Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - November 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(3/4/1/7)-(5/3/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/7)-(5/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/7)-(5/3/1/4)-(4/2/7/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/4)-(4/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/4)-(4/2/7/3)-(7/4/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/3)-(7/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/3)-(7/4/2/5)-(6/7/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/5)-(6/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/5)-(6/7/3/5)-(7/8/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/5)-(7/8/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/5)-(7/8/1/3)-(2/7/4/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/3)-(7/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/3)-(7/8/1/3)-(7/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/3)-(2/7/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/7/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/3/8)-(2/7/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/3/8)-(2/7/4/3/8)-(2/7/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUDDY BUDDY Oct19 Sep21 Jul30 Jul20 Jun18 (collins tim)LEWIS M 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Oct17 Jul26 May31 Jan31 Jan24 (straugh)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50    
3  ENVISION SUCCESS Oct17 Mar28 Jan04 Dec15 Dec06 (hummer richar)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
4  MY MIRACLE MAN Aug12 Jul15 Jun15 May18 Apr14 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 0.60 41% 1.50    
5  MISTER WINSTON Oct17 Sep21 Aug16 Jul26 Jun13 (shanley tim)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
6  KING OF LUCK Oct30 Oct18 Sep26 Aug15 Aug03 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00    
 
CT-2   11/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUTTERFLY WORLD Oct17 Oct05 Sep19 Aug16 Jul25 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 115 2.50 10% 8.70    
2  MISS ARGENTINA Oct24 Sep20 Aug16 Mar15 Mar06 (gomez anali)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
3  SISTER WINNIE Oct04 Sep14 Aug10 Jul11 Jun08 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
4  PHILMARY CASTLE Oct04 Aug22 Jun08 May17 Apr18 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  JUJU ON DA BEAT Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 Aug24 Jul26 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
6  SWIPE THAT CANDY Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 Jul26 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 5.00    
7  KEY TO THE CASTLE Oct17 Sep20 Aug16 Jul18 Jun28 (espinosa vi)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   11/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAPPIANO HALO Oct11 Sep14 Aug09 Jul18 Jun22 (dollinger-s)CACHA-PADILLA B 121 2.50 8% 12.30    
2  I'MLIVINGTHEDREAM Jun22 Jun07 May11 Mar29 Nov24 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 121 4.50    
3  GOGO GADGET Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 Jun22 Apr25 (calhoun amanda)ACOSTA D 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
4  COLONIAL ROAD Oct19 Sep21 Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLAZE FOR DAZE Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 Aug09 Jul19 (binning matt)LEWIS M 116 3.00 53% 0.90    
6  NOVEMBER IMPERIUM Oct11 Sep21 Aug24 Mar29 Feb15 (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
7  NO CONVERSATION Oct18         (jackson a)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 114 5.00    
8  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Sep21 Jun01 May10 Apr26 Mar28 (racanelli m)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   11/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E J'S REVENGE Sep26 Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 120 50.00    
2  GUN COLLECTOR Oct17 Aug23 Aug04 Jul05 Jun04 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
3  CURLIN'S MALIBU Sep14 Aug23 Jul21 Jun22 May27 (atkins willi)LEWIS M 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TEACHINTHERELEASE Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Jul19 Jun20 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 60% 0.70    
5  RAINY SKIES Oct04 Sep14 Aug11 Jul19 Jul08 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50    
SCR  LEGENDAIRE Sep14 Jul07 May22 Apr18 Mar15 (perkins be)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
7  MOTIVATING Oct17 Aug23 Jul26 Jun29 May30 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 4.00 5% 17.70    
8  BRISTOL CHANNEL Nov29 Nov03 Oct28 Aug27 Aug17 (covello andrea )BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
 
CT-5   11/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEDAR'S WISH Oct19 Aug23 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
2  LUCYLOU WHO Oct12 Sep21 Jul11 Jun22 May25 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
3  DIXIE YODELER Oct19 Oct12 Sep12 Aug23 Jul27 (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
4  CHEROKEE CASTLE Oct19 Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Jun28 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  MANAROLA Oct19 Aug24 Aug03 Jun13 Feb15 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Oct11 Aug24 Aug03 Jul04 Jun14 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
7  STRYDA Oct12 Aug31 Aug07 Jul04 Jun01 (johnson jame)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
8  HERE'S A QUARTER Sep28 Aug17 Jul16 Jun23 Jun11 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 118 15.00    
 
CT-6   11/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAUCY BOSS         (johnson j)BOCACHICA J 122 5.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
2  GINGER TWIST Sep13         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SKETCH BOOK by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  UNBRIDLED CHOPT         (espinosa victor)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of LADY CECCA by WHEELAWAY)
4  COAL COUNTRY         (farrior anthony)MAYHEW W 122 4.50    
  (by JUBA out of THREE BELLES by FLATTER)
5  MI CATRINA         (mangual mano)LEWIS M 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
6  HIT THE SNOOZE Oct04 Sep13 Aug25     (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of DAYLIGHT'S COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  I'M A COOL QUEEN         (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LUYU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
CT-7   11/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASENJOHNATHAN Sep22 Aug26 Jun03 Apr27 Apr06 (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  WHALE OF A RUN Sep27 Aug15 Jul25 Jun21 May31 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
3  HARLEY SIOUX Sep27 Aug15 Jul12 Mar28 Mar06 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  POWERED BY LOVE Aug15 Jul04 May18 May02 Apr13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 20.00    
5  SHOW TIME ALLEN Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 Jul12   (harrison n)LARROSA G 118 30.00    
SCR  TWO BRONZE STARS Oct03 Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00    
7  PORK CHOP PETE Oct12 Aug23 Jul20 Jun15 May31 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 0.60 66% 0.50    
8  MIC'D UP Sep27 Aug03 Jun21 Apr19   (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
9  EL PACHO Sep27 Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 Nov29 (reyes d)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
10  BERTRAM FLIGHT Sep27 Aug15 Jul04 May18 May02 (huet k)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   11/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY YEARS Oct17 Sep27 Sep20 Jun15 May31 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 117 6.00    
2  DOCTOR PARDO Oct17 Sep20 Aug17 Aug01 Jul06 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  TIME TO CHOOSE Oct26 Oct05 Sep26 Aug17 Aug01 (reyes d)LARROSA G 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Oct17 Sep26 Aug01 Jun28 Jun07 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 15% 5.60    
5  MALEKES MAGIC Oct26 Oct10 Sep13 Aug17 Jul18 (aylor n)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 50.00    
6  SAM WHEAT Sep20 Sep03 Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 (huet k)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
7  MOON FALL Oct17 Sep26 Sep13 Aug17 Jul25 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
8  STRONG LIL KOKORO Oct17 Sep26 Jun03 May10 Mar07 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Oct17 Sep26 Sep03 Aug01 Jun27 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 120 5.00    
10  LET'S EAT Nov01 Oct11 Sep12 Jul04 Jun13 (gillespie ryan )GILPIN SEAN 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.