Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-2   WIN (2/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/6)-(2/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/6)-(2/6/5/3)-(1/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-3   WIN (2/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/3)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/3)-(1/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(1/7/4/6)-(7/1/10/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (1/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/6)-(7/1/10/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/6)-(7/1/10/4/2)-(4/8/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/1/10/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/10/4/2)-(7/1/10/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/10/4/2)-(7/1/10/4/2)-(7/1/10/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/10/4/2)-(4/8/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/10/4/2)-(4/8/2/3)-(8/6/9/5/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-7   WIN (4/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/3)-(8/6/9/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/3)-(8/6/9/5/2)-(9/10/2/7/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-8   WIN (8/6/9/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/5/2)-(8/6/9/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/5/2)-(8/6/9/5/2)-(8/6/9/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/9/5/2)-(9/10/2/7/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HOU-9   WIN (9/10/2/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/2/7/11)-(9/10/2/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/2/7/11)-(9/10/2/7/11)-(9/10/2/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-2   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Feb21 Feb08 Jan10 Nov05 Sep26 (love alan)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by INCLUDE out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
ROMAN EAGLE Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 Nov22 Oct10 (gustafson austin)PARKER L 119 1.20 50% 1.00    
  (by EAGLE out of GLIDING ON AIR by HONOR GLIDE)
SIPPIN SCOTCH Feb22 Jan11 Oct11 Sep12 Aug24 (pish dann)TRIANA JR 124 4.00 9% 10.60    
  (by KEEP UP out of BRIGHT PERFECTION by GRAND SLAM)
HASHTAGMAKITHAPPEN Mar02 Jan18 Jun28 Jun01   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 10.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of FIKA by UNION RAGS)
SUPER EKATI Feb21 Feb08 Jan10 Oct16 Sep26 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of SUPER ESTHER by MALIBU MOON)
WEEKEND KASH         (hebert matt)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of WEEKEND STORY by WEEKEND CRUISE)
SNOWMAGEDDON May31         (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of SHADIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
HOU-3   03/14/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROYAL LIAISON Feb14 Jan12 Nov26 Oct23 Sep28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 6.00    
DULCIA Feb15 Jan05 Dec12 Mar21 Feb15 (pish dann)TRIANA JR 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
CONTESSA'S SONG Feb23 Feb14 Jan18 Nov30 Nov14 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
PINK SOLITAIRE Feb14 Jan18 Oct05 Sep05 Aug24 (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 30.00    
PRAIRIE BRAT Feb14 Feb01 Jan10     (p)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 6% 16.00    
RUBIA Nov03 Sep16 Aug21 Jun30 Jun11 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
AUTISM RESILIENCE Jan31 Dec06 Sep21 Jul28   (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 117 30.00    
SHE'S A GOLD LADY Nov13 Oct25 Oct10 Sep11 Aug16 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.00    
SCR  CITYCITYBLINGBLING Feb15 Jan31 Jan04 Jul07 Jun23 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 117 15.00    
10  HOLLYWOODBOULEVARD Jan04 Oct24 Oct09 Sep11 Aug16 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 121 12.00    
 
HOU-4   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICH MOUNTAIN Mar02 Jul06 Jun16 May26 Mar30 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  PAINTED LAD Feb28 Feb16 Feb07 Jan12 Oct16 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.00    
CLOUDY PAST Mar01 Jan25 Jan04     (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 4.00    
LITTLEJOHNS PRAYER Feb14 Jan25       (gustafson austin)PARKER L 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
PRETTY MACHO Mar07 Feb16 Jan24 Jan05 Dec12 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00    
RIPSTER Mar02 Feb16 Jan12 Nov30 Nov09 (george wayn)WETHEY JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FANDO Jul12 Jul04 Jun14 Jun02 May18 (urie)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00    
ALL MIGHT Mar02 Feb14 Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 121 20.00    
 
HOU-5   03/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUDDING Feb23 Jan18 Dec11 Nov19 Oct16 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 1.80 42% 1.40    
ICEATUDE Feb08 Feb01 Jan10 Jan05 Nov29 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 2.50    
HOSTILE AFLEET Feb21 Feb12 Jan31 Jan16 Nov13 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 121 12.00    
PINKY RING BLING Feb14 Feb02 Jan18 Dec21 Dec07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
HAMAZING WISDOM Nov30 Oct24 Jun16 May13 Apr29 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 30.00    
LEVY Feb23 Feb09 Jan31 Jan10 Nov30 (davidson sarah )WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
IN THE ARCH Feb28 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Nov30 (rengstorf ton)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
BLACK CANDY Feb12 Jan31 Jan15 Dec28 Dec13 (tomczak mark)VARGAS P 121 10.00    
 
