Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - February 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (8/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/7)-(8/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/7)-(8/2/4/7)-(8/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/7)-(9/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/7)-(9/6/2/7)-(1/4/8/9/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-2   WIN (9/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/7)-(9/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/7)-(9/6/2/7)-(9/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/2/7)-(1/4/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/6/2/7)-(1/4/8/9/3)-(5/7/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-3   WIN (1/4/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/9/3)-(1/4/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/9/3)-(1/4/8/9/3)-(1/4/8/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/8/9/3)-(5/7/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/9/3)-(5/7/2/1)-(8/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/1)-(8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/1)-(8/4/5)-(6/7/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (8/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/5)-(8/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/5)-(8/4/5)-(8/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/5)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5)-(6/7/5/3)-(5/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/3)-(5/7/1)-(7/10/11/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(7/10/11/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HOU-8   WIN (7/10/11/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/11/2/6)-(7/10/11/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/11/2/6)-(7/10/11/2/6)-(7/10/11/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE IT UP Jan31 Jan05 Nov29 Nov13 Oct19 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 4.00    
2  MY BOY VANDER Sep05 Jun29 May26     (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 117 12.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  KITTYSHEARTNDENILE Jan31 Dec07 Oct16     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 5.00    
4  MILLIE G Feb10 Nov21 Jul01 Jun04   (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00 10% 9.30    
5  DIAMOND EMPRESS Dec13 Oct09 Sep02 Aug09 Jul24 (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00    
6  DAZZLING DUCHESS Oct26 Sep25 Aug21 Jul23   (gelner jayde )CABRERA DAVID 119 12.00    
7  ARSONIST Jan19 Sep29 Sep05 Aug23   (eoff terry)WADE LYNDIE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  DULCIA Jan05 Dec12 Mar21 Feb15 Feb04 (pish danny)DIEGO V 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
9  REGAL RUMOR Feb23 Jan26 Dec03 Sep16 Aug26 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 3.50    
 
HOU-2   02/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Jan03 Dec04 Nov23 Sep12 May05 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 121 3.50    
2  OUR DAVINA Jan25 Jan03 Dec13 Oct19 Oct03 (young scott )LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY ANGEL Jan31 Jul06 Jun15 Mar23 Mar03 (young bob)DIAZ RENE 123 20.00    
4  MISSION BELLE Nov01 Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 Aug16 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 15.00    
SCR  CLAIRE JUNE Feb02 Jan12 Mar02 Jan19 Nov03 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
6  TALKIN CADEE Jan12 Dec04 Nov16 Oct18 Sep20 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 10% 9.10    
7  STORMIEIS BLUE Nov25 Oct18 Oct03 Sep26 Aug05 (gourneau jer)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  WILD EXPRESS Jan03 Sep29 Aug29 Jul14 Jun29 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
9  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 Aug16 Jul14 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 121 1.00 61% 0.60    
10  PAINTBRUSH Nov23 Jul06 Jun07 May25 Apr05 (g)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
SCR  BULSARA Feb02 Oct17 Sep25 Sep14 Sep01 (kane )MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 20.00    
 
HOU-3   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINE TUNED Jan19 Oct10       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of CLASSY TUNE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
2  MIDNIGHT TALKER Dec11         (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT CROONER out of FLEET TALK'N MISS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
3  KOCHAN         (eoff terry)WADE LYNDIE 119 15.00 6% 16.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DANCE AMERICA by TAPIT)
4  NOBLE EAGLE Jan25 Dec12 Nov25 Oct10 Sep15 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 2.00 12% 7.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BIG MEESH by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
5  GO GO BOSS Jan19         (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GO GO LOLO by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  KEYS GOLDEN SONG Jan19 Jan04       (davila jesse)RIVERA SANTOS 119 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MISS PERDIDO KEY by BROKEN VOW)
7  I'M ENTICING Jan19 Dec04       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 10.00    
  (by ENTICED out of DAZZLE HER by STREET SENSE)
8  FIRST TAKELA Jan25 Dec12       (m)DE CRUZ 123 4.00 12% 7.30    
  (by MARCH TWELTH out of TA KELA WARNING by KELA)
9  SOLEVO Jan25 Jan20 Nov29 Nov18 Oct21 (asmussen steven )MECHE COLE 118 6.00 8% 11.20    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PLEASANT MINE by MINESHAFT)
 
HOU-4   02/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Jim's Orbit Purse ($75K) 3 C/G PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPETITIVE SHOCK Jun28 Jun01       (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of GOLD SHOCK by MY GOLDEN SONG)
2  MIKEL W Jan25 Jan04       (padilla a)DIEGO V 117 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by BRADESTER out of SOPHIA'S NIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  GOLDEN GRIT Jan24 Jan04 Dec06 Jul12 Jun28 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 117 10.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLYING BY FAYTH by FLYING BARON)
4  BERRY MISCHIEVOUS Feb01         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 117 15.00    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of ALPINE STRAWBERRY by FORT LARNED)
5  RING SEEKER Jan25 Jan04 Nov26 Sep29 Jul13 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MY ITALIAN RABBI by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
6  DR SKYSCRAPER Jan24 Jan03 Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 (davidson )TRIANA JR 117 4.50    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of MARRYBELLANIGHT by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
7  TIZABLING Jan25 Jan04 Dec15 Nov24   (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of TIZ TIZ by TIZNOW)
 
