Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Thursday - February 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-2   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(4/3/2/1)-(5/2/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-3   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/1)-(5/2/7/3)-(6/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-4   WIN (5/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/3)-(6/7/1)-(2/6/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-5   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SUN-6   WIN (2/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-7   WIN (4/5/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/6/9)-(4/5/2/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/6/9)-(4/5/2/6/9)-(4/5/2/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/6/9)-(5/1/4/10/12)-(2/1/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
SUN-8   WIN (5/1/4/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/10/12)-(5/1/4/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/10/12)-(5/1/4/10/12)-(5/1/4/10/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/1/4/10/12)-(2/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SUN-9   WIN (2/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/9)-(2/1/4/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/9)-(2/1/4/9/3)-(2/1/4/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   02/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONWITHIT Jan24         (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of ON by WESTERN GAMBLER)
2  SINAI Feb06 Jan09 Nov05 Mar29 Feb18 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of DESERT STEPPER by DESERT GOD)
SCR  GHOSTLY THUNDER Feb06 Jan24 Dec03 Nov12 Oct19 (hernandez jua)ARBOLEDA ALDO 116 15.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of MIGHTY NICE by FLATTER)
4  RINGO Dec09         (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of ISLAND SHINE by HENNESSY)
5  PEEKAY Dec09 Nov05       (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 124 3.50 10% 8.70    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of TRICKY R. by FAVORITE TRICK)
6  JMARK Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Oct06 Jul20 (hernand)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by MARKING out of SHE'S PLAIN JANE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  BEETHOVEN J Nov25 Nov05 Sep26     (barton da)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
  (by MUSAITER out of SONGS SAY SO MUCH by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
 
SUN-2   02/20/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLFAX KID Feb06 Jan16 Dec18 Nov11 Sep22 (cross gary)VALDEZ S 121 6.00    
2  TRACK RUNNER Feb06 Jan23 Dec10 Dec02 Nov11 (sedillo ton)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50    
3  BRAVE TOEWS Dec18 Nov12 Nov04 Oct25 Sep22 (muniz jr)JAIME R 124 10.00    
4  PONDEROSA Jan31 Dec04       (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.00    
5  HARDBALL Jan17 Nov05 Oct18 Jun29   (sanchez)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
6  POQUITO LADY Feb13 Jan31 Nov05 Sep15 Mar22 (four)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
7  SAPELLO SICARIO Feb06 Jan23 Dec10 Nov11 Sep22 (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
SUN-3   02/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMMY MACHO Jan17 Dec18 Dec04 Sep12 Jul28 (hernand)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PARK IN THE DARK Jan23 Dec18 Dec04 Nov05 Sep12 (rojero c)VALDEZ S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  POWER NAP Dec10 Dec02 Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
4  GIRLS DON'T CRY         (marr joel)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 5.00 35% 1.90    
5  PRINCESS FAVE Jan31 Dec15       (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 2.50    
6  BURNINGDAYLIGHT Jan23 Dec18 Dec04 Sep12 Sep01 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 6.00    
7  GOING WITH HER Nov17 Oct26 Sep07     (finc)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.00    
 
SUN-4   02/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIND RIVER Feb07 Jan23 Jan03 Dec03 Oct18 (gomez steve)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
2  COYSTER Dec09 Nov19 Nov11 Jul28 Dec05 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
3  MINISTERSDON'TLIE Dec03 Apr30 Jul30 May06 Apr02 (mcarthur )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  GO RED RASCAL Feb06 Jan24 Dec09 Jul27 Feb23 (martinez a)MEDELLIN A 124 6.00    
5  HAM SANDWICH Jan24 Jan10 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 (trujillo )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  SWEET RIVER BAINES Jan24 Nov19 Nov05 Sep26 Oct08 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 1.80    
7  RUNNINGINTHERAIN Jan24 Dec09 Nov11 May19 May05 (cross gary)VALDEZ S 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
SUN-5   02/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUTE LITTLE DEVIL Jan10         (marr h)JUAREZ J 121 4.50 24% 3.20    
2  HURRICANE SAYLOR Jan17 Dec10       (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00    
3  EMPRESS IN FRONT Feb06 Jan09 Nov25 Jun16 Apr27 (gutierrez taurino)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
4  BOW TO CLARA Jan31 Jan10 Dec17 Nov26   (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 ★    
5  CATRIANNA Jan30 Jan10 Dec17 Dec19 Dec12 (bolen bradley)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00    
6  BRING A SMILE Jan30 Dec17 Jun09 May19 Jul09 (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 27% 2.80    
7  PRINCESSPRANCEALOT Jan30 Dec16 Jan14     (buechler )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
SUN-6   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TATAS JOE MARK Jan31 Jan09 Dec10 Dec03 Oct09 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 5.00    
2  KING BRYCE Jan16 Dec17 Dec04 Nov25 Oct20 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  REAL PENNY Jul27 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 (danley i)JUAREZ J 124 8.00    
4  RIG RIDER Jan31 Jan10 Dec10 Oct18 Oct04 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BESITOS CRIMINALES Jan31 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Oct04 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 10.00    
6  TEE ROY Feb07 Jan23 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 (gomez steve)PEREZ A 124 4.50 27% 2.60    
7  DECK HUMOR Jan31 Jan10 Dec18 Dec10 Oct20 (lambert t)MEDELLIN A 124 3.50 10% 9.50    
8  HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Feb07 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Oct16 (chadborn k)JAIME R 124 8.00    
 