HOU-6   03/14/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYPEARL Feb22         (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of HARD MYSTERY by HARD SPUN)
WHAT MAGGIE WANTS Feb21 Jul07 Jun01     (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of BUSKINFOALIVIN by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SHERRYS RIDGE Feb23 Feb08 Jan11 Sep04 Aug12 (k)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHERRYS GAL by NAVARRO)
MIZZ FACTOR Feb08 Jan11 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 8% 11.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ CAT C S by MIZZEN MAST)
ITSALLPOLITRICKS         (swift a)VERA T 123 30.00    
  (by MATTHEWSBURG out of DANCEWITHTHEGHOST by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
EAGLE VISION Feb07 Jan17 Jan05 Nov25   (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 123 15.00    
  (by EAGLE out of ZYDECO DIVA by STORM DAY)
SONGERIE Feb21 Jan31 Aug22 Jul12   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60 29% 2.50    
  (by ENTICED out of CATCH THAT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BILL'S QUEEN JEAN         (hebert matt)DIEGO V 119 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of DOUBLE FANCY by TRIBAL RULE)
IMAGOLDENSONG Mar09 Feb21 Feb08 Jan24   (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of POSITIVE SPIN by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
10  FRANNY Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec04 Sep26 (gustafson austin)PARKER L 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by DORRANCE out of EXACTLY LIKE YOU by ATTILA'S STORM)
 
HOU-7   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL TAKE CASH Feb16 Jan24 Jan03 Dec20 Oct25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00    
LOUISIANA FLASH Jan24 Jan05 Jul03 Jun16 May12 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 121 6.00 7% 12.50    
COMPETITIVE SHOCK Feb15 Jun28 Jun01     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SLEW SKIES Feb02 Jan04 Nov16 Oct16 Aug31 (gelner jayde )CABRERA DAVID 121 1.40 50% 1.00    
TEXAS ADOPTER Feb12 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Oct07 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 123 5.00    
ROAD TO ELDORADO Jan31 Jan18 Dec04 Nov16 Oct24 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 119 12.00    
KANGAROO COAST Feb16 Jan11 Nov16 Oct24 Aug15 (d)JIMENEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
FLYING CAESAR Feb16 Feb07 Jun28 Jun16 May26 (willis mindy)PARKER L 121 4.00 12% 7.60    
 
HOU-8   03/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAY TAY'S BABY Feb08 Feb01 Jan11 Nov25 Nov09 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 30.00    
SUPERCENTS Mar01 Jan26 Jan05 Nov23 Nov07 (hjort donna)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 8.00 6% 15.10    
NATURAL TOUCH Feb22 Feb07 Jan25 Dec06 Aug31 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
GEORGIANO Feb01 Sep23 Sep11 Sep04 Jul15 (go)HERNANDEZ ANTONIO 116 30.00    
MATH MYSTERY Feb08 Jan19 Nov29 Nov13 Oct03 (hurley r)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00 8% 11.00    
TRAFALGAR SHORE Feb28 Jan24 Nov21 Nov06 Oct17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50 15% 5.70    
MISCHIEF ANGEL Feb08 Jan26 Jan04 Nov26 Nov13 (rangel raul)FUENTES MARIO 121 30.00    
TURA LURA Feb22 Dec18 Nov23 Nov01 Sep21 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 123 4.00 35% 1.90    
LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Feb15 Dec06 Nov27 Nov09 Oct18 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 121 6.00 15% 5.90    
10  COINMAKER Mar01 Jan24 Jan03 Nov08 Sep04 (baldillez al)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00    
11  SHARP LIKENESS Feb22 Jan11 Sep02 Aug20 Aug13 (gourneau jerry)WADE LYNDIE 121 50.00    
12  MOLA MIA Feb22 Jan25 Jul07 Jun22 May31 (d)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
SCR  WICKED SONG Feb28 Jan10 Jul07 Jun22 May31 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00    
14  ITS MY MONEY TOO Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 Jan18 Jan04 (davidson sar)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00    
 
HOU-9   03/14/2025 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD MAKIN GIRL Feb21 Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 Feb23 (eoff terry)WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00    
RUBY CANTU Jul14 Jun22 May26 Apr06   (hebert ma)TRIANA JR 121 12.00 9% 10.10    
LEGACY DEFINED Feb01 Jan11 Nov21 Sep14 Jul27 (craddock kar)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 6.00    
UTSIRA Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 Oct30 Oct10 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
SCR  GET READY GAL Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Oct25 Sep10 (jacks e)PARKER L 121 4.50    
KARA Jan25 Dec16 Nov26 Aug30 Jun28 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 121 3.50    
CRAFTY AUNT Sep13 Jul14       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET KARAT CAKE Feb07 Jan17 Oct25 Oct04 Sep11 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 123 10.00    
NINTH ISLAND Jan19 Nov15 Oct02     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 117 4.50 50% 1.00    
10  CAFEZINHO Feb21 Jan26 Oct19 Oct03 Jul06 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 2.50 9% 10.10    
11  TAKE MY PICTURE Feb15 Jan17 Sep23 Aug28 Jul27 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.