HOU-5   02/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Houston Turf Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOR VICTORY Jan24 Oct23 Sep29 Aug24 Jul13 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DEPUTY SARAH by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
2  STANS HOME RUN Feb05 Sep10 Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 116 20.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of MAZZY by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  SUPERSECRETWEAPON Jan24 Jul13 Jun28 May04 Mar24 (hurley tina)WETHEY JR 116 10.00    
  (by SPELLBINDER out of ARTIE'S GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
4  BOBBY BRINKLEY Jan24 Jan11 Jul13 Jun09 Jun01 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 116 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of BRINKLEY by BELONG TO ME)
5  PROVEN ADVOCATE Jan10 Nov20 Aug22 Jul25 Jul06 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SONG OF MELODY by FLAT OUT)
6  SILENCE D'ORO Jan24 Jun23 May10 Sep15 Aug24 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 116 4.50    
  (by SILENTIO out of FLAIR FOR FASHION by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  SUNLIT SONG Jan24 Mar23 Feb17 Jan05 Sep24 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 118 1.20    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLY SO TRUE by EARLY FLYER)
8  GOLD PILOT Oct19 Sep28 Sep04 Jun01 Feb17 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 116 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
 
HOU-6   02/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Two Altazano Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITYCITYBLINGBLING Jan31 Jan04 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 117 6.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SILVER IN THE CITY by SILVER CITY)
2  SEEKING SECRETS Feb01         (george wayne)FUENTES MARIO 117 30.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SEEKING SIMPLICITY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
3  EVENING EDGE Jan25 Jan04 Oct15     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of EVENING SHOW by DEVONGATE)
4  EDGE CHASER Jan24 Jan04 Jun23 Jun01   (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 117 4.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of CONQUEST BEBOP by SCAT DADDY)
5  ITTY BITTY BABY Jan03         (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 117 8.00 10% 9.50    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of SPECIAL ENDING by SPECIAL RATE)
6  BLINGSTER Jan04 Dec06 Jun01 May11   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 1.00 38% 1.70    
  (by BRADESTER out of SPLENDORED by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  TEQUILA KISS Jan04 Jul13 Jun01     (caldwell )TRIANA JR 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SHEILA TEQUILA by INDEFATIGABLE)
 
HOU-7   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 GOOD David Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGERS 'N BEARS Jan04 Dec11 Nov22 Nov06 Oct04 (pish danny)DIEGO V 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of THISTLE BEAR by GATORS N BEARS)
2  RAROTONGA Feb01 Jan10 Feb09     (h)DE CRUZ 116 30.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  GOLD PILOT Oct19 Sep28 Sep04 Jun01 Feb17 (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 116 3.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
4  TOO MUCH ACTION Dec12 Aug24 Jul21 Jun01 May04 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of QUATRE ROSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  VICTORY FOR VETS Jan26 Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 Jul13 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of DIAMONDINTHESTREAM by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  PROVEN ADVOCATE Jan10 Nov20 Aug22 Jul25 Jul06 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 116 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SONG OF MELODY by FLAT OUT)
7  DUST EM Aug24 Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 May04 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 116 4.50 20% 3.90    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DIXIE DUST by DIXIELAND HEAT)
8  TEAM GORMLEY Jan26 Jan04 Nov06 Oct04 Sep11 (scholl kevin)PARKER L 118 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of DANCE TEAM by DYNAFORMER)
 
HOU-8   02/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Miss Bluebonnet Turf Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE HEAVENLY Feb05 Jan24 Jan10 Jan02 Dec06 (govea cesar)FUENTES MARIO 116 30.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CANNONBALLCUPCAKE by LEMON DROP KID)
2  BLOOD ORANGE Jan24 Sep14 Aug31 Jul13 Jun29 (hurley rena)PARKER L 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
3  SKY ROCKER Jan24 Oct03 Aug29 Jul13 Mar02 (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 118 4.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SPECIAL ROCKSTAR by SPECIAL RATE)
4  BLUSHING BELLE Jan10 Nov23 Oct30 Sep17 Aug20 (love alan)DIAZ RENE 118 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BLUSHING BEAUTY by BLUSHING JOHN)
SCR  WILBURNSCLASSYLADY Jan24 Nov16 Oct05 Aug24 Jul13 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 116 20.00    
  (by WILBURN out of WILD MS. PULVEY by HALF OURS)
6  BLUEBONNET GIRL Jan12 Dec04 Oct31 Sep21 Jul12 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of BLUE GARTER by U S RANGER)
7  NO MAS TEQUILA Jan24 Nov16 Oct17 Sep27 Aug29 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 116 3.00 67% 0.50    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of FOXY BOSS by STREET BOSS)
SCR  IMALUCKYCHARM Jan24 Sep29 Sep06 Jul13 Jun01 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 1.60    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FOXY BOSS by STREET BOSS)
9  TAKE MY PICTURE Jan17 Sep23 Aug28 Jul27 Jul14 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 15.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of FREE N CLEAR by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL Jan24 Jun16 May25 Apr27 Apr05 (cruz eduardo)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 6.00 6% 15.10    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of DYNAMIC COWGIRL by DYNAMEAUX)
11  TURN ON THE BLING Feb06 Jul03 Jun01 Mar23 Jan20 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DIXIE DARLING by DIXIE UNION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.