Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/3/2/6)-(4/1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/6)-(4/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/6)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/7/5)-(2/12/3/8/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/5)-(2/12/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/5)-(2/12/3/8/4)-(7/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/12/3/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/12/3/8/4)-(2/12/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/12/3/8/4)-(2/12/3/8/4)-(2/12/3/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/12/3/8/4)-(7/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/12/3/8/4)-(7/2/3)-(8/7/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(8/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(8/7/4/9)-(2/8/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/9)-(8/7/3/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/9)-(8/7/3/4/9)-(8/7/3/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/4/9)-(2/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/9)-(2/8/7/4)-(3/10/6/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/4)-(2/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/4)-(2/8/7/4)-(2/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/4)-(3/10/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/10/6/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/6/8/5)-(3/10/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/6/8/5)-(3/10/6/8/5)-(3/10/6/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/28/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO VELOCE Mar21 Mar01 Feb23 Feb05 Jan24 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
2  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Mar12 Feb26 Feb08 Jan03 Dec13 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
3  POLA OF TROUBLE Mar21 Mar01 Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 (ochoa gerard)LEON SONNY 118 4.00    
4  ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Feb21 Jan22 Jan05 Dec21 Oct01 (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 118 1.80 10% 9.00    
5  THANK THE ACADEMY Mar21 Mar01 Feb14 Jan22 Jan05 (agostini arthu)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  HEARTBURN Mar07 Feb23 Jan01 Oct18 Aug22 (simone mic)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 10.00    
 
TAM-2   03/28/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UTOPIA ROSE Mar02 Feb16 Jan18 Nov29 Sep14 (moysey chelsey)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.80 42% 1.40    
2  WONDERFULVENEZUELA Mar12 Feb26 Feb08 Jan22 Nov29 (yanez reynald)VARGAS E 108 5.00 9% 10.60    
3  REPAYNT Mar12 Feb16 Dec13 Sep28 Sep05 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
4  MYA C Mar08 Feb14 Feb01 Jan15 Dec24 (hardesty lesliely)HESS SARA 111 15.00    
5  SHAMU Mar02 Feb19 Jan29 Jan12 Jan05 (orantes r)LEON SONNY 118 4.50    
6  MIA'S ANGEL Mar12 Feb26 Feb09 Jan22 Jan05 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PESADILLA CHANEL Mar12 Feb22 Feb01 Jan08 Dec24 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 8.00    
 
TAM-3   03/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOD WITH US Feb23 Jan29 Jan08 Dec01 Nov02 (romero rafael)BRACHO A 118 3.00 11% 8.40    
2  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Mar12 Feb26 Oct31 Sep14 Aug16 (paragallo jenn)SUAREZ JESUS 123 20.00    
3  SINCERITO Mar19 Mar05 Feb23 Jan25 Jan08 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GUAIO Feb26 Feb09 Jan29 Jan08 Dec14 (agostini arthu)MARIN SAMUEL 123 1.80 53% 0.90    
5  SHARP PLAY BOY Mar02 Nov19 Sep30 Aug20 Aug05 (br)LUNA PAUL 123 4.50    
6  SNOWNAME Mar15 Mar08 Feb09 Jan29 Jun21 (rice kevin)MENESES MARCOS 123 4.00 9% 10.30    
7  RUNNING BAYOU Feb07 Jan08 Oct06 Sep01 Aug17 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
 
TAM-4   03/28/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAP TO GAP Mar01 Feb15 Dec22 Nov30 Oct11 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50 10% 9.40    
2  KING OF CAIRO Mar15         (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 120 20.00    
3  TEN BUCKS A GLASS Mar01 Feb15 Jan29 Jan05 Sep23 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
4  BOHEMIAN STYLE Mar08 Jan25 Sep28 Aug31   (yates michael)LEON SONNY 120 0.80 69% 0.40    
5  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Mar07 Feb15 Feb14 Jan29 Jan19 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GREAT HUNT Feb16 Jan24 Dec06 Nov01 Aug25 (so)LUNA PAUL 120 5.00    
7  KING PLUTUS Mar09 Feb15 Jan10 Nov30   (amaya )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   03/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY JANNET Feb23 Jan01 Dec13 Nov27 Oct24 (kleine berna)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
2  MISS TAPTRESS Mar02 Jan26 Dec27 Nov29 Oct19 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
3  WHISPERING SEA Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Dec13 Nov01 (wilson tony)COTTO L 118 12.00 10% 9.30    
4  SPECIAL AFFAIR Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Jan01 Dec13 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PERMED Mar14 Feb19 Jan29 Jan12 Dec18 (pimental john )CASTANON L 122 10.00    
SCR  SPRING SPINNING Feb21 Jan24 Jan12 Dec22 Sep04 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00    
7  LUCKY GIRL COCO Mar07 Feb14 Jan18 Aug11 Jul14 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 20.00    
8  AZTEC PRINCESS Oct24 Oct09 Sep09 Jul29 Apr07 (hamm timothy)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  CHILLING FACTOR Feb23 Feb14 Jan12 Dec29 Nov27 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00    
10  ALLONS Mar07 Jan26 Jan12 Dec29 Dec11 (creel rick)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.50    
11  REAL MIKEY Mar07 Feb23 Jan26 Jan12 Dec13 (lusk )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00    
12  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Mar07 Feb23 Jan01 Oct11 Sep27 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 16% 5.40    
13  SADIE BABY Feb23 Jan12 Dec24 Sep27 Aug25 (mcburney patric)CENTENO E 118 20.00    
SCR  ARMONIA Feb23 Oct11 Sep27 Sep15 Aug23 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00    
 
