Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Monday - November 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (3/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (7/6/10/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   11/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 2 F PT- 3:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I HAVE A DREAM Jul06 Jun22       (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 1.20    
CELTICA Nov13 Oct14 Aug22     (story chad)REYES R 121 10.00    
GIMME MO MONEY Nov13 Sep26 Sep12 Aug24 Aug04 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
LULA BELLA May26         (evans ju)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
DEBBIE Z         (silva l)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
SUPERCALIFRAGILIST         (gleason t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-3   11/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLLITO TITO         (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00    
DESERT BREEZE Apr11         (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
CURLY'S ONE THING         (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 4.00    
BUTTERMAKER Oct11 Sep05 Aug02     (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
KARAOKE HERO Nov13 Oct12 Sep14     (gleason m)TOHILL S 121 4.50 23% 3.30    
ODE TO MY BRO BOB Nov13 Sep21 Aug24     (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 121 1.60    
 
TUP-4   11/25/2024 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT APPROVAL Aug11 Jul13       (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHADOW ON THE SUN Nov13 Sep15       (essex charles)REYES R 121 0.80 50% 1.00    
FOLLOW MY HEINEKEN Nov13 Sep14 Sep02 Aug25   (lund valorie)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 5.00    
BY DECREED Nov13 Sep02 Aug11 Jul14 May04 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
GOODBYE NOW Nov13 Sep05 Aug22     (fuentes rube)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 6.00    
AMERICAN TANGO Oct26 Oct06       (lucarelli fr)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00    
 
TUP-5   11/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAZEN Sep29 Sep06 Aug04 Jul21 Jun28 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
SCR  LETS DECLARE PEACE Oct25 Sep20 Jul24 Apr28 Apr06 (gibson f)CRUZ M 122 3.50    
ASENA Nov13 Aug10 Jul13 Apr25 Feb27 (lund valorie)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
SPITTEN KITTEN Aug24 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 May21 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
YOUNG LIFE LAURA Sep14 Aug31 Aug04 Jul21 Jun22 (silva-martinez ale)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Sep08 Jul27 Jun07 Apr15 Feb19 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
PEPPER MILL Nov13 Sep21 Aug10 Jul13 Jun30 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00    
 
TUP-6   11/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENDETTIJOE Nov11 Sep26 Aug15 May28 May06 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 4.00    
STOP AND A TRES Oct19 Sep08 Aug17 Jul20 Jul07 (anderson gonzalo)CRUZ M 122 3.50    
OWHATARUSH Sep15 Aug04 Jul21 Jun21 May26 (wisdom anne)REYES R 122 2.50    
YOU KIDDING ME Jun09 May25 May12 Mar30 Mar24 (fearon johnat)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
MEANT FOR ME Oct04 Jul26 Jul07 Jun16 Jun08 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
THIRD WHEEL Nov13 Oct05 Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50 7% 12.90    
LAST MARTINI Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 Jul06 Jun20 (wool)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   11/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEIGHTY WAR Oct23 Sep17 Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 (lawrence heath)MAWING A 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
ROLL DEM BONES Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 (toye joe)TOHILL S 122 5.00 9% 10.50    
LAUNCHED Sep19 Jun16 Jun02 Apr30 Apr03 (silva jose )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
LUCKY SMILE Nov12 Sep26 Sep05 Aug10 Jul14 (lund valorie)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 1.80    
MAHI MAHI Sep06 Aug25 Jul26 Jul03 Jun02 (garcia valen)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00    
AWESOME STORM Nov12 Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 (rojero luis )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 12.00    
GO LAKER GO Nov12 Oct09 Sep25 Aug31 Mar28 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
BOSS OF THEMOSS Jul20 Jun30 Jun07 May04 Mar23 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   11/25/2024 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CONNELLY Nov11 Sep15 Sep01 Mar19 Feb19 (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
MERINO WOOL Jul28 Jul14 Jun07 May12 Apr24 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
FALL MOON Nov11 Sep14 Aug22 Jun29 Jun08 (woolley benn)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 6.00    
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Nov11 Oct09 Sep26 Sep17 Sep04 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
SQUARE FUN Nov12 Oct14 Oct04 Sep01 Aug16 (bean robert)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
JOY IN GRACE Sep29 Sep22 Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
JOY IN THE BATTLE Nov11 Sep15 Sep03 Aug21 Jul01 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
ALWAYS GALLANT Nov11 Oct06 Sep22 Aug30 Aug16 (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEE A BALI Nov11 Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 Aug18 (kenney ryan)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00    
10  PACIFIC ZIP Aug22 Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 May01 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 11% 8.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.