Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - May 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/7)-(2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/7)-(2/4/7)-(10/7/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(10/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(10/7/2/3)-(8/6/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (10/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/2/3)-(10/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/2/3)-(10/7/2/3)-(10/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/2/3)-(8/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/7/2/3)-(8/6/1/2)-(4/7/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/2)-(4/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/2)-(4/7/1/6)-(1/10/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(1/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(1/10/8)-(4/3/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/8)-(1/10/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/10/8)-(1/10/8)-(1/10/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/10/8)-(4/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/10/8)-(4/3/6/5)-(1/2/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/5)-(1/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/01/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S HEART Apr18 Mar21 Oct12 Sep21 Aug09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.60 44% 1.30    
IRISH WIZARD Mar21 Jun21 May31 May10 Apr19 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
SHUFFLE Apr04 Mar21 Jan17 Nov07 Oct18 (rofe jea)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
SAPPHIRUS Apr04 Mar22 Feb13 Jan10 Dec07 (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 8.00    
WISHFUL THOUGHTS Apr04 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Nov29 (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 120 5.00    
BOLD ROCK Apr17 Apr04 Mar07 Feb13 Jan17 (figgins l)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
SWIPED THE CASTLE Apr18 Jun21 Jun01 May02 Jan03 (jackson a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   05/01/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE WINGS Apr10 Mar27 Mar06 Feb14 Dec20 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
AMALFI SUNSET Apr05 Feb06 Jan03     (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 41% 1.50    
CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Apr03 Feb26 Jan15 Dec13 Nov21 (gillespi)DAVIS A 120 3.50    
MOLLY FACTOR Apr03 Feb26 Feb07 Jan15 Oct25 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 118 2.50 32% 2.20    
SWEETCATHERINEROSE Oct20 Aug29 Aug13 Jul18 Jun26 (sterli)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00    
SHERUNSTHISTOWN Apr03 Feb07 Jan15 Dec14 Nov16 (sterling michael )LARROSA G 116 5.00    
GOLDEN STYLE Mar13 Feb20 Dec12 Nov14   (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   05/01/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUIET LUXURY         (brown kelton)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of GOLD LOVE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
IRISH DELIGHT Mar22         (davis e)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 7% 13.10    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of DELIGHTFULLSTORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SERENADE ME         (gillespi)DAVIS A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of QUIET INFERNO by QUIET AMERICAN)
ARDITAMENTE Oct23         (viands gregory)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of THUNDER AND HONEY by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  NEXT AGENDA Apr24 Apr05 Mar06 Jan23 Nov20 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUCCEEDING by SMART STRIKE)
MAMAWASAGOGOGIRL Sep14         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of GO GO DANA by MALIBU MOON)
DOUBLE SPIRIT Mar22 Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 Nov16 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DOUBLE THAT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
BEAUTIFUL TOWN Apr10 Mar22 Feb01 Nov21 Sep14 (keller )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MY QUEEN by FORESTRY)
FOX FIFTY EIGHT         (harrison n)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of CAUSE FOR REPENT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  TALBOT HEIRLOOM Apr10 Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 Sep28 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.20 51% 1.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ARABICA by WATER BANK)
 
CT-4   05/01/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVANESCO Apr17 Mar22 Feb15 Dec11 Nov13 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 11% 8.50    
TALKING TEDDY Apr17 Jan03 Oct30 Sep28 Aug15 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISSIONARY Apr10 Mar29 Mar07 Feb19 Dec14 (knoblauch)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 4.50    
ROCKING TO HOME Apr17 Jan23 Jan04 Dec11 Nov14 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 113 20.00    
TAKE YOUR TIME Apr17 Mar22 Feb19 Jan23 Jan04 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 122 6.00    
MISSIONSNINETYNINE Apr23 Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 Jan16 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
ESTRELLA FUGAZ Apr17 Mar13 Mar07 Jan25 Jan03 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 2.50    
JUBA BOUND Apr12 Mar22 Feb19 Feb05 Dec11 (knoblauc)DAVIS A 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
CT-5   05/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIP THORN Dec08 Aug04 Jul15 Jun30 Jun18 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 14% 6.10    
HURRICANE ALERT Apr10 Mar15 Feb28 Jan25 Jan17 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 2.00    
NO LOVE FOR JUBA Apr11 Apr04 Mar13 Feb15 Jan17 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
PINK DINGHY Apr10 Feb07 Jan15 Dec07 Nov20 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 26% 2.90    
HARPERSGONEFISHING Apr03 Mar13 Nov27 Nov04 Oct16 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
DIRECT THE SHOW Apr10 Mar22 Feb19 Jan23 Jan04 (shanley mark)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
STORMIN ROCKET Feb07 Jan15 Aug11 Jul09 Jun16 (craig lewis )DIAZ JR 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  TOBI WAN KENOBI Apr10 Feb19 Dec11 Dec05 Nov07 (robbins cli)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 30.00    
 
CT-6   05/01/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GABRIEL'S WING Apr04 Mar01 Feb14 Feb06 Jan11 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  RIDICULOUS Apr24 Apr04 Mar13 Mar01 Jan24 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
SCR  STEAL THE CASH Apr25 Dec11 Nov27 Sep03 Jul01 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 120 50.00    
CAJUN JOE Mar22 Feb27 Jan30 Dec11 Nov21 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 122 12.00    
MON GATEAU Mar22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov27 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
REMEMBERING WILBUR Jun15 May30 Feb24 Jan14 Dec29 (deiter lyn)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
SCR  GRAN ANDREWS Apr04 Feb21 Jan11 Dec07 Nov06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20    
RESIST THE DEVIL Mar27 Mar06 Jan24 Dec19 Oct22 (viands gregory)NEGRON LUIS 120 20.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  BONDED (IRE) Apr05 Dec18 Dec04 Oct24 Oct03 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
10  OZONE Apr04 Feb21 Dec07 Oct26 Sep14 (butts m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
CT-7   05/01/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($30.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMMER Apr19 Mar06 Feb13 Jan24 Jul05 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50    
MOTIVATING Mar01 Jan18 Nov06 Oct17 Aug23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
LORD OF MISCHIEF Apr05 Mar10 Feb11 Dec12 Nov27 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
PLAY IT LOUD Mar06 Feb15 Jan18 Nov01 Sep12 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Apr05 Mar15 Nov15 Oct09 Aug30 (mckee cynthi)DIAZ JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE ROO ROO Mar29 Feb26 Feb07 Jan29 Dec14 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 13% 6.90    
RAINY SKIES Nov06 Oct04 Sep14 Aug11 Jul19 (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   05/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S A QUARTER Apr17 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan18 (murdock)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 1.00 45% 1.20    
MITOLE CANDY Apr05 Mar20 Feb26 Feb08 Jan15 (collye)RIOS-CONDE JR 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
JUMPIN JACK BRASS Mar21 Feb28 Feb06 Jan18 Dec07 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MINIME Mar04 Jan06 Dec11 Nov27 Nov02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00    
IN RETROSPECT Apr19 Mar29 Mar21 Mar08 Feb14 (jones mi)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
WHALE OF A TIME Apr10 Mar06 Feb22 Jan16 Nov22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
JUST HAVE FAITH Apr24 Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 Jan15 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  PRINCESS MARGARET Apr10 Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 Jan16 (sandoval mic)DIAZ JR 124 10.00    
SCR  CUT HIM LOOSE Mar21 Feb28 Dec04 Nov14 Oct24 (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 6.00    
10  GLOBAL EMPRESS Oct10 Aug15 Jul04 May23 Apr11 (couchenour lee)REYNOLDS C 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.