TAM-6   03/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHTAIL FOX Mar15 Feb19 Feb09 Jan18 Oct22 (connelly teresa)LEON SONNY 120 5.00    
2  FORTHELONGHAUL         (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
3  TAP TAP RUSS         (gulick m)HESS SARA 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MORODER Feb15 Jan25 Jan05 Jun08   (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50    
5  TRAFALGAR'S HERO         (smith robert )IORIO MELISSA 120 10.00    
6  SHOCKING MALICE         (rarick lynn)BUSH V 120 20.00    
7  EL CHISPAZO Mar02 Feb16 Jan15 Dec06   (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
TAM-7   03/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENVOLIO Feb15 Dec27 Dec06 Nov02 May25 (parra hernan)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
2  TALKSCHEAP Feb23 Dec28 Aug07 Jun26 Jun19 (alessi jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00    
3  SAM STORMY Mar05 Feb02 Jan24 Dec21 Dec04 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50 ★    
4  TORO FORWARD Mar16 Feb02 Jan05 Dec18 Apr19 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAGIC HEART Mar05 Feb08 Dec24 Aug22 Aug11 (schuh ti)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
6  TAPINTOYOURBEER Feb28 Oct14 Sep11 Aug25 Aug13 (lopez ra)LEON A 122 30.00    
7  OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) Mar02 Jan30 Jan03 Dec01 Oct15 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 126 2.50 14% 6.20    
8  PEACE NOT WAR Mar05 Feb02 Jan08 Dec18 Nov29 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
9  MINTENON Mar08 Feb12 Jan16 Dec04 Oct27 (ca)LUNA PAUL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  OVERHAUL Feb26 Jan31 Jan19 Dec22 Dec05 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E COMPLICATO Mar16         (ciaio a)FERRER C 120 20.00    
2  UNBRIDLED PEACE         (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  BETTER HAVE CASH Jan31 Jan15 Dec21 Nov02 Sep26 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 120 15.00    
4  MAGGIES BREW         (pimental i)HESS SARA 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GRACIOUS BEAUTY Mar05 Feb12       (gardea abraham)LEON SONNY 120 10.00    
6  LILY DASH A         (hunt donald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
7  VESPER CHICKS Feb26         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
8  MY LITTLE WILDCAT Feb26 Feb09 Jan26 Jan11   (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
TAM-9   03/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAX'S MAP Mar05 Feb07 Dec28 Nov29 Oct10 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
2  PAXTON Mar07 Feb19 Jan25 Dec22 Nov29 (miller rory )MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
3  VESTING (IRE) Mar02 Jan05 Oct03 Aug24 Jul26 (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.80 42% 1.40    
4  LONELY RIDE Feb08 Dec28 Nov30 Oct31 Oct05 (davis scooter)FERRER C 118 10.00    
5  NIGHT RIDE Feb19 Oct01 Aug20 Aug05 Jul09 (bowersock ma)BATISTA A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHY NOT ME Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec24 Nov29 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 9% 10.50    
7  GOLD TEMPLAR Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 Sep02 Aug20 (falk jacquel)ALENCAR WALBER 118 30.00    
8  SESAME SEED BAGEL Feb22 Jul12 Jun16 Apr27 Mar27 (rodriguez ange)GIL CIPRIANO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Feb19 Dec15 Oct31 Jun28 Jun02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
10  SONIC SPEED Mar07 Feb08 Jan18 Dec24 Dec14 (escobar marti)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 24% 3.10    
11  QUATROCENTO Aug10 Jul13 Jun23 May11   (gutierre)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
12  DRUNK ON SAKE Mar07 Jan18 Dec07 Sep08 Jul27 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.