Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - April 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (1/6/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2/9)-(1/6/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2/9)-(1/6/7/2/9)-(1/6/7/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/7/2/9)-(1/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/2/9)-(1/4/7)-(2/7/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-2   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(2/7/4/6)-(3/6/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(3/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/6)-(3/6/2/4)-(2/8/7/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (3/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/4)-(2/8/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/4)-(2/8/7/6/4)-(1/7/3/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (2/8/7/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/6/4)-(2/8/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/6/4)-(2/8/7/6/4)-(2/8/7/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/7/6/4)-(1/7/3/2/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/6/4)-(1/7/3/2/5)-(5/1/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-6   WIN (1/7/3/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2/5)-(1/7/3/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2/5)-(1/7/3/2/5)-(1/7/3/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/3/2/5)-(5/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/2/5)-(5/1/7)-(2/4/6/5/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-7   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(2/4/6/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(2/4/6/5/7)-(8/1/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-8   WIN (2/4/6/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/5/7)-(2/4/6/5/7/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/5/7)-(2/4/6/5/7/12)-(2/4/6/5/7/12) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (2/4/6/5/7)-(8/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-9   WIN (8/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/9)-(8/1/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/9)-(8/1/6/9)-(8/1/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK LADY LU SHA Mar12 Feb14 Jan31 Jan01 Dec08 (reeves jeff)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
CUSTOM CANDY Feb19 Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 Nov14 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 119 3.00 13% 6.60    
SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Mar12 Feb15 Jan24 Jan04 Dec27 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
MRS. NECAISE Mar13 Feb23 Jan27 Dec16 Nov28 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00    
EARLY DAWN Feb14 Jan15 Oct26 Aug14 Jul13 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 122 10.00    
FLAWLESS TAKEOVER Mar06 Feb19 Dec27 Dec14 Nov26 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
MAXIMUM MOXIE Feb19 Feb08 Jan25 Jan08 Dec18 (averett r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Mar06 Feb07 Jan28 Dec27 Nov30 (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 119 20.00    
EASY BET Feb15 Jan28 Jan11 Dec14 Nov14 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-2   04/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVE THE QUEEN Mar21 Feb15 Nov08 Sep15   (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of R GIRLS A CHARMER by IN SUMMATION)
SAYYOULOVEMEBABY         (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 121 8.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KHALEESI by KITTEN'S JOY)
TALE OF POWER Feb19         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 124 10.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of LATENITE TEARS by FUSAICHI ZENON (JPN))
RICH GIFT Jan04 Dec07 Oct30 Aug01   (williams k)ALBERT S 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ALL FLAGS FLYING by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
ARMALEESE Feb06 Jan09 Dec15 Nov30 Oct12 (courville rick)PEREZ CARLOS 116 3.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of DOUBLE DOSE by DEVON LANE)
SCR  MISS EMILY Feb28 Jan19 Dec21 Dec07   (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of SHAQUITA by ALKE)
DREAMCHASER JEWELS Mar19 Feb22 Jan25 Jan08 Dec14 (castille ricke)ARANA KELVIN 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of ROMAN JEWELS by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
 
EVD-3   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B D PRIMARY OURS Mar14 Feb12 Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 5.00    
AMERICAN CITY Mar15 Jan31 Jan09 Dec19 Oct31 (desormeaux k)THORNTON G 121 1.60 66% 0.50    
EGOR OTAY Mar20 Dec04 Nov20 Nov10 Oct16 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 3.00    
WHOLE LOTTA LUTE Mar18 Feb22 Feb13 Dec26 Oct13 (zeringue w)RAMIREZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
FRIEND'S DO CARE Feb20 Jan30 Jan15 Nov27 Nov14 (zeno benjamin)ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00    
CORKED Mar20 Feb22 Feb01 Jan16 Oct16 (thompson k)ALBERT S 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
YEAGER Jan29 Sep15 Aug03 Jul13 Jun01 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 124 3.50 6% 15.80    
 
EVD-4   04/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONCOMING TRAIN Mar06 Feb21 Jan30 Jan10 Dec26 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
ALTERANA Feb21 Feb01 Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 8.00 5% 18.50    
ADIEU ACES Mar04 Feb14 Feb01 Jan16 Dec20 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
ROCKING ROCKET Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 Dec04 (silva walter)PEREZ CARLOS 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
FATHER GOOSE Mar04 Feb02 Jan05 Nov27 Nov08 (courville rick)THORNTON G 119 2.50    
CRIME SPREE Mar06 Feb13 Jan31 Jan10 Dec16 (leonard geo)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
WILD BERT Mar04 Feb14 Jan16 Dec11 Nov22 (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00    
 
