Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - April 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (7/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/6)-(8/2/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-2   WIN (8/2/10/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/10/1/7)-(8/2/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/10/1/7)-(8/2/10/1/7)-(8/2/10/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/2/10/1/7)-(4/5/3/1/7)-(2/4/8/7/3) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LS-3   WIN (4/5/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/1/7)-(4/5/3/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/1/7)-(4/5/3/1/7)-(4/5/3/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/1/7)-(2/4/8/7/3)-(2/6/4/7/9) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LS-4   WIN (2/4/8/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/7/3)-(2/4/8/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/7/3)-(2/4/8/7/3)-(2/4/8/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-5   WIN (2/6/4/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7/9)-(2/6/4/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/7/9)-(2/6/4/7/9)-(2/6/4/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (9/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/6)-(9/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/6)-(9/2/3/6)-(9/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/3/6)-(3/7/10/4/1)-(1/10/9/6/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-7   WIN (3/7/10/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/10/4/1)-(3/7/10/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/10/4/1)-(3/7/10/4/1)-(3/7/10/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/10/4/1)-(1/10/9/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-8   WIN (1/10/9/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/9/6/8)-(1/10/9/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/9/6/8)-(1/10/9/6/8)-(1/10/9/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EIGHT SEVEN MAGIC Mar28 Mar09 Dec29     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MAGGIE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  ZORRO D' ORO Mar28 Mar09 Feb07 Jan12   (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 2.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TREASURE BOX by LEMON DROP KID)
3  BEEVILLE Jan19         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 12.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of STAGE STOP by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
4  HUMONGOUSAMONGUS Mar28 Mar01       (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 20.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of WONDRSHEGOTTHUNDR by GRAYDAR)
5  C'MON CHAOS Mar09         (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SHANE'S GIRLFRIEND by ADIOS CHARLIE)
6  BERNARDO Mar28         (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ASHADO by SAINT BALLADO)
7  KNOCK KNOCK JOKE Apr06 Mar27 Mar07 Feb16 Jan15 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 1.60 27% 2.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SURRENDER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  FOLLOW THE STAR Feb21 Jan24 Jan12     (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of ALL OTHERS FOLLOW by SEA THE STARS)
 
LS-2   04/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAIL'S TRIBUTE         (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 124 30.00 6% 17.00    
2  GLITTERS ANDIE Apr06 Mar21 Feb22 Feb01 Jul20 (young bob)FUENTES MARIO 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  RAZORS EDGE Feb23 Jan19 Dec27 Dec05 Nov15 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 10.00    
4  HURRYANDGETREADY Mar30 Feb01 Jan10     (cravens ronnie)REYES R 118 15.00    
5  FIRST CLASS GIRL Mar29 Aug23 Aug09 Jun14 May24 (l)JIMENEZ LUIS 124 30.00    
6  SUBLIME HOPE Apr04 Feb28       (green ike)ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
7  WEST TEXAS RUBY Feb22 Jan18 Dec07 Nov26   (martin steve)MECHE COLE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  PRINCESS MITOLE Mar26 Feb27 Jan31 Dec28 Aug30 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
9  DELPHINE Apr04 Mar15 Jun09     (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.00    
10  MUCHO VAPOR Apr06 Mar21 Mar09     (martin steve)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
 
LS-3   04/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURAL TOUCH Mar14 Feb22 Feb07 Jan25 Dec06 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WITHHERBOOTSON Mar26 Mar11 Dec06 Sep14 Aug22 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00    
3  TURN ON THE BLING Apr06 Mar02 Feb15 Feb06 Jul03 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
4  ALLIACEOUS Jan17 Dec27 Dec06 Nov21 Oct18 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
5  ITS MY MONEY TOO Apr06 Mar22 Mar14 Mar07 Feb22 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 124 2.50 9% 9.90    
6  MOLA MIA Mar22 Mar14 Feb22 Jan25 Jul07 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 20.00    
7  WICKED SONG Apr06 Mar22 Feb28 Jan10 Jul07 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  COINMAKER Apr06 Mar14 Mar01 Jan24 Jan03 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 124 4.50    
9  MISTY MOOD Mar28 Feb14 Feb02 Jan04 Dec12 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 6.00    
 
LS-4   04/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN DEVILS ROAD Feb28 Feb20 Jan18 Dec28 Dec13 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 118 20.00    
2  AIR IT OUT Apr06 Mar14 Feb17 Feb07 Jan26 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
3  SECRET TAVERN Jan24 Oct25 Jul03 May12 Apr07 (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHEERS TO CANDY Mar15 Feb21 Oct10 Sep12 Aug19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  FASTENED Mar01 Feb07 Jan03 Dec20 Nov06 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 124 10.00    
6  DELTA FRONT Mar29 Mar09 Dec04 Nov07 Oct10 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 124 4.50    
7  KANGAROO COAST Mar14 Feb16 Jan11 Nov16 Oct24 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CALI KINETIC Mar03 Feb07 Sep04 Jun29 Oct16 (diodoro robert)REYES R 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
9  ALL COUNTRY Mar29 Mar08 Oct12 Aug17 Aug02 (la)HERNANDEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
 
