Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Tuesday - May 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/2/8)-(1/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-2   WIN (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/8)-(5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/8)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8)-(1/4/6)-(1/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(1/3/4)-(4/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(4/5/6)-(2/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-5   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(2/3/1)-(6/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(6/2/3)-(1/7/2/3/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FP-7   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(1/7/2/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FP-8   WIN (1/7/2/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/3/10)-(1/7/2/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/3/10)-(1/7/2/3/10)-(1/7/2/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   05/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEAR THE QUEEN Apr22 Nov02 Oct19     (randazzo te)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 5.00 23% 3.40    
SPIRIT SMOKE Apr22 Oct31 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 (durham mike)WALES T 126 6.00 26% 2.90    
LITTLE SASSER Apr22 Oct31 Oct19 Oct08 Sep27 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 4.00    
I'M INTERESTED Apr22 Jul23 Jun15     (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00    
DANG IT BABE Apr22         (blea tony)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIZMEONEMORETIME Apr17 Apr03 Oct29 Aug25 Aug15 (zawitz)BAILON JADHIR 126 2.00    
 
FP-2   05/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S ON Apr22 Nov02 Oct22 Oct01 Sep17 (martinez-lin)BETHKE A 124 8.00    
SNOW GLO Dec03 Nov18 Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 (castro isidro)LOPEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MORO MAESTRO Apr22 Sep21 Sep03 Aug20 Jul27 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.50    
BABAS GAL Apr29 Apr13 Oct22 Oct08 Sep01 (bahena fe)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 114 10.00    
COLLECT A LIL Oct22 Oct08 Sep21 Aug13 Jul20 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 2.50 69% 0.50    
SCR  GREEN GRACE Nov02 Oct22 Oct08 Sep07 Aug20 (thurman r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
FOREVER BLESSED Apr22 Apr13 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 (lynch harry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50    
PRIMITY Oct15 Sep21 Sep07 Aug20 Aug03 (martinez-linar)DIEGO JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-3   05/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRANCIPANTS Apr17 Apr02 Feb28 Jan15 Dec26 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE Oct17 Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 (randazzo ted)LOPEZ A 124 5.00    
DELTA LADY (CHI) Apr22 Sep24 Aug20 Jul06 Nov07 (pompel)BAILON JADHIR 124 10.00    
TENSE Oct24 Oct12 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
PLAY TWENTY Apr22 Dec16 Nov19 Oct24 Jul06 (watkins james )DIEGO JAVIER 124 2.00    
ABBMAR Apr22 Oct26 Oct12 Sep24 Aug20 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-4   05/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN CHILE Jan30 Nov25 Nov12 Oct24 Oct17 (delong ben)GILES EMMANUEL 124 5.00 49% 1.00    
STAR'S DREAM Mar16 Mar02 Sep17 Sep09 Aug14 (burdes)BAILON JADHIR 124 2.00    
JULIAISON Oct26 Oct12 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
TIME BREAK Apr22 Oct24 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 124 6.00 5% 17.70    
SHORT STRAW Oct12 Sep07 Aug27 Jul30 Jul25 (martinez-li)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Apr20 Mar30 Feb27 Jan29 Jan09 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 126 3.00    
 
FP-5   05/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL SUMMER Apr22 Mar15 Feb15 Jan24 Jan03 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00    
RESOLUTION (FR) Nov02 Oct15 Sep26 Sep05 Jul25 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 124 5.00    
SCR  COME ON LADY Oct15 Sep12 Aug03 Jul11 Jun23 (delong ben)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00    
COCKTAIL CUTIE Apr22 Nov27 Oct31 Oct17 Oct05 (manley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
HER NAME WAS LOLA Apr22 Oct17 Oct05 Sep17 Aug27 (durham mike)WALES T 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
HIGHTAILING IT Apr22 Oct17 Oct05 Sep10 Aug13 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-6   05/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRAPPY PATCH Oct08 Sep24 Sep14 Aug27 Aug17 (durham mike)LOPEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF Apr03 Mar08 Jan30 Jan02 Nov09 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 1.20 46% 1.20    
CANTOO Oct31 Oct19 Oct05 Sep17 Aug31 (wainwr)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
GHALY POSSE Oct31 Oct22 Aug31 Aug13 Jul13 (becker scott)WALES T 124 1.80    
JULYNNE Dec18 Oct31 Oct19 Oct05 Sep17 (manley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00    
 
FP-7   05/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK SPRAT Oct24 Oct12 Sep21 Sep03 Aug17 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 2.00    
ON THE MONEY RED Oct26 Sep28 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
MKAR THE FAST Nov02 Oct22 Oct12 Sep14 Aug29 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUN THE TABLE Oct29 Oct15 Sep28 Sep10 Aug24 (fridley s)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
DIAMONDONICE Oct26 Oct01 Sep10 Aug24 Aug13 (randazzo c)LOPEZ A 124 5.00    
STROPE Oct26 Oct08 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 (wainwright jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
FP-8   05/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S TAKIN CHARGE Oct29 Oct15 Oct01     (coontz arth)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of SHE HAS RISEN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
HOOTIE HOOT         (huerta jose)DIEGO JAVIER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of HOOT'S LAST RUNNER by GHAALEB)
IMA MIDNIGHT LADY         (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of MIDNIGHT FLASH by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
I DID THE MATH Apr22 Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 Jul23 (rednour j)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 116 6.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
CAFFEINE QUEEN Apr22 Oct29 Oct01 Sep21   (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 126 20.00    
  (by DRILL SERGEANT out of ARCH AWAY by ARCHARCHARCH)
FAITH HOPE N LOVE Apr22 Apr06 Oct31 Oct12 Oct03 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of PUT AND TAKE by PUT IT BACK)
CHANCE TAKER         (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GHAALEB out of TURTLE PIE by WILD ZONE)
HANABI Jul23 Jun29 Jun01 May14 Apr16 (lamew brian )BETHKE A 126 20.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of BLESSED MOON by OFFICER)
DANCIN' MOLLY Apr22 Jun18 May21 Apr30 Oct28 (essenpreis e)GILES EMMANUEL 126 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LIMEHOUSE DANCER by LIMEHOUSE)
10  MILAALAH         (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUPID out of TALAALAH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.