Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (9/4/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/3/8)-(9/4/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/3/8)-(9/4/2/3/8)-(9/4/2/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/2/3/8)-(2/9/4/8/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2/3/8)-(2/9/4/8/6)-(6/4/3/8/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-2   WIN (2/9/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/8/6)-(2/9/4/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/8/6)-(2/9/4/8/6)-(2/9/4/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/4/8/6)-(6/4/3/8/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/8/6)-(6/4/3/8/5)-(7/1/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-3   WIN (6/4/3/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/8/5)-(6/4/3/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/8/5)-(6/4/3/8/5)-(6/4/3/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/3/8/5)-(7/1/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/8/5)-(7/1/5/3)-(4/3/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(4/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/3)-(4/3/6/7)-(3/4/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/7)-(3/4/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/7)-(3/4/1/2)-(12/2/6/7/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/2)-(12/2/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/2)-(12/2/6/7/9)-(5/9/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (12/2/6/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/2/6/7/9)-(12/2/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/2/6/7/9)-(12/2/6/7/9)-(12/2/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/2/6/7/9)-(5/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/2/6/7/9)-(5/9/8/1)-(1/5/9/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/1)-(5/9/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/1)-(5/9/8/1)-(5/9/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/8/1)-(1/5/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/3)-(1/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/3)-(1/5/9/3)-(1/5/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/25/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROMAJA Apr06 Dec28 Nov17     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 3.00    
2  QUINN FOR THE WIN         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 118 4.50 10% 9.40    
3  DEB'S SEA BREEZE         (ubide max)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00 9% 10.20    
4  LOOP OF HENLE Apr05 Mar23 Feb28 Feb16 Jan24 (dini mike)HESS SARA 118 4.00 15% 5.50    
5  QUEENS DIPLOMAT Apr05         (gardea ab)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 30.00    
6  HIGH HEARTS Feb28         (seale christ)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 6.00    
7  DREAMING OF NANA Apr02 Mar23       (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 118 8.00    
8  ANNA JEAN Apr16 Mar30 Mar09 Feb26 Feb16 (gardea abraham)TORRES R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  MISSPENT Apr05 Feb28 Jan26 Jan04 Dec11 (o'connel)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
TAM-2   04/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO STORMY OCEANS Apr05 Mar26 Feb05 Jun29 Jun02 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00    
2  TROPHY COLLECTOR Apr05 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Feb05 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40 24% 3.20    
3  SUPERFIGHT Apr13 Mar22 Mar07 Jan25 Jan05 (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
4  STOW ON THE WOLD Apr11 Mar26 Feb28 Oct13 Sep15 (carrascojr victo)FERRER C 122 12.00 18% 4.70    
5  LUCKY HEART Apr05 Apr13 Jan17     (marrero nes)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
6  KADAR INDY Apr11 Mar16 Mar01 Feb05 Jan12 (cascallares )BELISARIO JUAN 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GENTLEMAN CALLER Apr02 Mar07 Feb21 Oct26 Oct12 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 20.00    
8  REBEL JOKE Apr13 Mar22 May04 Oct18 Aug16 (rondon-mora carl)LEON SONNY 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
9  RIGHT ON TARGET Apr05 Mar26 Mar09 Feb07 Jan12 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-3   04/25/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNNY MONDAY Mar30 Mar16 Dec28     (drake robert)COTTO L 118 30.00    
2  MOONSCAPE Oct03         (hemingway mi)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00    
3  PALACE LIGHTS Mar09 Feb05 Jan03 Dec11 Sep29 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 126 4.50 15% 5.70    
4  MISHKA Apr11 Mar15 Feb05 Aug13 Jun25 (seale christophe)LEON SONNY 126 3.00 21% 3.80    
5  STORMY DISCO Apr05 Mar12 Dec09 Sep15 Sep01 (dini mike)CENTENO E 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  JAMMER INSURANCE Mar19 Feb05 Jan03 Sep17 Jun18 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 3.50 35% 1.80    
7  JESS'S VISION Apr05         (yanez r)FERRER C 126 20.00    
8  BELLS OF BRAM Apr05 Mar26 Mar12 Mar05 Feb23 (gardea abraham)MARIN SAMUEL 126 4.00 6% 15.80    
9  HUGGIN AND LOVIN Apr05 Mar05 Jan31 Nov24   (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 126 15.00    
 
TAM-4   04/25/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINGATIVA Apr16 Apr02 Mar21 Feb22 Feb09 (simone micha)BATISTA A 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 Jan17 Jan01 (richards ren)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00    
3  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Apr06 Mar23 Feb15 Jan31 Dec22 (gonzalez luis )CAMACHO SAMY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  LA BRODY Apr06 Nov20 Nov06 Oct29 Sep17 (curto beverly)VARGAS E 112 30.00    
5  LADY DOMINANCE Apr06 Mar07 Feb07 Jan26 Jan15 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 6.00 6% 15.40    
6  SHE'S A JOY Mar21 Feb28 Jan19 Jan08 Nov30 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00    
7  SIMMERING (GB) Apr09 Mar23 Jan15 Dec18 Nov27 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.20 48% 1.10    
8  RED ELEANOR Apr12 Jan24 Jan15 Dec07 Nov23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 5.00    
 