LS-5   04/17/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICO D'ORO Apr05 Mar14 Feb14 Jan17 Dec29 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00    
2  ZE'BUL Mar16 Feb07 Dec17 Nov04 Oct16 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
3  WHISKEY WITH YOU Apr04 Mar16 Mar07 Jan17 Jan05 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00    
4  EMBOITE (IRE) Mar07 Feb16 Jan19 Jul06 Jun15 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
5  SAGITTARIUS Mar21 Feb02 Jan01 Dec14 Nov23 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 4.50    
6  SLEW SKIES Mar29 Mar14 Feb02 Jan04 Nov16 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
7  BIG WAVE JAMES Jan19 Oct26 Oct05 Jul04 May18 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT Apr04 Mar16 Jan25 Dec13 Nov25 (pish danny)DIEGO V 118 6.00    
9  FIGHT'N READY Mar15 Feb28 Feb08 Jan24 Dec20 (petalino joe)REYES R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-6   04/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VARSITY Mar08 Jan31 Jan03 Oct24 Oct03 (roubion steve)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
2  MO SATURDAYS Apr06 Mar02 Feb02 Jan18 Nov29 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
3  MALIBU S S Apr04 Mar09 Feb23 Jan11 Dec12 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  SONNEMAN Feb08 Jan05 Oct04 Sep23 Aug18 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00    
5  HEIR TO GREATNESS Apr05 Mar01 Feb01 Jan11 Nov29 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00    
6  MR. T'S THIRSTY Oct11 Sep21 Aug09 Jul21 Jun22 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MACHO GRANDE Feb23 Feb02 Nov23 Nov09 Oct25 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
8  SOUL SACRIFICE Apr04 Mar15 Dec13 Nov06 Oct18 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00    
9  T BONES TRICK Nov22 Nov07 Sep19 Jul06 May04 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
LS-7   04/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bluebonnet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEST Mar22 Feb23 Jan04 Aug27 Aug11 (hurley )GONCALVES R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of ROCKINTOTHERHYTHM by BROAD BRUSH)
SCR  ITZEL Apr12 Mar14 Jan31 Dec13 Nov03 (marr h)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.80    
  (by MO TOWN out of CATCH THAT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  TOO MUCH KIKI Mar22 Feb09 Jul13 Jun01 Apr18 (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SOFT MUSIC by ACTION THIS DAY)
4  BLING BABY Mar29 Mar16 Feb23 Jan25 Jan12 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GLOW GIRL by GOLDEN SHINE)
5  IZATIZ Mar22 Mar01 Dec13 Nov28 Nov15 (hebert matt)WETHEY JR 120 15.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of TIZ TIZ by TIZNOW)
6  BLUE HEAVENLY Mar29 Mar22 Feb15 Feb05 Jan24 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 120 20.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CANNONBALLCUPCAKE by LEMON DROP KID)
7  RECLUSIVE Mar22 Mar01 Sep22 Sep03 Jul26 (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ROCKINTOTHERHYTHM by BROAD BRUSH)
8  REASON OVER RICHES Mar23 Jan10 Dec12 Oct03 Jul13 (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
9  BLUSHING BELLE Mar22 Feb15 Jan10 Nov23 Oct30 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BLUSHING BEAUTY by BLUSHING JOHN)
10  GLEE (GB) Mar22 Jan25 Dec29 Dec13 Oct25 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 11% 8.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of RED TABBY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
LS-8   04/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANYON STREAK Mar22 Mar01 Jan24 Jul12   (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 118 1.40 30% 2.30    
2  MR JAWS Mar21 Mar02 Feb09 Jan25 Dec06 (pish )MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 20.00    
3  SUMMER HELP Mar28 Mar07 Feb16 Jan12 Jul12 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 30.00    
4  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Mar30 Feb07 Jan10 Oct26 Oct03 (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 124 12.00    
5  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Mar23 Mar16 Mar01 Jan17 Jan10 (kotara ronald)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
6  SILVER ASSASSIN Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Jan17 Sep24 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 7% 13.40    
7  EXPECT GLORY Mar02 Feb21 Feb01 Jan10 Jul04 (bravo francisco)DIAZ RENE 124 20.00    
8  OZZIES WINGS Y G Mar29 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 May19 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MISTER MOSCATO Mar16 Mar01 Jan17 Nov29 Nov13 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 19% 4.40    
10  PROVEN ADVOCATE Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Jan10 Nov20 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  CRAZY RIDGE Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Feb02 Jan17 (kotara ronald)BENAVIDES D 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.