Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - May 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/3/5)-(3/4/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/4/1/7)-(5/8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/7)-(5/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/7)-(5/8/7/4)-(3/8/5/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/4)-(3/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/4)-(3/8/5/2)-(6/5/1/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2/12)-(3/8/5/2/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/5/2)-(6/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/2)-(6/5/1/8)-(6/1/8/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-6   WIN (6/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/8)-(6/1/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/8)-(6/1/8/2)-(4/6/2/10/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/8/2)-(4/6/2/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-8   WIN (4/6/2/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/10/1)-(4/6/2/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/10/1)-(4/6/2/10/1)-(4/6/2/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE SASS Apr20 Oct31 Sep21 Sep05 Jun26 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
FAST N HAPPY Apr20 Apr06 Mar14 Feb27 Jan18 (young ter)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
LUNARCHY Apr20 Mar30 Oct13 Sep29 Sep19 (flores pe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOCELYN Apr13 Mar30 Oct24 Sep29 Sep12 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 12.00    
HONOR HIS HALF Mar30 Mar14 Feb21 Feb06 Jan16 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 116 3.00 42% 1.40    
DESSERT FIRST Apr17 Apr06 Feb16 Dec28 Nov29 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.00    
 
HAW-2   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONS LAW Apr17 Apr03 Oct15 Oct03 Sep12 (young r)COLON H 124 6.00    
KIND KISMET Sep19 Sep07 Aug22 Aug04   (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.60 30% 2.40    
MARY'S BOON Jan09 Oct06 Jun18 May04 Apr01 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
JOYZELLA May04 Apr10 Mar27 Oct10 Sep12 (spagnola )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
NADJAMEANSBUSINESS Apr10 Mar05 Feb12 Jan03 Dec20 (simonovich da)HERNANDEZ K 116 8.00 14% 6.20    
CATHOLIC SUE May01 Feb28 Feb07 Jan29 Jan17 (simonovich daniel)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
 
HAW-3   05/11/2025 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET WARRIOR Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 Jun15 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
FROM THE HEART Apr06 Mar02 Feb09 Jan25 Jan03 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
ANOTHER MYSTERY Mar06 Jan25 Dec21 Sep29 Aug25 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 1.80 24% 3.10    
BAL A KAZOO Nov02 Oct05 Sep01 Jul25 Jun28 (gorham rober)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
LAMPLIGHTER JACK Apr16 Apr06 Mar12 Feb08 Jan04 (campbell j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
TOWERING STORM Mar08 Feb22 Dec26 Oct13 Aug25 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
SOUL COAXING Apr20 Dec05 Nov05 Oct10 Sep15 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 8.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  READTHECLIFFNOTES Apr20 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Aug08 (boyce michele)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
 
HAW-4   05/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIGFOOT SIGHTING Apr24 Apr06 Mar30 Feb14 Jan26 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 116 5.00    
SCR  WESTEROS May01 Apr13 Mar27 Mar02 Feb15 (candelas blanca)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
BOONE'S PATH May01 Mar14 Feb21 Dec21 May12 (young ter)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00    
T LAW Apr24 Oct06 Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
VALIANT WEST Apr24 Mar30 Mar16 Mar02 Aug29 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
BYWORD Apr27 Apr06 Jan24     (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 116 6.00    
WHISKEY OR WINE Apr13 Mar16 Mar01 Feb05 Jan19 (campbell j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOURNEY Apr20 Oct29 Sep08 Aug11   (boyce michele)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 4.50 25% 2.90    
 
HAW-5   05/11/2025 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JET FLIGHT May01 Apr20 Sep08 Jul28 Jul18 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 20.00    
WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK Apr24 Apr03 Feb07 Dec05 Sep22 (dizeo din)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00 5% 17.20    
CHANNEL WON Mar07 Sep19 Jul07 May25 Feb02 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 44% 1.30    
MAHONEY ROAD Apr27 Feb28 Jan09 Oct10 Sep05 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
WE MISS ARLINGTON Apr27 Apr20 Apr03 Mar09 Feb14 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 7% 13.70    
A P BLAZING GREEN Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 Aug04 Jul28 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
SHAKE UP Apr10 May18 Apr28 Apr19 Mar28 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
GRAND HIDEAWAY Dec12 Oct22 Oct03 Sep19 Jul28 (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  YO DAWG Apr27 Apr06 Oct03 Sep22 Aug29 (berndt joel)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
10  DINOS DIXIE Mar15 Jan30 Nov27 Oct10 Sep05 (simonovich daniel)FELIX E 122 4.00    
SCR  COALMINER'S KITTEN Apr24 Apr03 Nov02 Jun30 Jun08 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
12  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Apr26 Mar09 Jul14 Jun08 May11 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
SCR  VALIANTLY DISCREET Mar27 Dec19 Oct26 Sep03 Aug13 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  RED LABEL Apr26 Apr03 Jul14 Jun16 May04 (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00    
 
HAW-6   05/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO COOKIE RULE Apr24 Apr06 Jan27 Jan07 Dec02 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
VITALE Nov15 Oct25 Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 (clay p)ORTEGA JOSEPH 122 12.00    
MISTER CHARMING Apr27 Apr06 Mar27 Oct19 Sep26 (spagnola ida)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 8.00    
WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Apr24 Apr13 Oct06 Sep26 Sep15 (campbell )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) May01 Apr13 Mar01 Feb08 Jan24 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
CODE RUNNER Apr20 Apr06 Nov02 Oct18 Oct06 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
ALVIN Apr17 Apr03 Mar27 Nov02 Oct15 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
FLYING SAMURAI Apr24 Apr13 Apr03 Nov12 Oct26 (ryan chri)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAUNTING Apr20 Oct03 Sep15     (block chris)COLON H 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of RENDITION by A.P. INDY)
CRECENCIO         (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BIG TINA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
MELLIFLUOUS Apr20 Mar28 Mar07 Jan12 Dec13 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of FAIRY STAR by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  MIDTERM Aug29 Aug04 Jul14 Jun02 May11 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BETRUETOYOURSCHOOL by SILVER TREE)
GAMBLING GOODSON         (mason ingrid)FELIX E 124 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS DIXIE CUP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BRODY Apr20 Sep19 Apr26 Apr13 Mar23 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CINNIE by MARTE)
GABE'S CHOICE         (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 8.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of CAN'T BUY A THRILL by BORREGO)
SEMPER PRIMUS         (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 5.00 14% 6.30    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of INAUGURATE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  GUNNY SACK         (kirby fra)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 15.00    
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of MARIA'S MOMENT by INDY SNOW (GB))
10  THREE AFLEET Oct10         (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of TAHOE DREAM by AFLEET ALEX)
 
HAW-8   05/11/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY AGENT Apr27 Apr06 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
LONE RETURN May04 Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 Aug04 (dizeo din)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
ALADANTE Apr17 Apr06 Dec04 Nov02 Oct10 (hughes w)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 30.00    
BERKUS (FR) Apr13 Mar27 Feb17 Feb02   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
CASH APP MIKE Apr26 Mar02 Feb15 Dec29   (simonovic)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 30.00    
RED RIZZLER May04 Apr10 Mar30 Nov14 Oct31 (rosas rigo)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00 9% 10.30    
DOUBLE BURN May01 Apr12       (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.50    
DYNO WAR Apr13 Mar13 Feb21 Jan30 Oct17 (ramirez carlos)REYES FRANK 118 15.00    
BLACK RUSSIAN Apr27 Apr13 Apr06 Sep19 Aug15 (perez manny)COLON H 124 10.00    
10  TEAM TROY Apr17 Mar27 Mar08 Jan25 Dec14 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.