Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/4/7)-(7/4/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(7/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(7/4/5/2)-(9/4/2/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/2)-(9/4/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/2)-(9/4/2/5/3)-(9/1/3/7/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (9/4/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/5/3)-(9/4/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/5/3)-(9/4/2/5/3)-(9/4/2/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/2/5/3)-(9/1/3/7/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2/5/3)-(9/1/3/7/4)-(6/4/2/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (9/1/3/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/7/4)-(9/1/3/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/7/4)-(9/1/3/7/4)-(9/1/3/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/3/7/4)-(6/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/3/7/4)-(6/4/2/1)-(9/10/7/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/1)-(9/10/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/1)-(9/10/7/11)-(7/1/8/10/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (9/10/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/7/11)-(9/10/1/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/7/11)-(9/10/1/7/11)-(9/10/1/7/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/7/11)-(7/1/8/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/7/11)-(7/1/8/10/5)-(5/1/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/1/8/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/10/5)-(7/1/8/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/10/5)-(7/1/8/10/5)-(7/1/8/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/8/10/5)-(5/1/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/10/5)-(5/1/2/7)-(1/8/4/10/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-9   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/7)-(1/8/4/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-10   WIN (1/8/4/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/10/7)-(1/8/4/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/10/7)-(1/8/4/10/7)-(1/8/4/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/02/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Mar15 Feb23 Feb12 Jan18 Jan05 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00    
2  BREADMAN Mar15 Mar01 Jan29 Jan18 Dec06 (gonzal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DYNAMITE KARMA Mar07 Feb19 Dec19 Jun19 May17 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
4  PRACTICAL WAY Mar15 Feb26 Feb01 Jan15 Jan05 (ramir)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50    
5  COX CANYON Mar12 Feb26 Jan31 Jan17 Dec13 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 15% 5.70    
6  INDULGE Mar09 Feb05 Jan18 Jan10 Dec29 (simone micha)BATISTA A 122 2.50    
 
TAM-2   04/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DELTA CHARM Feb21 Jan18 Dec04 Oct16 Sep28 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00    
2  KEEP ON ROCKIN Mar01 Feb12 Feb02 Jan12 Jan01 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  SMOOTH JUSTICE Mar01 Feb12 Oct31 Sep19 Aug15 (agostini arth)IORIO MELISSA 118 10.00    
4  MEGAN MAKIN MONEY Feb21 Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 Sep20 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
5  WILD LOOKER Oct28 Oct17 Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 118 20.00    
6  I BELIEVE IN MAGIC Mar02 Aug28 Aug03 Mar14 Feb15 (breen j)FERRER C 118 3.50    
7  FOXY LADY Mar23 Feb21 Feb08 Jan16 Dec20 (garcia r)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 12% 7.10    
8  TOP LOOK Mar01 Feb12 Jan19 Jan01 Dec18 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
 
TAM-3   04/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE NUTS Mar13 Feb19 Jan29 Jan08 Dec22 (garcia r)LEON SONNY 118 2.00    
2  GABAGOOL Mar12 Feb01 Jan12 Oct20 Sep29 (campbell joel)CASTANON L 118 8.00 5% 18.50    
3  ZAMFIR May04 Apr03 Mar06 Jan28 Aug04 (tsirigotis j)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
SCR  WOKE UP IN LOVE Mar23 Mar01 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00 13% 6.80    
5  JOHN'S PROMISE Mar12 Feb01 Jan15 Jan05 Dec27 (simone mi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 8.00 10% 8.80    
6  OLD TOWN ROAD Mar19 Mar12 Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50    
7  MAGICAL WARRIOR Mar15 Mar02 Feb07 Aug18 Jul28 (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
TAM-4   04/02/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINATOR C. Mar26 Mar16 Dec06 Apr28 Apr14 (baez ral)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00    
2  THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Sep08 Aug24 Jul21 Jun22 Mar30 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 122 4.50 17% 4.70    
3  FOURTY FOUR Mar22 Aug16 Aug03 Jun29 Jun21 (romero rafa)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BABA'S BABY BOY Mar22 Mar07 May04 Apr21   (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
5  HOTTAKEJAKE Mar14 Feb14 Jan31 Oct28 Oct14 (breed ron)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 3.50 7% 13.10    
6  THIS TIME YES Mar07 Feb21 Jan08 Dec12 Nov24 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
7  IN THE WEEDS Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan01 Dec11 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 15.00    
8  GENTLEMAN CALLER Mar07 Feb21 Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 (mcgoey mon)INFANTE A 122 6.00    
9  FIRSTFLASHOFMOON Feb21 Feb05 Nov08 Aug17   (torres pablo)BATISTA A 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
10  KENRIC Mar09 Feb21 Feb05 Jan12 Dec22 (lilly p)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
 
TAM-5   04/02/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIBLICAL STRENGTH         (shaw christ)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
2  WILLING TO TRY Mar26         (smith crai)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 20.00    
3  SECRET VICTORY Mar12 Feb26 Jan25 Jan11 Dec28 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
4  ACT VIOLENTLY Mar26 Mar05       (smith ro)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COURAGEOUS ARI Feb01 Oct15 Oct07 Aug27 Aug07 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 120 30.00    
6  CHICA CATHOLIC Feb05 Jan12 Dec22 Oct26 Sep01 (cascallares n)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00    
7  DREAMING OF NANA Mar23         (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 120 6.00 9% 10.00    
8  PRINCESS HONOR Feb28 Feb02 Sep21 Aug28   (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
9  FRENCH BENEFITS (FR) Feb16 Jan04 Aug14     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
10  TAP BONNET Feb26 Jan31 Jan15 Dec21   (gulick m)CASTANON L 120 2.50    
11  WILLFUL ROSE Mar15 Feb16 Jan12 Dec29 Dec07 (kutt m)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
SCR  PARTLY SUNNY Mar15         (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 30.00    
SCR  CRAFTY COLLECTOR Mar15 Feb21 Jan31     (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 2.00    
SCR  POWER PARTY Mar16 Feb26 Aug23     (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 6.00    
 
