Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - May 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(6/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(6/2/7/3)-(9/10/7/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/3)-(9/10/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/3)-(9/10/7/5/6)-(3/8/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (9/10/7/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/7/5/6)-(9/10/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/7/5/6)-(9/10/7/5/6)-(9/10/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/7/5/6)-(3/8/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/7/5/6)-(3/8/6/2)-(7/10/4/5/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (3/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/2)-(3/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/2)-(3/8/6/2)-(3/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/2)-(7/10/4/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/2)-(7/10/4/5/6)-(5/1/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/10/4/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/4/5/6)-(7/10/4/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/4/5/6)-(7/10/4/5/6)-(7/10/4/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/4/5/6)-(5/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/10/4/5/6)-(5/1/6/7)-(7/1/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/7)-(7/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/7)-(7/1/6/4)-(5/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/4)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/4)-(5/4/6)-(1/3/11/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(1/3/11/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-9   WIN (1/3/11/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/11/2/7)-(1/3/11/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/11/2/7)-(1/3/11/2/7)-(1/3/11/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COIF Apr24 Mar27 Mar13 Feb07 Sep21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.00 70% 0.40    
NEXT AGENDA Apr24 Apr05 Mar06 Jan23 Nov20 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.00    
SCR  UNDERBID BRITTANY         (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.00    
DICE ARM Apr24 Feb08 Dec14 Nov23 Oct11 (keller )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER KENDALL Apr26 Mar29 Mar22     (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 118 20.00    
MISS SHACK ATTACK Apr05 Mar27 Mar13 Mar01 Feb08 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
CRUZIN VAN NUYS Apr24 Mar16 Mar02 Feb14 Jan20 (comi w)HO WESLEY 118 20.00    
 
CT-2   05/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW TIME ALLEN May02 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Jan17 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
CHARITABLE WINDSOR Apr25 Apr10 Feb28 Jan25 Jan02 (sanderson)BOCACHICA J 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
ONE CANDY CASTLE Apr03 Mar13 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (lane j)ADAMS L 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
HARPERSGONEFISHING May01 Apr03 Mar13 Nov27 Nov04 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
LOVE IS WICKED Apr24 Apr04 Mar07 Feb13 Jan29 (johnson dewa)DIAZ JR 120 3.50    
TWO BRONZE STARS Apr25 Apr03 Mar13 Feb08 Jan02 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 1.00 43% 1.30    
GIMMETHATSUGAR May02 Apr04 Mar08 Feb15 Jan31 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 116 8.00 11% 8.30    
TAP THE ARCHES Apr19 Oct26 Sep26     (gur battulga)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
 
CT-3   05/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOK AHEAD Apr26 Apr18 Mar27 Mar01 Feb07 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 116 12.00    
LIL MISS HONKYTONK Apr17 Mar15 Feb07 Jan11 Nov23 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 12.00    
REDHOTCHILIPHILLY Apr17 Mar14 Feb27     (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 120 1.00    
CHARITABLE ANY Nov09 Oct18 Jul06 Jun13 May28 (pearson michael)JORGE JULIO 120 50.00    
PARTY TIME FOR ME Apr17 Mar15 Feb07 Jan18 Dec14 (grigsby a)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 5.00 5% 17.80    
BOSS LADY K P Apr24 Nov02 Oct12 Sep20 Aug15 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY TRICKS Apr17 Mar15 Feb07 Jan11 Sep19 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 7% 12.50    
SLEWING Apr17 Apr03 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 (groves janice)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
JLODIAMOND Apr17 Aug23 Aug15 Jun15 Apr27 (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 110 12.00 46% 1.20    
10  OVER THE BULL Apr26 Apr17 Feb26 Jan11 Nov02 (sterli)ARAUJO VICENTE 116 10.00 13% 6.50    
 
