Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - November 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/7/3/4)-(6/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/4)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/4)-(6/2/4)-(4/5/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(4/5/1/2)-(3/7/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/2)-(3/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/2)-(3/7/1/6)-(4/6/8/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/6)-(4/6/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/6)-(4/6/8/2)-(7/8/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/2)-(4/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/2)-(4/6/8/2)-(4/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/8/2)-(7/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/2)-(7/8/2/4)-(3/2/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/4)-(7/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/4)-(7/8/2/4)-(7/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/4)-(3/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   11/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE ALERT Oct25 Sep27 Sep20 Aug16 Aug01 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 5.00    
JAZZ WITH DENIS Nov02 Oct10 Sep20 Aug16 Aug10 (murdock ste)ROBLES O 115 1.60    
NEVERPOPTHECORK Nov01 Oct11 Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
ROAD SLEW Nov01 Oct10 Oct03 Sep13 Aug22 (ramos agosto)LEWIS M 115 6.00    
REY O REYES Nov02 Oct11 Aug16 Jul06 Jun08 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMONING DENIS Nov01 Aug17 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
CT-2   11/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEK MOJO Nov01 Jun07 May17 Apr19 Mar22 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
STYLISH ANNA Sep19 Aug31 Aug22 Jul31 Jul17 (smith osb)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00    
GONE WITH THE WYN Oct19 Oct03 Sep26 Sep14 Aug15 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Sep13 Jul19 Jun30 May18 Apr19 (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
RAINBOWSNSUNSHINE Aug22 Jul12 Jun13 Mar02   (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 2.00 27% 2.70    
CORA'S CHOICE Oct31 Oct04 Aug17 May05 Apr19 (walters j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50    
BALI HAI Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug10 Jul26 (scott alfred)LEWIS M 117 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
CT-3   11/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENIZETTI Oct24 Oct11 Sep21 Aug24 Jul13 (ceciliano m)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 20.00    
BAD LINEAGE Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
PRIME SHOPPING Oct12 Aug24 Jul13 Jun27 Jun07 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.00    
RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 Jul25 Jun22 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GREATANDGOOD Sep26 Aug31 Aug17 Jul25 Jun07 (jones michae)LEWIS M 115 10.00    
ZIGGY STARDUST Oct18 Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
DEFIANT GIANT Oct18 Aug24 Jul19 Jun01 May11 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.50    
 
CT-4   11/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYMPTOMATIC Oct24 Sep12 Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 (tobin edw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SLEWING Jun15 Nov10 Sep30 Aug19 Jun30 (groves janice)LARROSA G 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
POLISH THE DIAMOND Sep28 Feb28 Feb01 Jan10 Nov25 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
MENDYS HONEY Oct12 Sep13 Aug30 Aug01   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 0.20 68% 0.50    
MAMA MARGE Oct18 Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 2.50 10% 9.10    
PALACIO Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 Jul26 (tobin edwin)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 30.00    
CHARITABLE ANY Oct18 Jul06 Jun13 May28 Dec14 (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 120 50.00    
 
CT-5   11/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 2 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKING MISCHIEF Oct25 Sep14 Aug14 Jul31 Jul03 (jones michae)LEWIS M 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
INFERNO Aug25 Aug01       (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
UAINTRIGHT         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 67% 0.50    
DIGITS Oct25         (perez joseph)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
WHY NOT DIXIE Oct05 Sep13 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
OVERNIGHT EXPRESS Oct23 Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 May23 (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SANDI SUE Oct16 Oct03 Sep14     (bailon nesvil)LUGO JR 122 5.00 10% 9.20    
NEED A MIRACLE Sep21 Aug23       (robb gina)HO WESLEY 120 4.50    
 
CT-6   11/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TESHIMA Oct19 Sep28 Sep10 Sep03 Jul17 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50    
TRAVEL SMART Oct18 Aug23 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 (harris)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LINDA'S TAJ Oct24 Oct05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 (dollinger-s)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 20.00    
BEATIFUL KARLA Oct19 Sep25 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
SPECIAL NOTE Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 Jul13 Jun14 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 6.00    
LUCKY BLONDE Oct30 Oct10 Aug23 Jul26 Jul13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
PRINCESS MARGARET Nov01 Oct11 Sep28 Sep21 Aug24 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Oct19 Oct10 Sep28 Sep20 Aug16 (dollinger)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
CT-7   11/09/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST My Sister Pearl Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMEDAY IS TODAY Oct12 Jun22 Nov11 Oct14 Aug25 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 10.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of ANY DAY NOW by OUT OF PLACE)
FOXY SISTA Oct12 Sep20 Aug16 Jul26 May23 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 8.00 8% 11.40    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of APRON DANCER by CITIDANCER (IRE))
JUBA'S PARADE Oct12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun22 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 123 3.50    
  (by JUBA out of MUMMERS PARADE by STREET SENSE)
SENECA ROCKS Oct12 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 May27 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
SOMESUGARNSPICE Oct10 Sep21 Sep10 Jul24 Jul07 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 121 20.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
CHANGE THE WORLD Oct12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SATURDAY NTHE PARK by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
HESSICA Oct12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50 54% 0.80    
  (by JUBA out of STEFANI'S SURPRISE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
BARBERS POINT Oct12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun22 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 12% 7.70    
  (by CONGRATS out of SATURDAY NTHE PARK by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
CT-8   11/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAMZ PALACE Aug24 Jul17 Jun14 Jun01 May11 (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 30.00    
TIMEISGOLDEN Sep27 Aug02 Jul06 May31 May11 (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
LACE REVOLUTION Nov25 Nov09 Oct26 Aug12 Jul22 (shanley m)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 1.60 50% 1.00    
MISS WILD Mar29 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 Nov10 (schottroffe edw)GILPIN SEAN 122 30.00    
PEACE FIRE Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Jul28 Jul02 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 6% 14.80    
WOODSONG'S CASTLE Oct31 Oct10 Sep27 Jul04 May23 (shanley tim)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 30.00    
DIVA ROSE Nov01 Jun21 Apr11 Mar23 Feb28 (craig lew)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SO RED THE ROSE Sep27 Sep17 Aug13 Jun21 Apr06 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
SCR  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Oct18 Sep27 Sep03 Aug14 Aug02 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.