TAM-6   04/02/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'MWISHINGONASTAR Mar07 Feb08 Jan10 Dec13 Oct26 (dini mike)HESS SARA 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  JUNTA Mar07 Feb08 Dec24     (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 8% 12.00    
3  JASMINES WORLD Oct23 Oct07 Sep17 Aug27   (kleine berna)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
4  MADAM MITOLE Mar21 Jan26 Dec24 Dec07 Sep21 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  ANHINGA Mar07 Jan29 Oct08 Sep20 Jul03 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 118 30.00    
6  ANDREA Jan01 Dec07 Oct25 Sep14 Jul26 (joseph saffie )GIL CIPRIANO 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
7  SHAREDASHENANIGANS Mar06 Oct05 Sep07 Jun22   (motion h)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
8  OBLIGING Feb12 Jan08 Nov28 Oct26 Sep29 (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 118 3.00    
 
TAM-7   04/02/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO WAY IT'S TODAY (GB) Feb14 Oct26 Sep15 Jul01 Jun09 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 5.00 ★    
2  GLITTER BAY Mar07 Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 (curto jea)HESS SARA 111 20.00    
3  UP HER SLEEVE Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan22 Jan04 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 122 3.50    
4  ICE QUEEN Feb01 Jan04 Nov22 Aug09 Jul26 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00    
5  DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Mar08 Jan22 Jan01 Dec04 Sep08 (river)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
6  BUILT DIFFERENT Mar22 Aug17 Aug02 Jun27 Mar01 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
7  JASSAI Feb23 Jan29 Jan18 Jan05 Dec18 (ochoa gerard)LEON SONNY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  STARRY HOPE Mar12 Feb09 Jan18 Nov30 Oct16 (mcgoey moni)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
9  RED WIND Mar21 Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 65% 0.60    
10  VINGATIVA Mar21 Feb22 Feb09 Jan22 Jan12 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 6% 15.80    
11  LINNY KATE Mar21 Mar05 Jan22 Jan04 Dec20 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   04/02/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  H C HOLIDAY Mar19 Mar07 Feb22 Feb12 Jan18 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Mar26 Mar12 Feb22 Feb12 Jan17 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 122 6.00    
3  BLAME BISHOP Mar15 Feb19 Nov27 Nov20 Nov05 (rarick lynn)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
4  UNCAPTURED BOY Jan01 Sep01 Jul28 Jul06 Jun08 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 122 8.00    
5  GALACTIC EMPIRE Mar14 Feb08 Jan19 Sep06 Aug02 (correa maxine)MORALES PABLO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SILENT AND VIOLENT Mar09 Feb26 Dec01 Nov23 Nov02 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50    
7  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Mar26 Mar07 Feb22 Feb07 Jan05 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
8  MEAN TWEETS Mar19 Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 (posadas pedro)GIL CIPRIANO 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
9  SARGEANT BARGER Mar12 Feb12 Jan24 Jan12 Jan04 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
10  FUNKENSTEIN Mar07 Feb21 Jan25 Jan12 Dec21 (agostini)RODRIGUEZ O 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FORT CHARLES Mar26 Mar12 Feb22 Feb12 Jan29 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 6.00    
 
TAM-9   04/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIZIOSA Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 Dec27 Dec13 (rarick lynn)HESS SARA 111 3.50 19% 4.30    
2  BOLD BABY Mar01 Jan08 Nov20 Sep19 Aug31 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.00 18% 4.40    
3  EROS'S GIRL Feb07 Jul02 Jun10 May07 Mar10 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 118 12.00    
4  WAIT A SEC Feb21 Jan24 Jan01 Dec20 Jul12 (richards renal)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
5  SASSY CHARLEE Mar19 Feb28 Feb21 Dec28 Dec04 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  OSCAR GAZE Mar23 Feb12 Jan26 Jan03 Oct21 (richards renaldo)FERRER C 118 12.00    
7  IDEAL BREEZE Mar19 Feb21 Jan01 Dec20 Sep13 (carrasco)RODRIGUEZ O 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LADY QUINN Mar01 Feb07 Jan08 Dec21 Nov11 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
 
TAM-10   04/02/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE RUN BOLT Mar23 Mar02 Jan26 Jan12 Dec29 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  FUTURE FORTUNE Mar22 Mar07 Feb19 Feb02 Jan26 (dobber w)HESS SARA 117 30.00    
3  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Mar12 Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 Jan10 (vazquez jose)MENESES MARCOS 124 20.00    
4  NELIDA Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Apr14 Mar30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  GULF COAST GIRL Mar14 Feb19 Jan26 Jan08 Dec20 (dini mike)GIL CIPRIANO 124 6.00    
6  KOZAK SPIRIT Feb16 Feb07 Jan25 Dec13   (sherman a)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 117 20.00    
7  UDIDN'TPAY Mar14 Mar02 Jan29 Dec30 Dec18 (ashmore colee)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHAKREVENGE Mar02 Jan26 Jan05 Dec11 Oct27 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
9  DAME CATHERINE Mar14 Feb19 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 124 5.00    
10  SISTER NELL Mar14 Feb19 Jan26 Oct04 Sep20 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.