Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - February 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-2   WIN (3/5/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/1/9)-(3/5/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/1/9)-(3/5/2/1/9)-(3/5/2/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/2/1/9)-(1/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/1/9)-(1/2/8/3)-(12/2/8/7/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-3   WIN (1/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/3)-(1/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/3)-(1/2/8/3)-(1/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/3)-(12/2/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/3)-(12/2/8/7/9)-(3/11/4/5/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-4   WIN (12/2/8/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/2/8/7/9)-(12/2/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/2/8/7/9)-(12/2/8/7/9)-(12/2/8/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/2/8/7/9)-(3/11/4/5/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (12/2/8/7/9)-(3/11/4/5/10)-(6/12/8/3/9) 125 $1.00 $125 
HOU-5   WIN (3/11/4/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/4/5/10)-(3/11/4/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/4/5/10)-(3/11/4/5/10)-(3/11/4/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/11/4/5/10)-(6/12/8/3/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/11/4/5/10)-(6/12/8/3/9)-(4/6/9/2/11) 125 $1.00 $125 
HOU-6   WIN (6/12/8/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/12/8/3/9)-(6/12/8/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/12/8/3/9)-(6/12/8/3/9)-(6/12/8/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/12/8/3/9)-(4/6/9/2/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/12/8/3/9)-(4/6/9/2/11)-(8/6/7/4/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
HOU-7   WIN (4/6/9/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/2/11)-(4/6/9/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/2/11)-(4/6/9/2/11)-(4/6/9/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/9/2/11)-(8/6/7/4/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HOU-8   WIN (8/6/7/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/4/2)-(8/6/7/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/4/2)-(8/6/7/4/2)-(8/6/7/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-2   02/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RU MOR STARTER Jan24 Jan12 Nov19 Oct25 Sep21 (jenkins b)TRIANA JR 121 8.00 8% 12.30    
TAKE MY MONEY Jan24 Nov06 Oct09 Sep07 May18 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 1.80 9% 9.80    
LITTLEJOHNS PRAYER Jan25         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 116 4.00 39% 1.60    
HOLIDAY RUN Nov27 Aug23 Aug11 Jul21 May18 (ascencio juan)FUENTES MARIO 121 30.00    
SCR  TOO INTIMIDATING Jan24 Jul12 Jul04 May31 Apr19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Jan24 Jul12 Jun14 May05 Apr07 (s)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 20.00    
SLIM JIMMY Jan24 Mar24 Mar03 Feb17 Jan12 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 30.00    
FREEWAY Jan18 Jan04 Nov22     (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 116 5.00    
ALL MIGHT Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 May26 Apr19 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-3   02/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PUDDING Jan18 Dec11 Nov19 Oct16 Sep25 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
JUST OKIE Jan03 Dec11 Nov22 Oct10 Sep12 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 2.50 14% 5.90    
IN THE ARCH Jan24 Jan03 Nov30 Oct23 Sep14 (rengstorf ton)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
PINKY RING BLING Feb02 Jan18 Dec21 Dec07 Nov18 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
COUSIN LARRY Feb02 Jan18 Jan05 Nov26 Oct12 (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 12.00    
JOHNNY APPLESEED Jan24 Jan03 Dec05 Nov15 Nov06 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
TAKE ACTION Jan18 Jul21 Jul03 Jun14 Apr19 (camacho jose)VERA T 121 15.00    
PRINCE RAMA Jan24 Jan03 Nov18 Nov01 Sep07 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 1.80 11% 7.90    
 
HOU-4   02/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW SMILES Jan25 Jan03 Dec11 Nov26 Nov14 (davidson sarah )WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00    
ANAJULIAFOREVER Jan25 Dec04 Oct03 May01 Jan04 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 5.00 11% 7.90    
ASTERN MAID Jan25 Jan03 Dec06 Nov26 Oct24 (s)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 30.00    
ACCELERATE JUDY Jan25 Dec04 Nov15 Sep04 Jun23 (scholl kevin)PARKER L 121 3.50    
LOOKATCHU Jan18 Nov06 Oct02     (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00    
THE NEXT BIG BLING Jan24 Jan12 Jul03 Jun09 May18 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 10.00    
TIFF WITH JIMMY May22 Apr28 Apr07 Mar09 Feb02 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FACTOR THAT Jan18 Sep21 Aug22 Jul27 Jul11 (rengsto)GONCALVES R 123 4.00 10% 8.60    
LADY ZEPHYR Jun20 May04 Apr01 Mar18 Dec14 (mcdaniel bri)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  GRAY ZONE Jan25 Oct12 Aug24 Jun28 Jun21 (v)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
11  LEONE Jan25 Aug24 Jun30 Jun21 Jun08 (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00    
12  MAGNOLIA AVENUE Dec27 Nov15 Oct16 Sep29 Aug31 (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.50 50% 1.00    
 