EVD-5   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTAWAAFEQ Dec11 Nov22 Nov02 Jul13 Jul04 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 122 20.00    
LIFE IS A BANQUET Feb13 Dec18 Oct17 Aug10 Jul18 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
SPINNING ACES Feb19 Feb01 Dec28 Nov21 Mar23 (landry r)THORNTON G 119 6.00    
ORDER UP Mar20 Mar06 Jan26 Jan05 Dec05 (sanchez j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
HALF AGAIN Feb16 Jan18 Dec15 Nov24 Nov15 (duhon paul)BARRERA J 119 12.00    
BLACK SWORD Mar23 Feb17 Feb01 Jan18 Dec27 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
STOVALL Mar22 Feb22 Feb01 Jan08 Dec27 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 119 3.50 8% 12.00    
BOSS' DIALIN IN Mar13 Jan30 Nov30 Apr21 Mar14 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  BLACK CANDY Mar14 Feb12 Jan31 Jan15 Dec28 (west henry)FLORIAN JOSE 117 20.00    
10  AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Feb13 Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Sep20 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00    
 
EVD-6   04/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT GABRIEL Feb19 Feb01 Jan10 Dec27 Nov27 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
BALLINONABUDJET Mar18 Feb15 Jan10 Dec19 Nov27 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE CHEESE Mar01 Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 Nov23 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
UP N GONE Mar23 Feb15 Feb01 Jan10 Dec27 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00    
GAMER NATE Mar01 Jan01 Dec07 Oct17 Aug14 (briley lonnie)FUSILIER C 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
COURT JESTER Jan24 Jan03 Dec14 Nov23 Oct17 (calhoun w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
HIGHLAND CREEK Mar18 Feb15 Jan16 Dec14 Nov23 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
SUNDAY BREEZE Mar18 Mar01 Feb01 Dec27 Nov27 (duhon paul)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
BIG BOO Mar22 Feb22 Feb01 Dec28 Dec14 (singh s)SINGH R 120 20.00    
 
EVD-7   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY SASSICAIA Feb16 Feb02 Jan09 Dec20 Nov30 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FATHER MARK Mar07 Feb14 Feb02 Jan10 Dec20 (litfin veronica)FUSILIER C 122 4.00    
TRIPPLE D RULLER Feb20 Feb07 Jan15 Dec04 Oct30 (toups brent)MAGNON H 122 6.00    
SOUNDS LIKE POWER Mar04 May17 Apr26 Apr10 Mar23 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 122 2.00    
OUR DETERMINATION Mar07 Jan29 Aug24 Jun10 May15 (sanchez c)THORNTON G 122 3.00 61% 0.60    
POP'S PEPPYSTEPER Mar07 Feb02 Dec20 Nov29 Jun15 (faul jaso)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
STEEL ARGUMENT Mar07 Feb20 Jan25 Dec12 Nov21 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HANDSOME HAROLD Mar04 Feb23 Jan24 Jan09 Dec07 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00    
 
EVD-8   04/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Don Stemmans Memorial Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE BOURBON Mar21 Jan30 Jan11 Jan01 Dec14 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 15.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BELLA CANZONE by GIO PONTI)
TUSSLING CHARLIE Mar22 Feb27 Jan30 Jan01 Nov23 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of TUSSLING TETON by TETON FOREST)
NOPENOTTONIGHT Feb19 Jan10 Oct16 Jul04 May22 (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of GYPSY PRINCESS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
COSMIC TRAIN Mar23 Dec14 Nov23 Aug31 Aug02 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by KLIMT out of COSMIC EMERGENCY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
GOOD AND STOUT Mar01 Feb15 Jan10 Dec14 Nov14 (castille )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of READY WITTED by MORE THAN READY)
ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT Mar23 Mar01 Feb01 Dec14 Nov23 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 124 8.00 9% 9.80    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of GINGERTINI by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Mar22 Feb27 Feb15 Feb01 Dec14 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of HILDEGARDE by GHOSTZAPPER)
MI SOLUTION Mar21 Jan30 Dec14 Nov22 Mar14 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of MI ISABELLA by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
DON GUILLERMO         (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 30.00    
  (by PROUDINSKY out of OFFICER'S BOOTS by OFFICER)
10  TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR Apr05 Mar23 Feb19 Feb01 Jan11 (eschete nason)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TDZ MANDYCORRIENDA by EL CORREDOR)
11  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Mar21 Jan16 Dec27 Dec14 Dec05 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 20.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12  CALICOCO Mar21 Mar01 Dec14 Aug02 Jul06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of CHOCOLATESENSATION by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
 
EVD-9   04/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVERY'S GEM Mar16 Feb20 Jan03 Dec12 Nov07 (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
KOODIE Mar09 Feb22 Dec19 Nov09   (melancon donal)FLORIAN JOSE 116 15.00    
MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT Feb15 Feb05 Jan15 Jan18 Jan06 (zeno benjamin)ARANA KELVIN 119 20.00    
SCR  PARTY AT JAYS Mar16 Mar04 Jan02 Dec20 Nov28 (burkes bob)ALBERT S 124 10.00    
PATEK Mar16 Jan08 Dec13 Nov06 Oct11 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 124 2.50    
RAYDEN AND REMI Feb06 Jan09 Dec28 Dec08 Nov23 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 121 12.00 18% 4.70    
EL IT Jan02 Nov27 Nov02 Sep18 Aug27 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00    
NAVARRIAN Feb16 Jan19 Dec08 Jun20 May22 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
DADDY'S CODE Mar04 Jan25 Jan03 Dec12 Nov24 (cuccia j)VARGAS P 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MONEY KINGDOM Apr04 Mar04 Jan30 Jan11 Dec14 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.