Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - May 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/5/1)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-4   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/3/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-6   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-7   WIN (5/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-2   05/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD DIAMOND Jun08 May17 May04 Nov17 Oct15 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 2.00 44% 1.30    
BET ON WHITE Oct26 Sep22       (robertso)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 8.00    
THUNDER GOLD Oct06 Sep21 May25 May04   (rycroft ti)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.50    
ALBERTA BERBON Oct26 May25 May04 Oct07 Sep16 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
STONE HOUSE Oct12 Sep14 Aug31     (fantin caitlin)POON ANDREW 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-3   05/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINED FREEDOM Mar09 Feb07 Jan03 Dec11 Nov03 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 11% 8.10    
ASDEVOTED Aug31 Aug10       (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
JUST KEN Mar17 Jan22 Jan01     (o'hagan coll)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00    
KIKIS GOLDEN TOUCH Nov02 Oct20 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 (brown r)NELSON DANE 117 2.50    
BATTLE RIVER         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
CTM-4   05/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 118 12.00 9% 10.50    
FAST EH May03 Oct19 Oct05 Sep07 Aug25 (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 6.00    
STONE CARVER Feb24 Feb10 Jan13 Dec17 Oct27 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 2.50    
OUR BOLD PRINCE Feb24 Feb04 Jan14 Dec30 Nov24 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 3.50 21% 3.90    
GONE NUTS Apr02 Mar13 Feb19 Jan29 Jan08 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 123 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
CTM-5   05/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRIFIED Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 10.00    
LINCHPIN STORM May03 Oct27 Oct13 Sep21 Aug25 (rumsey )CHASE RICHARD 123 12.00 10% 9.00    
READYTOTAPNSING Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep21 Aug30 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 4.00    
FROSTEDBIRD Sep07 Aug24 Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 (baker t)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 6.00    
HANK OLLIE Dec15 Nov17 Nov03 Oct19 Oct04 (gilkyson )ZENTENO JR 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
WEDGE POND Dec10 Oct19 Oct13 Sep28 Sep13 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 123 1.40 28% 2.60    
 
CTM-6   05/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSALLGOODMAN Mar31 Feb24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 4.00    
THERE'S NO JOE Sep08 Jul21 Jun01 Nov12 Oct15 (anderson gon)NATERA KEIHTON 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SILENT RUNNER Oct20 Sep28 Sep13 Aug24 Jul31 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00    
SMART PLAY Oct27 Oct20 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00    
TICKET TO THE TOP Oct27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.60 51% 1.00    
FLASHFORDANI Oct27 Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 12% 7.30    
 
CTM-7   05/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE J P Oct27 Sep29 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 (kingston kar)NATERA KEIHTON 123 4.50 13% 6.70    
MR. SHORTY Mar10 Feb04 Jan14 Dec31 Nov30 (buf)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 5.00    
FRIDAYNIGHTSOLDIER Jan28 Dec30 Dec05 Nov13 Oct16 (humbke cher)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
TIGERITO Sep13 Sep07 Aug16 Jul26 Jul13 (strachan james)LAHOE RUJA 123 12.00    
FIRECRACKER STAND Oct13 Sep07 Aug23 Jul26 Jun29 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
MAD LUTHER Mar31 Mar10 Feb11 Jan30 Jan08 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 123 6.00    
PUMP THE BRAKES Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Sep13 Aug31 (bell ken)ZENTENO JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.