Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - March 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(2/1/6)-(8/1/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(8/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(8/1/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/6)-(5/4/7/6)-(5/7/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/6)-(5/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/6)-(5/7/2/4)-(2/5/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/4)-(2/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/4)-(2/5/3/1)-(4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/1)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/1)-(4/5/2)-(4/7/5/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/7/5/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/7/5/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/2/3)-(4/7/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/2/3)-(4/7/5/2/3)-(4/7/5/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOL FOR THE CITY Jan25 Jan03 Dec02 Nov19 Oct27 (inirio carl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 6% 14.80    
SARGENT KOBE Feb22 Feb06 Jan16 Dec13 Nov30 (lane scot)BOCACHICA J 120 20.00 19% 4.20    
SCARE DEM Feb28 Feb15 Dec07 Nov08 Oct26 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
SUMMONING DENIS Feb28 Feb01 Jan15 Dec14 Nov30 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 1.20    
HURRICANE ALERT Feb28 Jan25 Jan17 Jan03 Nov30 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 1.00 36% 1.80    
STROLLINGINTHEWIND Feb07 Jan25 Jan02 Dec14 Nov29 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 6.00    
 
CT-2   03/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALENTED LORD Feb01 Nov20 Oct30 Oct11   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
RAN OUT OF TRAINER Feb01 Oct24 Oct12 Sep19 Aug15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
CANDY TRICKS Feb07 Jan11 Sep19 Aug23 Aug01 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 120 4.50    
PARTY TIME FOR ME Feb07 Jan18 Dec14     (grigsby a)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 4.00    
LIL MISS HONKYTONK Feb07 Jan11 Nov23 Nov02   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50    
CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Feb07 Jan11 Nov20 Oct31 Sep28 (bass cu)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   03/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMONSONDESURPRISE Feb19 Feb05 Jan10 Dec14 Nov08 (davis billy)BATISTA A 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
GIRLS PERFUME Feb26 Jan23 Jan16 Dec11 Dec04 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
CREME DE LA QUEEN Jan31 Jan16 Jan04 Dec14 Nov14 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 4.00    
LET'S DO THIS Feb05 Jan29 Dec13 Nov22 Oct31 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
MYGIRLISABOMB Jan31 Jan16 Nov30 Nov07 Jul28 (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 122 8.00    
MISS ARGENTINA Feb28 Feb19 Jan25 Jan03 Nov23 (gomez anali)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
LUZIA Feb26 Jan29 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.50 8% 11.20    
BULL'S LEGACY Feb26 Feb08 Jan31 Jan15 Dec04 (rideout anthony)JORGE JULIO 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
CT-4   03/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIPPEWA BAY Feb21         (brown ronney)LEWIS M 116 4.50    
  (by BULLSBAY out of CHIPPEWA DREAMER by GEROSA)
BEST HOP IS A DROP Feb13 Jan17 Dec13 Nov23 Oct18 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SCARLETT D'HEREA by DEHERE)
PEDAL TO THE MOON Feb22 Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 Dec06 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of GASPEDAL by FIBER SONDE)
MIRACLE LAD         (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of HOPE FOR MIRACLES by ORB)
PLEASENTHANKU         (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 116 1.40 41% 1.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HEART ASTRAY by GONE ASTRAY)
RIP N ROLL Feb27 Jan31 Jan17 Dec11 Nov29 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of ENCHANTED FACTS by EL MEDWAR)
HEART OF GOLD Jan11         (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 10.00 7% 12.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of LITTLE BOP PEEP by BOP)
 
CT-5   03/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARSHALL PEANUT Nov27 Nov07 Sep27 Aug17 Jul20 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 124 4.00    
SISYPHUS Jul02 May18 May11 Apr26 Apr05 (rose d)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.50 11% 7.70    
CANDYLAND PHIL Feb06 Jan24 Jan15 Dec20 Nov22 (knudsen ken)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 12.00    
VOODOO DEVIL Feb27 Feb05 Jan17 Dec14 Nov15 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Nov15 Oct09 Aug30 Jun16 May27 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
WOODLINE Feb08 Dec14 Nov07 Sep27 May24 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
PROSPECTIVE LOVE Feb13 Nov27 Oct31 Sep12 Aug29 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
 
CT-6   03/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BESOTTED Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 Dec06 Aug24 (atkins micha)LEWIS M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
DORADO Feb21 Jan16 Dec13 Nov07 May24 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
GABRIEL SEVEN Feb21 Feb08 Jan18 Nov23 Oct27 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
YANGARRA Mar06 Feb07 Jan24 Jan15 Dec11 (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
PATIENT CAPITAL Feb27 Jan24 Dec29 Dec08 Nov10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 33% 2.10    
RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Feb27 Feb05 Jan16 Dec11 Oct12 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
SMOOTH RICO Feb21 Jan30 Jan17 Nov21 Nov01 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   03/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWERED BY LOVE Mar07 Feb15 Dec13 Nov13 Aug15 (rideout)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00    
YOUTHFUL ENERGY Dec13 Nov07 Oct24 Sep02 Aug24 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 6.00 8% 11.90    
BERTRAM FLIGHT Feb27 Jan29 Dec13 Nov29 Nov06 (rose davi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 15.00    
KING KONTIE Feb26 Feb05 Dec13 Aug31 Jul20 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
IM THE DIRECTOR Nov23 Nov07 Oct12 Sep21 Sep12 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 1.40 32% 2.10    
SCR  BOLD ROCK Mar07 Feb13 Jan17 Nov23 Nov15 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 116 15.00    
CEDAR RUNS FIBER Feb28 Feb08 Jan17 Jan03 Nov29 (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 124 12.00    
 
CT-8   03/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI HAI Feb08 Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 Nov09 (scott alfred)LEWIS M 122 6.00    
ANOTHER FINE JUBA Feb19 Jan29 Jan04 Dec14 Nov08 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 7% 12.50    
GONE WITH THE WYN Feb21 Feb06 Jan10 Dec13 Dec07 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00 7% 13.20    
DOLCE VELOCE Feb19 Feb06 Jan02 Dec06 Oct31 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
SOMEBODYLOVESYOU Feb22 Feb08 Jan11 Aug07 Jul17 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 16% 5.30    
EVERYDAYISAGIFT Feb22 Feb08 Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
BOBBI TWO STEPS Feb22 Jan29 Jan15 Dec04 Nov13 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 10.00 20% 4.10    
SUNDOG Sep28 Sep13 Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 (deiter l)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
KAPADOKYA Feb19 Jan11 Dec27 Dec07 Nov16 (martinez jose)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
10  FROSTY MAYA Feb23 Jan15 Nov13 Oct19 Sep26 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 122 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.