Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Energy Downs
Friday - May 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EDR-6   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EDR-7   WIN (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EDR-8   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EDR-6   05/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ARTIE May11 Apr18 Oct29 Oct01 Sep04 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 128 5.00    
2  GO THRU THE HOLE Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug16 Aug04 (story shaun)TEETER NAKIA 128 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  NEW EVERY MORNING Apr10 Feb27 Feb04 Jan14 Dec17 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 128 4.00 47% 1.10    
4  SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 Feb25 Feb06 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 128 2.00    
5  MONTANA Apr09 Mar26 Mar12 Dec19 Oct19 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 8.00    
6  STAND TO Sep22 Sep15 Sep01 Aug30 Aug24 (dominguez ca)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 15.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Apr29 Mar05 Feb18 Jan23 Nov14 (diaz f)MORALES ALLYSSA 128 10.00    
 
EDR-7   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CREEK Aug03 Jun08 Apr13 Mar10 Jan14 (moody ski)RIVAS CARLOS 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIZE LORD Mar25 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 Jan02 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 2.50 17% 4.90    
3  PASSION OF JOE'S Apr19 Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb10 (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 128 3.50    
4  BOURBON AND WATER Sep22 Sep06 Aug31 Jul21 Jul06 (story shaun)TEETER NAKIA 128 4.50    
5  ALTERNATE TIME Sep22 Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Aug04 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 6.00    
6  MO DANDY Sep06 Aug30 Aug18 Aug11 Jul20 (estrada beni)SERRANO KEIVAN 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  REGAL REDWOOD Apr16 Mar27 Mar13 Feb20 Feb04 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 128 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
EDR-8   05/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11K) 35 M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROKE THE CODE Apr19 Mar09 Feb07     (alvarez serg)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 4.00    
  (by DESERT CODE out of FIRST AMENDMENT by THORN SONG)
2  STRAWBERRY ZINGER         (zimmerman)VALENZUELA A 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of LITTLE BIT LOVELY by SAINT ANDDAN)
3  MISS HOTROD Apr30 Aug25 Aug11 Jul07   (simpson s)IRONEYES R 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of CONSENT by PULPIT)
4  STRIKE THIS BREEZE         (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by SMART BID out of BENICIA GEM by MCCANN'S MOJAVE)
5  R N S STRATAGEM         (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 126 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by WAR BOND out of STRATAGEM by AIR COMMANDER)
6  EZ ARIZONA Apr24 May02 Apr17 Apr08 Mar19 (kemper kasey)CARDOSO DAVID 128 2.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of ARIZONA RANGER by U S RANGER)
7  WYOMING JEWEL Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 May26   (guzman bre)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 128 10.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of PEARL'S FROM ABOVE by FLASHY BULL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.