HOU-5   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMOUS TUTT         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
  (by HIGHWAY TO FAME out of QUEEN TUTT by ARCHARCHARCH)
CHEATING HEART Jan24         (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 5.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
ROMAN EAGLE Jan24 Jan04 Nov22 Oct10   (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by EAGLE out of GLIDING ON AIR by HONOR GLIDE)
SCR  CHARLIE DONT SURF         (caldwell )TRIANA JR 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BAD MOON RISING by MALIBU MOON)
OTHERBROTHERDARYL         (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 20.00 8% 10.90    
  (by BRADESTER out of SEVEN VIOLETS by FOUR SEVENS)
HI PLAINS HUNK Jan24 Jan04 Nov18     (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 6.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of SEVENTH TEE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
LAST AFFAIR Feb01         (h)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
  (by REDEEMED out of SURPRISE AFFAIR by BRISK AFFAIR)
SCR  HASHTAGMAKITHAPPEN Jan18 Jun28 Jun01     (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 15.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of FIKA by UNION RAGS)
NOTIME FORMISCHIEF Jan24 Nov14 Oct23     (jenkins brand)FUENTES MARIO 122 10.00    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of SNIPPETS OF TIME by WANDO)
10  GRIND JIM         (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 122 20.00 7% 13.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of BUMFOOJALUM by GRINDSTONE)
11  HE IS HEAVEN SENT Jan24 Jan03 Dec06     (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 4.50 9% 10.40    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of THE DEVIL IS MINE by DEVIL HIS DUE)
 
HOU-6   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA IS SHORT Jan18 Dec05 Nov22 Oct17 Sep26 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 123 15.00    
ANNA UP Feb02 Jan12 Dec12 Nov25 Nov01 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 20.00    
SPRINGTIME MOON Jan26 Dec04 Oct11 Sep05 Jun29 (asmus)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 15.00 14% 6.30    
YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN Dec07 Sep19 Aug31 Jul17 Jun26 (williams steve )WADE LYNDIE 121 12.00    
MIZ RITHYM Jan26 Jan04 Nov29 Nov13 Nov01 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 4.50    
TEARDROP TIARA Jan18 Dec15 Nov21 Oct22 Sep30 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
GOLD BOOM Jan04 Dec12 Nov18 Oct09 Sep19 (d)JIMENEZ LUIS 117 30.00    
SECRET VERSE Jan18 Nov23 Nov08 Oct12 Sep29 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 117 8.00 14% 6.20    
MISTY MOOD Feb02 Jan04 Dec12 Nov14 Oct19 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SOLECITA Feb02 Jul06 Jun16 May31 May11 (sauceda jesse)FUENTES MARIO 121 20.00    
11  FLATTER ME ZEN Feb02 Jan18 Oct11 Sep29 Sep13 (childs g)MECHE COLE 116 50.00    
12  KOOKY Dec12 Nov23 Oct19 Sep29 Sep04 (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 117 3.50 19% 4.40    
13  AUTO BE A STAR Jan18 Dec12 Nov13 Oct23 Jun27 (young e)CABRERA DAVID 121 30.00    
 
HOU-7   02/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK SOLITAIRE Jan18 Oct05 Sep05 Aug24 Jun30 (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00    
OVER THE CLOUDS Jan18 Sep26 Sep03 Aug24 Jul09 (hebert matt)ALVAREZ L 121 15.00 6% 16.50    
BLING IT TO ME Jan31 Jan12 Jun09 May18 Apr19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.50    
PATE Nov28 Nov01 Sep25 May03 Mar09 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 8.00 51% 1.00    
MIRAGE CODE Jan18 Oct12 Sep29 Aug04 Jul14 (childs g)PARKER L 121 30.00    
CONTESSA'S SONG Jan18 Nov30 Nov14 Oct31 Sep27 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 5.00 9% 10.70    
STRIKE THE BELL Jan31 Jan05 Jun15 May26 May03 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.50    
SCR  QUEEN OF THUNDER Aug11 Jul20 May19 Jun24 May06 (ramirez jr)BENAVIDES D 121 50.00    
PRAIRIE BRAT Feb01 Jan10       (padilla a)DIEGO V 119 15.00 7% 14.00    
10  OK BY ME Jan10 Nov01 Oct09 Aug29 Aug15 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 6.00    
11  AUNT KENDRA Jan18 Dec05 Nov13 Nov01 Oct17 (mcdanie)GONCALVES R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  ROYAL LIAISON Jan12 Nov26 Oct23 Sep28 Aug29 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 8.00    
 
HOU-8   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOTTY KITTY Feb01         (eoff terry)SANCHEZ OBED 122 20.00    
  (by KING ZACHARY out of PAT'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
MAID TO KEEP         (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of MY FAIR MAID by THE HUNK)
BRASS SPUNKY Jan31         (dupuy allen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 12.00    
  (by AIKENITE out of READUM N REAP by YOUR EMINENCE)
HEY COWGIRL Jan24 Jul07 Jun09     (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of BELLE FORCE by POWER BROKER)
LOVE ME SOME CANDY         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TELL ME U LOVE ME by MY GOLDEN SONG)
CLARISIT Jun29 May25       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by VISIONIT out of CLAMOROUS CLARISSA by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
FRANNY Jan24 Jan03 Dec04 Sep26   (gustafson austin)PARKER L 122 2.50 12% 7.40    
  (by DORRANCE out of EXACTLY LIKE YOU by ATTILA'S STORM)
MOON CRATER Jan24 Jan03       (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by COLLECTED out of ICY CALM by CURLIN)
SCR  JUST TICKLED Jan24 Jul07       (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 10.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of ALL HER CHARMS by SKY MESA)
10  CHIP ALTERNATIVE         (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 122 12.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TEMPLE TOWER by TEMPLE CITY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.