TAM-5   04/25/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTRAYANT Apr12 Mar12 Feb23 Jan17 Nov29 (lerman s)BATISTA A 116 12.00    
2  MY MAN FLINT Jul29 Apr12 Mar22 Jun24 May20 (curto beverl)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 8.00    
3  INITFORTHELOVE Apr06 Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 (gonzalez luis )CAMACHO SAMY 116 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  CASTAGNO Mar30 Nov02 Oct18 Oct06 Sep17 (gallegos jose )MARIN SAMUEL 116 2.00 35% 1.90    
5  NAPOLEON'S WAR Apr04 Mar14 Dec24 Nov23 Nov02 (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 116 8.00    
6  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Apr02 Mar26 Mar07 Feb22 Feb07 (sacco d)LEON SONNY 116 15.00 17% 4.90    
7  SAMARITANO Mar30 Oct18 Oct05 Sep06 Aug09 (o'connel)RODRIGUEZ O 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LEO MONTE Mar29 Nov30 Oct04 Sep21 Aug25 (carrascojr victo)FERRER C 116 5.00    
 
TAM-6   04/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATATUMBO Apr19 Mar29 Mar14 Mar05 Feb15 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 119 10.00 15% 5.70    
2  BROADCASTER (IRE) Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 Dec04 Sep29 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHIVAREE (GB) Mar09 Feb01 Jan18 Dec21 Nov27 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  MR. RIPPLE May04 Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 Apr01 (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
5  HOLIDAY FANTASY Mar19 Mar09 Feb22 Feb01 Jan10 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
6  PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Mar28 Feb19 Dec15 Oct31 Jun28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 15.00    
7  GLOBES Apr04 Mar22 Dec28 Dec06 Nov23 (torres r)LEON SONNY 119 3.00    
 
TAM-7   04/25/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOMANS PEROGATIVE Apr04 Mar16 Feb02 Jan08 Dec24 (smith g)HESS SARA 122 30.00    
2  TERRIE T Apr05 Mar09       (lusk r)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
3  PIGEON CAY Apr19 Jan15 Jun30 May31 May04 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
4  CEFALU (FR) Mar21 Feb05 Dec21 Nov30 Oct10 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50    
SCR  DOWHATEVERITTAKES Mar09 Feb05 Dec20 Oct16 May31 (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00    
6  LIPOCHROME Mar21 Mar05 Feb05 Dec21 Oct24 (mcburney patric)CENTENO E 122 3.00 8% 11.90    
7  LAURISTON (IRE) Apr05 Mar19 Mar05 Jan17 Dec14 (spanabel )SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 115 10.00 5% 18.60    
8  INCLUDE THE MUNNY Apr05 Mar21 Feb15 Jan19 Dec29 (charlton ro)BELL BARRINGTON 122 20.00    
9  CHANNEL'S DAUGHTER Jan29 Jan15 Dec22 Nov03 Oct18 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  A FANCY SOLUTION Apr05 Mar21 Mar09 Feb07 Mar01 (cascallares )GONZALEZ CESAR 115 15.00    
SCR  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Apr05 Mar07 Jan22 Jan10 Dec13 (marrero nest)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 30.00    
12  PIVOT TO THE POWER (GB) Mar21 Feb15 Jan19 Dec22 Aug19 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-8   04/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATI KING Feb22 Jan15 Dec18 Dec04 Nov03 (ochoa ge)RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DUNDIE Mar23 Feb09 Jan22 Dec27 Dec05 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.00    
3  CALL ME ICE MAN Mar29 Mar19 Feb22 Jan22 Dec24 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
4  CATIRE VIZCAYA Apr05 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
5  JABRAN Apr16 Mar23 Mar01 Feb21 Jan10 (spanabel r)LEON SONNY 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  DA GHOST Sep21 Sep12 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (escobar marti)VARGAS E 108 30.00    
7  SAN COSTANTINO Mar29 Feb22 Feb09 Jan15 Jan03 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 12.00    
8  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Apr05 Mar15 Feb28 Jan16 Nov13 (mcgoey monica)CENTENO E 118 15.00 17% 4.80    
9  DITHER Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
TAM-9   04/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSHAKABLE Feb16 Dec26 Dec01 Nov09 Oct12 (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of UNHEDGED by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  GAMAY         (manning j)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of RETSINA by IMPERIALISM)
SCR  M J'S YOSHIDA         (correa maxine)IORIO MELISSA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of OUT OF PRACTICE by EXAGGERATOR)
4  DESERT ADVENTURE Dec26 Nov15       (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 119 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of DUBAI ESCAPADE by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  SIGNATURE COCKTAIL Mar07 Feb09       (pompay terri)ALLEN D 119 8.00 11% 8.30    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of COCKTAIL PARTY by MIZZEN MAST)
6  SOMEKINDA SPECIAL Apr11 Mar08       (stewart j)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DANA MY LOVE by CITY ZIP)
7  BREEZEY Z Apr11 May16       (yates michael)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of BELLA CAPRI Z by STRONG HOPE)
8  GOLD STAMP Mar22 Mar08 Feb15 Jan26   (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
9  DAME GINA MARIE         (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of BRIDLEWISE by STREET SENSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.