO May03 Apr18 Mar07 May18 Feb17 (ashford ray)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.00    
SCR  NEWS AT NINE Apr06 Mar07 Feb15 Jan18 Dec21 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 1.60    
8  SAGITTARIUS Apr17 Mar21 Feb02 Jan01 Dec14 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 6.00    
9  BIG NICKEL Apr25 Mar28 Feb23 Feb07 Jan12 (clary r)REYES R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.