CT-4   05/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Mar09 Jan25 Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00    
XCELLENT START Apr18 Feb28 Feb13 Jan17 Jan03 (sanderson)BOCACHICA J 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
JUDGEMENT DAY Apr18 Feb13 Jan31 Nov15 Oct25 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 1.80 26% 2.90    
LATE IN THE GAME Apr18 Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Aug13 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 12.00    
JUBA'S NOTION Apr25 Apr18 Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 (petty kr)DAVIS A 124 15.00    
JUBA'S HAT TRICK Apr25 Apr18 Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
PROSPECTIVE LOVE Apr18 Mar15 Feb13 Nov27 Oct31 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
SISYPHUS Apr18 Mar15 Jul02 May18 May11 (rose j)ACOSTA D 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
CT-5   05/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTCROSSTHELINE Apr23 Mar28 Mar14     (atkins m)DAVIS A 116 12.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of DUPPY CONQUEROR by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
JUBA'SDIAMOND Apr25 Mar28       (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 106 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of HASTYPUDDINDIAMOND by CITISLIPPER)
EASY PASS Apr23 Jan03 Nov29     (groves janice)LARROSA G 124 6.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of CAMPAIGN VOWS by BROKEN VOW)
TWISTER CITY         (wilhelm tabitha)PELTROCHE F 116 12.00 11% 7.90    
  (by SMARTEN out of PAYING DIVIDENS by STORMY'S MAJESTY)
PEACE FOR SIMON         (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 10.00 10% 9.40    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of PROSPECTIVE PEACE by MEDFORD)
HUMOROUS Apr23 Feb28 Feb13 Jan17 Nov15 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PILIPHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
FIBER PROOF         (viands )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of TWO HUNDRED PROOF by MALIBU MOON)
BLAZE FOR DAZE May03 Apr19 Feb27 Jan31 Dec06 (scott alfred)BATISTA A 124 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of ADALZARA by TAPIZAR)
GOGOGETEM Apr25         (craig e)RODRIGUEZ V 116 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of LITTLEMISSGOGO by WAR FRONT)
10  MOR D'ORO Apr25         (brown keith )DIAZ JR 116 1.80 17% 5.10    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  BIRCH BAY         (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00    
  (by SWING AND MISS out of LEMON TEA CAKE by SKYWALKER)
 
CT-6   05/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTIN OF ROBIN         (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 10.00 24% 3.10    
HURRICANE JIM Apr19 Mar07 Feb14 Jan16 Nov15 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 3.50    
SCR  MR ON HIGH Apr19 Mar28       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.00    
SUPER BANKER Apr18         (aylor willia)DIAZ JR 118 20.00    
MIA SAN MIA Apr19         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
TRUE WOOD         (viands )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 6.00 23% 3.40    
BOSSME Apr18 Mar28 Mar14 Feb05   (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
STORE SALE Apr18 Mar14 Feb22 Feb05   (perez er)DAVIS A 116 20.00    
 
CT-7   05/10/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICK'SWARMHEART Apr13 Mar22 Feb14 Dec05 Nov13 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00 21% 3.70    
GERICAULT Apr23 Mar28 Mar06 Feb15 Jan04 (carlis)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50    
BLOOD BROTHER Apr23 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan25 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00    
BRADLEY DO RIGHT Apr26 Mar28 Mar07 Dec07 Nov21 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
RUN ROCKY RUN Apr23 Mar28 Mar20 Mar01 Feb13 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
CANDY CORN Mar28 Jan24 Dec27 Dec07 Oct21 (viands )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00 20% 4.10    
THEDINGOATEYOBABY Apr28 Mar07 Jan25 Nov30 Sep27 (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 122 1.40 24% 3.20    
SINGULARITY Mar01 Feb15 Jan23 Jan04 Nov29 (payne beale)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00    
 
CT-8   05/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST Coin Collector Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY OF SUNSHINE Apr18 Feb22       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BURREN TRAIL by SHAMARDAL)
DADSNUMBRONEHELPR May02 Aug03 Jul19 Jul04   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
SCR  ANNAPOLIS ROAD Oct12 Sep21 Sep13     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80    
  (by OUTWORK out of KENTUCKY ROAD by MIDSHIPMAN)
MIDNIGHT MESA Feb01         (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 7% 14.40    
  (by SKY MESA out of ELEVENTH HOUR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MOONLIT NOTION Apr18 Mar20 Feb13 Jan17 Nov15 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 1.00 69% 0.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MOONLIT SONG by FIBER SONDE)
IM THE DIRECTOR Apr18 Mar15 Nov23 Nov07 Oct12 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
 
CT-9   05/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTANOTHATHINGCOMN Apr19 Mar29 Feb23 Feb07 Dec12 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.00 38% 1.70    
CITY TAAH Apr23 Mar21 Feb12 Jan09 Dec14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 7% 13.20    
MY SASSY VALENTINE Feb28 Feb02 Dec28 Dec07 Nov08 (frock a)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  PAMZ PALACE Feb05 Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 Nov09 (rangel ricardo)GILPIN SEAN 122 50.00    
DASHING LASS Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (shanley tim)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 30.00    
SUPER SPIRIT Apr19 Mar21 Aug23 Jul27 Feb15 (knudsen )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
SAFFRON Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Jan18 Nov21 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CENTIMORGAN Apr19 Mar29 Mar06 Jan24 Dec18 (viands )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 8.00    
SCR  SWIPE THAT CANDY Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb19 Jan25 (rideout anthony)JORGE JULIO 120 10.00    
10  ASHTEAD LADY Apr24 Apr03 Mar14 Feb27 Feb05 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 118 12.00    
11  MISS PIXY STIX Apr24 Dec28 Nov10 Dec16 Nov24 (figgins oll)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  DEE DEE SIX Apr25 Mar29 Feb28 Feb08 Jan18 (cipriano ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 50.00    
SCR  GIRL GONE WILD May02 Apr12 Mar22 Feb28 Feb02 (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
SCR  TIDBIT Mar08 Feb19 Jan15 Jan04 Nov13 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.