SUN-7   02/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MT. TAYLOR Jan17 Oct09 Sep25 Sep12 Apr28 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 6.00    
2  BURNZ DA BOSS Feb07 Jan17 Jan03 Oct05 Sep25 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 10% 9.00    
3  FOLLOW THE FACTS Nov19 Sep07 Aug25 Aug04 May12 (chacon se)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 6.00    
4  MONIKER Dec03 Nov12 Sep26 Sep12 Aug31 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
5  MY GOOD GOOD BOY Dec09 Nov11 Sep25 Sep08 May11 (sedillo carlo)JUAREZ J 124 5.00 10% 8.60    
6  AWESOME BID Jan31 Jan17 Nov19 Oct05 Sep12 (armstrong sherr)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00 8% 11.60    
7  THIRSTY ECHO Jan31 Jan17 Dec09 Nov19 Oct25 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 20.00    
8  GORDY'S RULES Feb07 Jan23 Dec16 Oct25 Oct05 (barrios bernadet)MEDELLIN A 124 15.00    
9  MENTIROSA Feb07 Jan09 Jan03 Dec03 Nov11 (gutierrez taurino)JAIME R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  IOWA HAWKEYE Jan30 Dec04 Nov12 Oct05 Aug29 (gomez steve)PEREZ A 124 6.00    
 
SUN-8   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIS SPENDER Jan16 Dec10 Oct13 Sep22 Aug18 (finc)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  COUNCIL'S JAZEL Jan31 Jan10 Dec09 Mar01 Dec11 (gonzalez r)NEGRON LUIS 124 20.00    
3  JUST KEEP LAUGHIN Jan10 Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Aug16 (barton )FUENTES T 124 12.00    
4  ZAPPIN Jan10 Dec16 Dec04 Oct27 Oct13 (chavez artu)ORTEGA O 124 10.00 11% 8.10    
5  POCKET WATCH Feb06 Dec02 Aug17 Jun09   (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 38% 1.70    
6  CHARLIENE Feb13 Jan23 Dec02 Sep26 Sep14 (martinez edwi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
7  JASMINE BABY Jan31 Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Sep26 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 15.00    
8  MARK THE DATE Jan31 Jan09 Dec16 Dec04 Nov25 (chavez ar)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00    
SCR  MAMITA Jan10 Dec04 Nov05     (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 124 5.00    
10  AMASS MONEY Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 Nov11 Sep26 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 6.00 6% 15.70    
11  CHASENUINMYDREAMS Jan31 Jan10 Dec04 Oct12 Mar21 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
12  ABSTRACT LILLY Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 Nov11 Nov13 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-9   02/20/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISABEL LOVE Jan05 Dec05 Oct08 Sep08   (vaughn lon)ANDRADE JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHEROKEE CHERRY Feb06 Nov25 Nov12 Mar01 Feb09 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 2.00 73% 0.40    
3  STORMY RYTHM Jan10 Dec10 Nov12 Oct19 Oct02 (wheeler t)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00 ★    
4  I WANA WIN GOLD Jan23 Nov05 Oct11     (douglas natalie)JAIME R 124 4.00 ★    
5  ISABELLAELISE Feb06 Aug17       (eliott roge)ORTEGA O 124 20.00    
SCR  MARKED ACE Feb06 Dec09 Dec02 Nov05 Oct23 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.50    
7  CASH UP Feb06 Dec02 Oct23 Oct13 May04 (archule)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 15.00    
8  ON THE TOE ROAD Jan10 Dec10       (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
9  OAKLEY COURT Feb06 Jan17 Jan09 Oct23 Oct13 (amparan alber)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TORMENTA G G Feb06 Jan24 Dec17     (aldavaz hermengi)VALDEZ S 121 5.00    
11  WEEKENDATBERNSTERS Jan24 Dec17       (green greg)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.