Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - May 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/4/3)-(5/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTM-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/1/5/6)-(6/2/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-7   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(6/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-8   WIN (6/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISING STRONG Sep21 Aug02 Jul19     (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ANDTHELIVINISEASY by GONE WEST)
2  STARFALL Apr19 Mar21       (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SKY SHAFT by MINESHAFT)
3  HOLY BELLE May03 Mar12 Feb21 Feb05   (zielke madison)CARTER KYLE 120 4.50    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of HOLY EMPRESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  QUEENS OVER JACK'S May03 Jun22 Aug13 Jul08   (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by LAOBAN out of PASS PARTOUT by TIZNOW)
5  SWEET CITY DOLL Dec05 Oct31 Sep05     (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SWEETSOUTHERN DOLL by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
 
CTM-2   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN OF CAIRO Oct20 Sep29 Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 123 6.00 9% 10.70    
2  WE THE FRINGE May03 Oct20 Oct05 Sep14 Aug17 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 123 3.00    
SCR  IN YOUR BIZ Sep29         (robertson je)HUGHES RASHEED 118 2.50    
4  NASAS PRINCESS Oct26 Sep14 Aug23 Aug10   (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 118 2.00 67% 0.50    
5  HERETHEREVERYWHERE May03 Dec13 Nov28 Nov07 Oct19 (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 4.00    
 
CTM-3   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'S THE PUMPS Oct26 Sep23 Sep03 Aug28 Aug14 (kenway)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  LADY EVA May03 Oct24 Sep19 Aug24 Aug01 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00    
3  LANDRY KYLE Oct14 Sep29 Sep14 Aug25 Jul14 (rumsey cory)FOSTER R 125 10.00 8% 12.20    
4  RICHARDS COMMAND Oct12 Sep21 Sep06 Jul20 Jun28 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 26% 2.80    
5  WICKED WOMAN Oct13 Sep28 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 (rumsey cory)POON ANDREW 125 6.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL BABE Oct19 Sep28 Aug30 Jul24 Jul13 (calhoun kimb)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 4.00    
 
CTM-4   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAK BAY QUALITY Oct12 Sep22 Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 4.50    
2  HARBOR DANCER Oct20 Oct06 Aug30 Aug09 Jul28 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50    
3  CAPE COMANDER Aug09 May18 May04     (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  CASSANO Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jan02 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 123 8.00    
SCR  LAST ROUND Sep29         (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 118 3.00 58% 0.70    
6  I'M SEEING RED Sep14 Jul05 Jun15 May25   (henson r)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-5   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMEIRAH COAST Oct27 Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50    
SCR  SIX SHOTS OF T Sep21 Sep07 Aug16 Jul24 Jul06 (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 4.00    
3  THUNDER OF ZION Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 Jan11 Dec15 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 125 3.00    
4  GOOD BYE PUTIN Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 Aug16 Jul27 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  CALI CONQUEST Oct19 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 (cone r)STEADMAN LEON 125 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  PUMP THE BRAKES May10 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Sep13 (b)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 6.00 8% 10.80    
 
CTM-6   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J DUTTON Jan16 Dec07 Nov16 Oct06 Sep14 (and)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50    
2  LATE NIGHT LIVING Aug30 Aug10 Jul17 Jun08 Feb21 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 5.00    
3  DERECHO DANDY Jul17 Jun29 Jun08 May27 May11 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  G T RAY SIR Sep14 Aug31       (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 118 4.00 41% 1.40    
5  LORD OF BATTLE Sep14 Aug24 Jul31     (baker t)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 3.50    
6  PIONEER STORM KING Aug23 Aug05 Jul27     (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
CTM-7   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODY'S PAL Oct27 Oct20 Oct05 Sep14 Sep06 (biggs sey)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 123 4.00 10% 8.90    
2  JUMP THE QUEUE Nov03 Sep22 Aug30 Jul31 Oct07 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 5.00    
3  THESHACK Sep14 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Jun01 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.00 55% 0.80    
4  DON'T LET ME DOWN Apr08 Mar19 Mar04 Dec31 Oct13 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 123 3.50    
5  POINT TO THE STARS Oct13 Sep21 Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 8.00 8% 11.90    
6  MUDINATOR Jun21 Jun08 May24 Sep16 Aug19 (russell monica)CARTER KYLE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  NORTHERN FORCE May03 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 2.50    
 
CTM-8   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREDIBILITY Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 123 5.00    
2  GHOSTLY SPITFIRE May03 Dec01 Nov16 Oct06 Aug23 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  ALL RUN Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep21 Aug30 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 4.00    
4  DERZKII Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Aug24 Jul12 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TOOL TIME May03 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Oct19 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.50 6% 16.70    
6  CHASE THE SUN Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 3.00 51% 1.00    
7  J J'S CAPER Oct20 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 (nic)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.